ensembleBMA: Probabilistic Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

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Bayesian Model Averaging to create probabilistic forecasts from ensemble forecasts and weather observations.

Author
Chris Fraley, Adrian E. Raftery, J. McLean Sloughter, Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington.
Date of publication
2016-06-19 09:47:53
Maintainer
Chris Fraley <fraley@u.washington.edu>
License
GPL (>= 2)
Version
5.1.3

View on CRAN

Man pages

brierScore
Brier Scores
cdf
Cummulative Distribution Function for ensemble forcasting...
combine
Combine Compatible BMA Models
controlBMAgamma
Control parameters for BMA wind speed modeling
controlBMAgamma0
Control parameters for BMA precipitation modeling
controlBMAnormal
Control parameters for BMA mixtures of normals
crps
Continuous Ranked Probability Score
dateCheck
Checks date format.
ensBMAtest
Ensemble BMA Test Data Set
ensembleBMA
BMA mixture model fit
ensembleBMAgamma
BMA wind speed modeling
ensembleBMAgamma0
BMA precipitation modeling
ensembleBMAnormal
BMA mixture of normals modeling
ensembleData
Create an ensembleData object
fitBMA
BMA model fit to a training set
fitBMAgamma
BMA wind speed model fit to a training set
fitBMAgamma0
BMA precipitation model fit to a training set
fitBMAnormal
BMA mixture of normals fit to a training set
julTOymdh
Convert Julian dates to character format.
MAE
Mean Absolute Error
modelParameters
Extract model parameters
pit
Probability Integral Transform for ensemble forcasting models
pitHist
PIT Histogram
plot.ensembleBMA
Plot the Predictive Distribution Function for ensemble...
plotProbcast
Surface plots for forecast information.
prcpDJdata
Precipitation Data
prcpFit
BMA Model Fit to Precipitation Data
prcpGrid
Gridded Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation
quantileForecast
Quantile forecasts at observation locations
srft
Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts and Observations
srftGrid
Gridded Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts
trainingData
Extract Training Data
verifPlot
Plot observations along with median, 10th and 90th percentile...
verifRankHist
Verification Rank and Histogram
ymdhTOjul
Convert to Julian dates.

Files in this package

ensembleBMA
ensembleBMA/NAMESPACE
ensembleBMA/CHANGELOG
ensembleBMA/data
ensembleBMA/data/prcpFit.rda
ensembleBMA/data/srft.rda
ensembleBMA/data/ensBMAtest.rda
ensembleBMA/data/prcpDJdata.rda
ensembleBMA/data/srftGrid.rda
ensembleBMA/data/datalist
ensembleBMA/data/prcpGrid.rda
ensembleBMA/R
ensembleBMA/R/plot.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataStartupSpeed.R
ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/crps.fitBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleFhour.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleSize.R
ensembleBMA/R/plot.fitBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleSize.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleMembers.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/match2side.R
ensembleBMA/R/crps.R
ensembleBMA/R/pit.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/combine.R
ensembleBMA/R/fitBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.default.R
ensembleBMA/R/fitBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/trainingData.R
ensembleBMA/R/verifPlot.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelMembers.default.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/getDates.R
ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/MAE.default.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataObsLabels.R
ensembleBMA/R/julTOymdh.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataStartupSpeed.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/inverseLogit.R
ensembleBMA/R/combine.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/pit.fitBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/ymdhTOjul.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/crps.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.fitBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/startupSpeed.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleItime.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.fitBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdf.fitBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleForecasts.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.fitBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleValidDates.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdfBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchDates.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.R
ensembleBMA/R/pitHist.R
ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelDates.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMA.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataVerifObs.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdf.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/crps.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/plot.fitBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/binGrid.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdf.fitBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleMembers.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdf.fitBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/getHH.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/pit.fitBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/fitBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/crps.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchITandFH.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdfBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdf.R
ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/verifRankHist.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/crps.fitBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/plot.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/controlBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelDates.default.R
ensembleBMA/R/fitBMA.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.fitBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/CRPScap.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleGroups.R
ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.fitBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/crps.fitBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/dateCheck.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.fitBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/pit.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataObsLabels.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/getExchangeable.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleValidDates.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/combine.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdfBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/plot.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleFhour.R
ensembleBMA/R/CRPS.default.R
ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.fitBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.R
ensembleBMA/R/plotProbcast.R
ensembleBMA/R/pit.fitBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/combineCORE.R
ensembleBMA/R/plotBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/combine.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/pit.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/crpsNormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdf.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/plotBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataNobs.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/cdf.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchITandFH.default.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataNobs.R
ensembleBMA/R/controlBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/pit.R
ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleForecasts.R
ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataNA.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/plotBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/plot.fitBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataNA.R
ensembleBMA/R/dataVerifObs.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelMembers.R
ensembleBMA/R/MAE.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleItime.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/controlBMAgamma0.R
ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.ensembleBMAnormal.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleGroups.ensembleData.R
ensembleBMA/R/startupSpeed.R
ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/MD5
ensembleBMA/DESCRIPTION
ensembleBMA/man
ensembleBMA/man/ensembleData.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/modelParameters.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/prcpDJdata.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/fitBMAgamma.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/crps.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/combine.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/fitBMA.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/controlBMAnormal.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/verifRankHist.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/prcpFit.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/cdf.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/plot.ensembleBMA.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMA.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/dateCheck.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/controlBMAgamma0.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMAgamma.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/brierScore.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/srft.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/fitBMAnormal.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMAnormal.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/srftGrid.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/fitBMAgamma0.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/ensBMAtest.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/prcpGrid.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/MAE.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/pitHist.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/pit.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/verifPlot.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/julTOymdh.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMAgamma0.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/controlBMAgamma.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/quantileForecast.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/ymdhTOjul.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/trainingData.Rd
ensembleBMA/man/plotProbcast.Rd