ensembleBMA: Probabilistic Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

Bayesian Model Averaging to create probabilistic forecasts from ensemble forecasts and weather observations.

AuthorChris Fraley, Adrian E. Raftery, J. McLean Sloughter, Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington.
Date of publication2016-06-19 09:47:53
MaintainerChris Fraley <fraley@u.washington.edu>
LicenseGPL (>= 2)
Version5.1.3

View on CRAN

Man pages

brierScore: Brier Scores

cdf: Cummulative Distribution Function for ensemble forcasting...

combine: Combine Compatible BMA Models

controlBMAgamma: Control parameters for BMA wind speed modeling

controlBMAgamma0: Control parameters for BMA precipitation modeling

controlBMAnormal: Control parameters for BMA mixtures of normals

crps: Continuous Ranked Probability Score

dateCheck: Checks date format.

ensBMAtest: Ensemble BMA Test Data Set

ensembleBMA: BMA mixture model fit

ensembleBMAgamma: BMA wind speed modeling

ensembleBMAgamma0: BMA precipitation modeling

ensembleBMAnormal: BMA mixture of normals modeling

ensembleData: Create an ensembleData object

fitBMA: BMA model fit to a training set

fitBMAgamma: BMA wind speed model fit to a training set

fitBMAgamma0: BMA precipitation model fit to a training set

fitBMAnormal: BMA mixture of normals fit to a training set

julTOymdh: Convert Julian dates to character format.

MAE: Mean Absolute Error

modelParameters: Extract model parameters

pit: Probability Integral Transform for ensemble forcasting models

pitHist: PIT Histogram

plot.ensembleBMA: Plot the Predictive Distribution Function for ensemble...

plotProbcast: Surface plots for forecast information.

prcpDJdata: Precipitation Data

prcpFit: BMA Model Fit to Precipitation Data

prcpGrid: Gridded Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation

quantileForecast: Quantile forecasts at observation locations

srft: Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts and Observations

srftGrid: Gridded Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts

trainingData: Extract Training Data

verifPlot: Plot observations along with median, 10th and 90th percentile...

verifRankHist: Verification Rank and Histogram

ymdhTOjul: Convert to Julian dates.

Functions

binGrid Man page
brierScore Man page
brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
brierScore.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
brierScore.fitBMAgamma Man page
brierScore.fitBMAgamma0 Man page
brierScore.fitBMAnormal Man page
cdf Man page
cdfBMAgamma Man page
cdfBMAgamma0 Man page
cdfBMAnormal Man page
cdf.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
cdf.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
cdf.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
cdf.fitBMAgamma Man page
cdf.fitBMAgamma0 Man page
cdf.fitBMAnormal Man page
combine Man page
combineCORE Man page
combine.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
combine.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
combine.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
controlBMAgamma Man page
controlBMAgamma0 Man page
controlBMAnormal Man page
crps Man page
CRPS Man page
CRPS.default Man page
crps.ensembleBMAbvnormal Man page
crps.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
crps.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
crps.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
crps.fitBMAbvnormal Man page
crps.fitBMAgamma Man page
crps.fitBMAgamma0 Man page
crps.fitBMAnormal Man page
crpsNormal Man page
dataNA Man page
dataNA.ensembleData Man page
dataNobs Man page
dataNobs.ensembleData Man page
dataObsLabels Man page
dataObsLabels.ensembleData Man page
dataStartupSpeed Man page
dataStartupSpeed.ensembleData Man page
dataVerifObs Man page
dataVerifObs.ensembleData Man page
dateCheck Man page
ensBMAtest Man page
ensembleBMA Man page
ensembleBMAgamma Man page
[.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
[.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
ensembleBMAnormal Man page
[.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
ensembleData Man page
[.ensembleData Man page
ensembleFhour Man page
ensembleFhour.ensembleData Man page
ensembleForecasts Man page
ensembleForecasts.ensembleData Man page
ensembleGroups Man page
ensembleGroups.ensembleData Man page
ensembleItime Man page
ensembleItime.ensembleData Man page
ensembleMembers Man page
ensembleMembers.ensembleData Man page
ensembleSize Man page
ensembleSize.ensembleData Man page
ensembleValidDates Man page
ensembleValidDates.ensembleData Man page
fitBMA Man page
fitBMAgamma Man page
fitBMAgamma0 Man page
fitBMAnormal Man page
getDates Man page
getExchangeable Man page
getHH Man page
inverseLogit Man page
julTOymdh Man page
MAE Man page
MAE.default Man page
match2side Man page
matchDates Man page
matchEnsembleMembers Man page
matchEnsembleMembers.default Man page
matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma Man page
matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma0 Man page
matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAnormal Man page
matchITandFH Man page
matchITandFH.default Man page
modelDates Man page
modelDates.default Man page
modelMembers Man page
modelMembers.default Man page
modelParameters Man page
modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
modelParameters.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
modelParameters.fitBMAgamma Man page
modelParameters.fitBMAgamma0 Man page
modelParameters.fitBMAnormal Man page
pit Man page
pit.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
pit.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
pit.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
pit.fitBMAgamma Man page
pit.fitBMAgamma0 Man page
pit.fitBMAnormal Man page
pitHist Man page
plotBMAgamma Man page
plotBMAgamma0 Man page
plotBMAnormal Man page
plot.ensembleBMA Man page
plot.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
plot.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
plot.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
plot.fitBMA Man page
plot.fitBMAgamma Man page
plot.fitBMAgamma0 Man page
plot.fitBMAnormal Man page
plotProbcast Man page
prcpDJdata Man page
prcpFit Man page
prcpGrid Man page
prcpTestFit Man page
quantBMAgamma Man page
quantBMAgamma0 Man page
quantBMAnormal Man page
quantileForecast Man page
quantileForecast.ensembleBMAbvnormal Man page
quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma Man page
quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma0 Man page
quantileForecast.ensembleBMAnormal Man page
quantileForecast.fitBMAbvnormal Man page
quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma Man page
quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma0 Man page
quantileForecast.fitBMAnormal Man page
srft Man page
srftGrid Man page
startupSpeed Man page
startupSpeed.ensembleData Man page
tempTestFit Man page
trainingData Man page
verifPlot Man page
verifRankHist Man page
winsTestFit Man page
ymdhTOjul Man page

Files

ensembleBMA
ensembleBMA/NAMESPACE
ensembleBMA/CHANGELOG
ensembleBMA/data
ensembleBMA/data/prcpFit.rda
ensembleBMA/data/srft.rda
ensembleBMA/data/ensBMAtest.rda
ensembleBMA/data/prcpDJdata.rda
ensembleBMA/data/srftGrid.rda
ensembleBMA/data/datalist
ensembleBMA/data/prcpGrid.rda
ensembleBMA/R
ensembleBMA/R/plot.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/dataStartupSpeed.R ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleFhour.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleSize.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleSize.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleMembers.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/match2side.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/combine.R ensembleBMA/R/fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.default.R ensembleBMA/R/fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/trainingData.R ensembleBMA/R/verifPlot.R ensembleBMA/R/modelMembers.default.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/getDates.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/MAE.default.R ensembleBMA/R/dataObsLabels.R ensembleBMA/R/julTOymdh.R ensembleBMA/R/dataStartupSpeed.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/quantBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/inverseLogit.R ensembleBMA/R/combine.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/ymdhTOjul.R ensembleBMA/R/quantBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/startupSpeed.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleItime.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleForecasts.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleValidDates.R ensembleBMA/R/cdfBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/matchDates.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.R ensembleBMA/R/pitHist.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/modelDates.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMA.R ensembleBMA/R/dataVerifObs.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/quantBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/binGrid.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleMembers.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/getHH.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/matchITandFH.R ensembleBMA/R/cdfBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.R ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/verifRankHist.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/controlBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/modelDates.default.R ensembleBMA/R/fitBMA.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/CRPScap.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleGroups.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/dateCheck.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/dataObsLabels.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/getExchangeable.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleValidDates.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/combine.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/cdfBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleFhour.R ensembleBMA/R/CRPS.default.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.R ensembleBMA/R/plotProbcast.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/combineCORE.R ensembleBMA/R/plotBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/combine.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crpsNormal.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/plotBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/dataNobs.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/matchITandFH.default.R ensembleBMA/R/dataNobs.R ensembleBMA/R/controlBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleForecasts.R ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/dataNA.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/plotBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/dataNA.R ensembleBMA/R/dataVerifObs.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/modelMembers.R ensembleBMA/R/MAE.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleItime.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/controlBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleGroups.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/startupSpeed.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/MD5
ensembleBMA/DESCRIPTION
ensembleBMA/man
ensembleBMA/man/ensembleData.Rd ensembleBMA/man/modelParameters.Rd ensembleBMA/man/prcpDJdata.Rd ensembleBMA/man/fitBMAgamma.Rd ensembleBMA/man/crps.Rd ensembleBMA/man/combine.Rd ensembleBMA/man/fitBMA.Rd ensembleBMA/man/controlBMAnormal.Rd ensembleBMA/man/verifRankHist.Rd ensembleBMA/man/prcpFit.Rd ensembleBMA/man/cdf.Rd ensembleBMA/man/plot.ensembleBMA.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMA.Rd ensembleBMA/man/dateCheck.Rd ensembleBMA/man/controlBMAgamma0.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMAgamma.Rd ensembleBMA/man/brierScore.Rd ensembleBMA/man/srft.Rd ensembleBMA/man/fitBMAnormal.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMAnormal.Rd ensembleBMA/man/srftGrid.Rd ensembleBMA/man/fitBMAgamma0.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensBMAtest.Rd ensembleBMA/man/prcpGrid.Rd ensembleBMA/man/MAE.Rd ensembleBMA/man/pitHist.Rd ensembleBMA/man/pit.Rd ensembleBMA/man/verifPlot.Rd ensembleBMA/man/julTOymdh.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMAgamma0.Rd ensembleBMA/man/controlBMAgamma.Rd ensembleBMA/man/quantileForecast.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ymdhTOjul.Rd ensembleBMA/man/trainingData.Rd ensembleBMA/man/plotProbcast.Rd

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