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#' Naive Poisson Regression (Internal Reliability Study)
#'
#' \code{naive_analysis_in_poisson()} fits a standard Poisson log-linear model
#' using only subject-level averaged replicates, ignoring measurement error
#' beyond replicate averaging. This provides the uncorrected (naive) estimates
#' as a benchmark for comparison with regression-calibrated results.
#'
#' @param zbar Numeric vector or matrix of standardized subject-level averaged
#' exposures (\eqn{n \times t}), typically output from
#' \code{\link{prepare_data_in}}.
#' @param W.std Optional numeric matrix of standardized error-free covariates
#' (\eqn{n \times q}); default \code{NULL}.
#' @param Y Non-negative integer outcome vector of length \eqn{n}.
#' @param sdz Numeric vector of length \eqn{t}, giving the standard deviations
#' of the unstandardized exposures (used to rescale coefficients).
#' @param sdw Optional numeric vector of length \eqn{q}, giving the standard
#' deviations of the unstandardized covariates (used to rescale coefficients).
#'
#' @return A list with two components:
#' \describe{
#' \item{\code{var1}}{Covariance matrix of the naive Poisson regression estimates.}
#' \item{\code{Naive estimates}}{Matrix of naive Poisson regression results,
#' including coefficient estimates, standard errors, z-values, p-values,
#' rate ratios (RR), and 95\% confidence intervals on the original scale.}
#' }
#'
#' @details
#' This baseline model uses replicate-averaged exposures and ignores
#' measurement-error correction. Coefficients and standard errors are scaled
#' back to the original exposure (and covariate) scales using the supplied
#' standard deviations.
#'
#' @examples
#' set.seed(123)
#' # Simulated replicate data: 100 subjects, 1 exposure with 2 replicates
#' z.rep <- cbind(rnorm(100), rnorm(100))
#' zbar <- rowMeans(z.rep)
#' Y <- rpois(100, exp(0.3 + 0.5 * zbar))
#' sdz <- sd(zbar)
#'
#' # Run naive Poisson regression
#' res <- naive_analysis_in_poisson(
#' Y = Y,
#' zbar = scale(zbar),
#' W.std = NULL,
#' sdz = sdz,
#' sdw = NULL
#' )
#' str(res)
#'
#' @noRd
naive_analysis_in_poisson = function(Y, zbar, W.std = NULL, sdz, sdw) {
z_df = as.data.frame(zbar)
colnames(z_df) = colnames(zbar)
if(is.null(W.std)) {
# Fit Poisson regression with log link
model_df = data.frame(Y = Y, z_df)
fit1 = glm(Y ~ ., data = model_df, family = poisson(link = "log"))
beta.fit1 = fit1$coefficients
var1 = vcov(fit1)
tab1 = summary(fit1)$coefficients
# Scale coefficients and SEs
tab1[,1:2] = tab1[,1:2]/c(1, sdz)
# Calculate confidence intervals
CI.low = tab1[,1] - 1.96*tab1[,2]
CI.high = tab1[,1] + 1.96*tab1[,2]
# Exponentiate to get rate ratios
tab1 = cbind(tab1, exp(cbind(RR = tab1[, 1], CI.low, CI.high)))
} else {
# Fit Poisson regression with log link and covariates
W_df = as.data.frame(W.std)
colnames(W_df) = colnames(W.std)
model_df = data.frame(Y = Y, z_df, W_df)
fit1 = glm(Y ~ ., data = model_df, family = poisson(link = "log"))
beta.fit1 = fit1$coefficients
var1 = vcov(fit1)
tab1 = summary(fit1)$coefficients
# Scale coefficients and SEs
tab1[,1:2] = tab1[,1:2]/c(1, sdz, sdw)
# Calculate confidence intervals
CI.low = tab1[,1] - 1.96*tab1[,2]
CI.high = tab1[,1] + 1.96*tab1[,2]
# Exponentiate to get rate ratios
tab1 = cbind(tab1, exp(cbind(RR = tab1[, 1], CI.low, CI.high)))
}
list(
var1 = var1,
`Naive estimates` = tab1
)
}
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