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# extraDistr is very confusing:
# a = shape parameter (they call scale), that I'm varying here
# b = scale parameter (they call location), that I'm calling kscale
#
#' Waic
#' @inherit manwaic return
#' @inheritParams manf
pareto_k2_waic=function(waicscores,x,v1hat,fd1,kscale,aderivs){
if(waicscores){
if(aderivs) f1f=pareto_k2_f1fa(x,v1hat,kscale=kscale)
if(!aderivs)f1f=pareto_k2_f1f(x,v1hat,fd1,kscale=kscale)
if(aderivs) f2f=pareto_k2_f2fa(x,v1hat,kscale=kscale)
if(!aderivs)f2f=pareto_k2_f2f(x,v1hat,fd1,kscale=kscale)
if(aderivs) ldd=pareto_k2_ldda(x,v1hat,kscale=kscale)
if(!aderivs)ldd=pareto_k2_ldd(x,v1hat,fd1,kscale=kscale)
lddi=solve(ldd)
if(aderivs) lddd=pareto_k2_lddda(x,v1hat,kscale=kscale)
if(!aderivs)lddd=pareto_k2_lddd(x,v1hat,fd1,kscale=kscale)
fhatx=extraDistr::dpareto(x,a=v1hat,b=kscale)
lambdad_rhp=-1/v1hat
waic=make_waic(x,fhatx,lddi,lddd,f1f,lambdad_rhp,f2f,dim=1)
waic1=waic$waic1
waic2=waic$waic2
}else{
waic1="waicscores not selected"
waic2="waicscores not selected"
}
list(waic1=waic1,waic2=waic2)
}
#' Logf for RUST
#' @inherit manlogf return
#' @inheritParams manf
pareto_k2_logf=function(params,x,kscale){
sh=pmax(params[1],.Machine$double.eps)
logf=sum(extraDistr::dpareto(x,a=sh,b=kscale,log=TRUE))-log(sh)
return(logf)
}
#' Maximum likelihood estimator
#' @inherit manloglik return
#' @inheritParams manf
pareto_k2_ml_params=function(x,kscale){
nx=length(x)
# lnx=log(x)
lnx=log(x/kscale)
slnx=sum(lnx)
mlparams=nx/slnx
return(mlparams)
}
#' The second derivative of the normalized log-likelihood
#' @inherit manldd return
#' @inheritParams manf
pareto_k2_ldd=function(x,v1,fd1,kscale){
nx=length(x)
d1=fd1*v1
v1m1=v1-1*d1
v100=v1
v1p1=v1+1*d1
lm1=sum(log(extraDistr::dpareto(x,b=kscale,a=v1m1)))/nx
l00=sum(log(extraDistr::dpareto(x,b=kscale,a=v100)))/nx
lp1=sum(log(extraDistr::dpareto(x,b=kscale,a=v1p1)))/nx
ldd=matrix(0,1,1)
ldd[1,1]=(lp1-2*l00+lm1)/(d1*d1)
return(ldd)
}
#' Third derivative of the normalized log-likelihood
#' @inherit manlnnn return
#' @inheritParams manf
pareto_k2_l111=function(x,v1,fd1,kscale){
nx=length(x)
d1=fd1*v1
v1m2=v1-2*d1
v1m1=v1-1*d1
v1p1=v1+1*d1
v1p2=v1+2*d1
lm2=sum(extraDistr::dpareto(x,b=kscale,a=v1m2,log=TRUE))/nx
lm1=sum(extraDistr::dpareto(x,b=kscale,a=v1m1,log=TRUE))/nx
lp1=sum(extraDistr::dpareto(x,b=kscale,a=v1p1,log=TRUE))/nx
lp2=sum(extraDistr::dpareto(x,b=kscale,a=v1p2,log=TRUE))/nx
dld111=(lp2-2*lp1+2*lm1-lm2)/(2*d1*d1*d1)
return(dld111)
}
#' Third derivative tensor of the log-likelihood
#' @inherit manlddd return
#' @inheritParams manf
pareto_k2_lddd=function(x,v1,fd1,kscale){
nx=length(x)
lddd=array(0,c(1,1,1))
lddd[1,1,1]=pareto_k2_l111(x,v1,fd1,kscale)
return(lddd)
}
#' DMGS equation 2.1, f1 term
#' @inherit man1f return
#' @inheritParams manf
pareto_k2_f1f=function(y,v1,fd1,kscale){
d1=fd1*v1
# v1 stuff
v1m1=v1-1*d1
v100=v1+0*d1
v1p1=v1+1*d1
# v1 derivatives
F1m1=extraDistr::dpareto(y,b=kscale,a=v1m1)
F1p1=extraDistr::dpareto(y,b=kscale,a=v1p1)
f1=matrix(0,1,length(y))
f1[1,]=(F1p1-F1m1)/(2*d1)
return(f1)
}
#' DMGS equation 2.1, f2 term
#' @inherit man2f return
#' @inheritParams manf
pareto_k2_f2f=function(y,v1,fd1,kscale){
d1=fd1*v1
# v1 stuff
v1m2=v1-2*d1
v1m1=v1-1*d1
v100=v1+0*d1
v1p1=v1+1*d1
v1p2=v1+2*d1
F1m2=extraDistr::dpareto(y,b=kscale,a=v1m2)
F1m1=extraDistr::dpareto(y,b=kscale,a=v1m1)
F100=extraDistr::dpareto(y,b=kscale,a=v100)
F1p1=extraDistr::dpareto(y,b=kscale,a=v1p1)
F1p2=extraDistr::dpareto(y,b=kscale,a=v1p2)
f2=array(0,c(1,1,length(y)))
f2[1,1,]=(F1p1-2*F100+F1m1)/(d1*d1)
return(f2)
}
#' Log scores for MLE and RHP predictions calculated using leave-one-out
#' @inherit manlogscores return
#' @inheritParams manf
pareto_k2_logscores=function(logscores,x,kscale){
if(logscores){
nx=length(x)
ml_oos_logscore=0
rh_oos_logscore=0
for (i in 1:nx){
x1=x[-i]
dd=dpareto_k2_sub(x1,x[i],kscale)
ml_params1=dd$ml_params
# ml
ml_pdf=dd$ml_pdf
ml_oos_logscore=ml_oos_logscore+log(ml_pdf)
# rhp
rh_pdf=dd$rh_pdf
rh_oos_logscore=rh_oos_logscore+log(rh_pdf)
}
}else{
ml_oos_logscore="logscores not selected"
rh_oos_logscore="logscores not selected"
}
list(ml_oos_logscore=ml_oos_logscore,rh_oos_logscore=rh_oos_logscore)
}
#' Densities from MLE and RHP
#' @inherit mandsub return
#' @inheritParams manf
dpareto_k2_sub=function(x,y,kscale,aderivs=TRUE){
nx=length(x)
# ml
ml_params=pareto_k2_ml_params(x,kscale)
ml_pdf=extraDistr::dpareto(y,a=ml_params,b=kscale)
ml_cdf=extraDistr::ppareto(y,a=ml_params,b=kscale)
# rhp
slnx=sum(log(x/kscale))
bigx=slnx
top=nx*(bigx**nx)
bigz=log(y/kscale)+slnx
bot=y*((bigz**(nx+1)))
rh_pdf=top/bot
rh_pdf=pmax(rh_pdf,0)
rh_cdf=1-(bigx**nx)/(bigz**nx)
rh_cdf=pmin(pmax(rh_cdf,0),1)
# return
list( ml_params=ml_params,
ml_pdf=ml_pdf,
rh_pdf=rh_pdf,
ml_cdf=ml_cdf,
rh_cdf=rh_cdf)
}
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