The `Blocks`

function returns a list of *N* blocks of
parameters, for use with some MCMC algorithms in the
`LaplacesDemon`

function. Blocks may be created either
sequentially, or from a hierarchical clustering of the posterior
correlation matrix.

1 |

`Initial.Values` |
This required argument is a vector of initial values. |

`N` |
This optional argument indicates the desired number of
blocks. If omitted, then the truncated square root of the number of
initial values is used. If a posterior correlation matrix is
supplied to |

`PostCor` |
This optional argument defaults to |

Usually, there is more than one target distribution in MCMC, in which case it must be determined whether it is best to sample from target distributions individually, in groups, or all at once. Blockwise sampling (also called block updating) refers to splitting a multivariate vector into groups called blocks, and each block is sampled separately. A block may contain one or more parameters.

Parameters are usually grouped into blocks such that parameters within
a block are as correlated as possible, and parameters between blocks
are as independent as possible. This strategy retains as much of the
parameter correlation as possible for blockwise sampling, as opposed
to componentwise sampling where parameter correlation is ignored.
The `PosteriorChecks`

function can be used on the output
of previous runs to find highly correlated parameters. See examples
below.

Advantages of blockwise sampling are that a different MCMC algorithm may be used for each block (or parameter, for that matter), creating a more specialized approach (though different algorithms by block are not supported here), the acceptance of a newly proposed state is likely to be higher than sampling from all target distributions at once in high dimensions, and large proposal covariance matrices can be reduced in size, which is most helpful again in high dimensions.

Disadvantages of blockwise sampling are that correlations probably exist between parameters between blocks, and each block is updated while holding the other blocks constant, ignoring these correlations of parameters between blocks. Without simultaneously taking everything into account, the algorithm may converge slowly or never arrive at the proper solution. However, there are instances when it may be best when everything is not taken into account at once, such as in state-space models. Also, as the number of blocks increases, more computation is required, which slows the algorithm. In general, blockwise sampling allows a more specialized approach at the expense of accuracy, generalization, and speed. Blockwise sampling is offered in the following algorithms: Adaptive-Mixture Metropolis (AMM), Adaptive Metropolis-within-Gibbs (AMWG), Automated Factor Slice Sampler (AFSS), Elliptical Slice Sampler (ESS), Hit-And-Run Metropolis (HARM), Metropolis-within-Gibbs (MWG), Random-Walk Metropolis (RWM), Robust Adaptive Metropolis (RAM), Slice Sampler (Slice), and the Univariate Eigenvector Slice Sampler (UESS).

Large-dimensional models often require blockwise sampling. For
example, with thousands of parameters, a componentwise algorithm
must evaluate the model specification function once per parameter per
iteration, resulting in an algorithm that may take longer than is
acceptable to produce samples. Algorithms that require derivatives,
such as the family of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), require even more
evaluations of the model specification function per iteration, and
quickly become too costly in large dimensions. Finally, algorithms
with multivariate proposals often have difficulty producing an
accepted proposal in large-dimensional models. The most practical
solution is to group parameters into *N* blocks, and each
iteration the algorithm evaluates the model specification function
*N* times, each with a reduced set of parameters.

The `Blocks`

function performs either a sequential assignment of
parameters to blocks when posterior correlation is not supplied, or
uses hierarchical clustering to create blocks based on posterior
correlation. If posterior correlation is supplied, then the user may
specify a range of the number of blocks to consider, and the optimal
number of blocks is considered to be the maximum of the mean
silhouette width of each hierarchical clustering. Silhouette width
is calculated as per the `cluster`

package. Hierarchical
clustering is performed on the distance matrix calculated from the
dissimilarity matrix (1 - abs(PostCor)) of the posterior correlation
matrix. With sequential assignment, the number of parameters per
block is approximately equal. With hierarchical clustering, the
number of parameters per block may vary widely. Creating blocks from
hierarchical clustering performs well in practice, though there are
many alternative methods the user may consider outside of this
function, such as using factor analysis, model-based clustering, or
other methods.

Aside from sequentially-assigned blocks, or blocks based on posterior
correlation, it is also common to group parameters with similar uses,
such as putting regression effects parameters into one block, and
autocorrelation parameters into another block. Another popular way to
group parameters into blocks is by time-period for some time-series
models. These alternative blocking strategies are unsupported in the
`Blocks`

function, and best left to user discretion.

Some MCMC algorithms that accept blocked parameters also require
blocked variance-covariance matrices. The `Blocks`

function
does not return these matrices, because it may not be necessary,
or when it is, the user may prefer identity matrices, scaled identity
matrices, or matrices with explicitly-defined elements.

If the user is looking for a place to begin with blockwise sampling,
then the recommended, default approach (when blocked parameters by
time-period are not desired in a time-series) is to begin with a
trial run of the adaptive, unblocked HARM algorithm (since covariance
matrices are not required) for the purposes of obtaining a posterior
correlation matrix. Next, create blocks with the `Blocks`

function based on the posterior correlation matrix obtained from the
trial run. Finally, run the desired, blocked algorithm with the newly
created blocks (and possibly user-specified covariance matrices),
beginning where the trial run ended.

If hierarchical clustering is used, then it is important to note that hierarchical clustering has no idea that the user intends to perform blockwise sampling in MCMC. If hierarchical clustering returns numerous small blocks, then the user may consider combining some or all of those blocks. For example, if several 1-parameter blocks are returned, then blockwise sampling will equal componentwise sampling for those blocks, which will iterate slower. Conversely, if hierarchical clustering returns one or more big blocks, each with enough parameters that multivariate sampling will have difficulty getting an accepted proposal, or an accepted proposal that moves more than a small amount, then the user may consider subdividing these big blocks into smaller, more manageable blocks, though with the understanding that more posterior correlation is unaccounted for.

The `Blocks`

function returns an object of class `blocks`

,
which is a list. Each component of the list is a block of parameters,
and parameters are indicated by their position in the initial values
vector.

Statisticat, LLC. software@bayesian-inference.com

`LaplacesDemon`

and
`PosteriorChecks`

.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 | ```
library(LaplacesDemon)
### Create the default number of sequentially assigned blocks:
Initial.Values <- rep(0,1000)
MyBlocks <- Blocks(Initial.Values)
MyBlocks
### Or, a pre-specified number of sequentially assigned blocks:
#Initial.Values <- rep(0,1000)
#MyBlocks <- Blocks(Initial.Values, N=20)
### If scaled diagonal covariance matrices are desired:
#VarCov <- list()
#for (i in 1:length(MyBlocks))
# VarCov[[i]] <- diag(length(MyBlocks[[i]]))*2.38^2/length(MyBlocks[[i]])
### Or, determine the number of blocks in the range of 2 to 50 from
### hierarchical clustering on the posterior correlation matrix of an
### object, say called Fit, output from LaplacesDemon:
#MyBlocks <- Blocks(Initial.Values, N=c(2,50),
# PostCor=cor(Fit$Posterior1))
#lapply(MyBlocks, length) #See the number of parameters per block
### Or, create a pre-specified number of blocks from hierarchical
### clustering on the posterior correlation matrix of an object,
### say called Fit, output from LaplacesDemon:
#MyBlocks <- Blocks(Initial.Values, N=20, PostCor=cor(Fit$Posterior1))
### Posterior correlation from a previous trial run could be obtained
### with either method below (though cor() will be fastest because
### additional checks are not calculated for the parameters):
#rho <- cor(Fit$Posterior1)
#rho <- PosteriorChecks(Fit)$Posterior.Correlation
``` |

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