ensembleBMA: Probabilistic Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

Bayesian Model Averaging to create probabilistic forecasts from ensemble forecasts and weather observations.

AuthorChris Fraley, Adrian E. Raftery, J. McLean Sloughter, Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington.
Date of publication2016-06-19 09:47:53
MaintainerChris Fraley <fraley@u.washington.edu>
LicenseGPL (>= 2)
Version5.1.3

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Man pages

brierScore: Brier Scores

cdf: Cummulative Distribution Function for ensemble forcasting...

combine: Combine Compatible BMA Models

controlBMAgamma: Control parameters for BMA wind speed modeling

controlBMAgamma0: Control parameters for BMA precipitation modeling

controlBMAnormal: Control parameters for BMA mixtures of normals

crps: Continuous Ranked Probability Score

dateCheck: Checks date format.

ensBMAtest: Ensemble BMA Test Data Set

ensembleBMA: BMA mixture model fit

ensembleBMAgamma: BMA wind speed modeling

ensembleBMAgamma0: BMA precipitation modeling

ensembleBMAnormal: BMA mixture of normals modeling

ensembleData: Create an ensembleData object

fitBMA: BMA model fit to a training set

fitBMAgamma: BMA wind speed model fit to a training set

fitBMAgamma0: BMA precipitation model fit to a training set

fitBMAnormal: BMA mixture of normals fit to a training set

julTOymdh: Convert Julian dates to character format.

MAE: Mean Absolute Error

modelParameters: Extract model parameters

pit: Probability Integral Transform for ensemble forcasting models

pitHist: PIT Histogram

plot.ensembleBMA: Plot the Predictive Distribution Function for ensemble...

plotProbcast: Surface plots for forecast information.

prcpDJdata: Precipitation Data

prcpFit: BMA Model Fit to Precipitation Data

prcpGrid: Gridded Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation

quantileForecast: Quantile forecasts at observation locations

srft: Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts and Observations

srftGrid: Gridded Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts

trainingData: Extract Training Data

verifPlot: Plot observations along with median, 10th and 90th percentile...

verifRankHist: Verification Rank and Histogram

ymdhTOjul: Convert to Julian dates.

Files in this package

ensembleBMA
ensembleBMA/NAMESPACE
ensembleBMA/CHANGELOG
ensembleBMA/data
ensembleBMA/data/prcpFit.rda
ensembleBMA/data/srft.rda
ensembleBMA/data/ensBMAtest.rda
ensembleBMA/data/prcpDJdata.rda
ensembleBMA/data/srftGrid.rda
ensembleBMA/data/datalist
ensembleBMA/data/prcpGrid.rda
ensembleBMA/R
ensembleBMA/R/plot.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/dataStartupSpeed.R ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleFhour.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleSize.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleSize.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleMembers.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/match2side.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/combine.R ensembleBMA/R/fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.default.R ensembleBMA/R/fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/trainingData.R ensembleBMA/R/verifPlot.R ensembleBMA/R/modelMembers.default.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/getDates.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/MAE.default.R ensembleBMA/R/dataObsLabels.R ensembleBMA/R/julTOymdh.R ensembleBMA/R/dataStartupSpeed.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/quantBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/inverseLogit.R ensembleBMA/R/combine.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/ymdhTOjul.R ensembleBMA/R/quantBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/startupSpeed.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleItime.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleForecasts.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleValidDates.R ensembleBMA/R/cdfBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/matchDates.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.R ensembleBMA/R/pitHist.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/modelDates.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMA.R ensembleBMA/R/dataVerifObs.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/quantBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/binGrid.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleMembers.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/getHH.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/matchITandFH.R ensembleBMA/R/cdfBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.R ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/verifRankHist.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/controlBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/modelDates.default.R ensembleBMA/R/fitBMA.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/CRPScap.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleGroups.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crps.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/dateCheck.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/dataObsLabels.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/getExchangeable.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleValidDates.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/combine.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/cdfBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleFhour.R ensembleBMA/R/CRPS.default.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.fitBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.R ensembleBMA/R/plotProbcast.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.fitBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/combineCORE.R ensembleBMA/R/plotBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/combine.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/crpsNormal.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/plotBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/dataNobs.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/cdf.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/matchITandFH.default.R ensembleBMA/R/dataNobs.R ensembleBMA/R/controlBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/pit.R ensembleBMA/R/brierScore.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleForecasts.R ensembleBMA/R/subset.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/dataNA.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/plotBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/plot.fitBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/dataNA.R ensembleBMA/R/dataVerifObs.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.ensembleBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAgamma.R ensembleBMA/R/matchEnsembleMembers.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/modelMembers.R ensembleBMA/R/MAE.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleItime.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/quantileForecast.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/controlBMAgamma0.R ensembleBMA/R/modelParameters.ensembleBMAnormal.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleGroups.ensembleData.R ensembleBMA/R/startupSpeed.R ensembleBMA/R/ensembleBMAgamma.R
ensembleBMA/MD5
ensembleBMA/DESCRIPTION
ensembleBMA/man
ensembleBMA/man/ensembleData.Rd ensembleBMA/man/modelParameters.Rd ensembleBMA/man/prcpDJdata.Rd ensembleBMA/man/fitBMAgamma.Rd ensembleBMA/man/crps.Rd ensembleBMA/man/combine.Rd ensembleBMA/man/fitBMA.Rd ensembleBMA/man/controlBMAnormal.Rd ensembleBMA/man/verifRankHist.Rd ensembleBMA/man/prcpFit.Rd ensembleBMA/man/cdf.Rd ensembleBMA/man/plot.ensembleBMA.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMA.Rd ensembleBMA/man/dateCheck.Rd ensembleBMA/man/controlBMAgamma0.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMAgamma.Rd ensembleBMA/man/brierScore.Rd ensembleBMA/man/srft.Rd ensembleBMA/man/fitBMAnormal.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMAnormal.Rd ensembleBMA/man/srftGrid.Rd ensembleBMA/man/fitBMAgamma0.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensBMAtest.Rd ensembleBMA/man/prcpGrid.Rd ensembleBMA/man/MAE.Rd ensembleBMA/man/pitHist.Rd ensembleBMA/man/pit.Rd ensembleBMA/man/verifPlot.Rd ensembleBMA/man/julTOymdh.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ensembleBMAgamma0.Rd ensembleBMA/man/controlBMAgamma.Rd ensembleBMA/man/quantileForecast.Rd ensembleBMA/man/ymdhTOjul.Rd ensembleBMA/man/trainingData.Rd ensembleBMA/man/plotProbcast.Rd

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