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#' Log-normal Distribution Predictions Based on a Calibrating Prior, using DMGS (for testing only)
#'
#' @inherit man description author references seealso return
#' @inheritParams man
#'
#' @inheritSection man Optional Return Values
# #' @inheritSection man Optional Return Values (EVD models only)
# #' @inheritSection man Optional Return Values (non-RHP models only)
#' @inheritSection man Details (homogeneous models)
# #' @inheritSection man Details (non-homogeneous models)
# #' @inheritSection man Details (analytic integration)
#' @inheritSection man Details (DMGS integration)
#' @inheritSection man Details (RUST)
#'
#'
#' @section Details of the Model:
#' The log normal distribution has probability density function
#' \deqn{f(x;\mu,\sigma)=\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}\sigma x}e^{-(\log(x)-\mu)^2/(2\sigma^2)}}
#' where
#' \eqn{x} is the random variable
#' and
#' \eqn{\mu,\sigma>0} are the parameters.
#'
#' The calibrating prior is given by the right Haar prior, which is
#' \deqn{\pi(\sigma) \propto \frac{1}{\sigma}}
#' as given in Jewson et al. (2025).
#'
#' @example man/examples/example_36_lnorm_dmgs.R
#'
#' @name lnorm_dmgs_cp
NULL
#' @rdname lnorm_dmgs_cp
#' @inheritParams man
#' @export
#'
qlnorm_dmgs_cp=function(x,p=seq(0.1,0.9,0.1),d1=0.01,fd2=0.01,
means=FALSE,waicscores=FALSE,logscores=FALSE,dmgs=TRUE,
debug=FALSE,aderivs=TRUE){
#
# 1 intro
#
debug=TRUE
debug=FALSE
stopifnot(is.finite(x),!is.na(x),is.finite(p),!is.na(p),p>0,p<1)
alpha=1-p
nx=length(x)
nalpha=length(alpha)
#
# 2 ml param estimate
#
if(debug)message("2 calc ml param estimate")
v1start=mean(x)
v2start=sd(x)
opt=optim(c(v1start,v2start),lnorm_dmgs_loglik,x=x,control=list(fnscale=-1))
v1hat=opt$par[1]
v2hat=opt$par[2]
ml_params=c(v1hat,v2hat)
if(debug)message(" v1hat,v2hat=",v1hat,v2hat,"//")
#
# 3 aic
#
ml_value=opt$val
maic=make_maic(ml_value,nparams=2)
#
# 4 ml quantiles (vectorized over alpha)
#
ml_quantiles=qlnorm((1-alpha),meanlog=v1hat,sdlog=v2hat)
#
# dmgs
#
standard_errors="dmgs not selected"
rh_quantiles="dmgs not selected"
ru_quantiles="dmgs not selected"
waic1="dmgs not selected"
waic2="dmgs not selected"
ml_oos_logscore="dmgs not selected"
rh_oos_logscore="dmgs not selected"
cp_oos_logscore="dmgs not selected"
ml_mean="dmgs not selected"
rh_mean="dmgs not selected"
cp_mean="dmgs not selected"
cp_method="dmgs not selected"
if(dmgs){
#
# 5 lddi
#
if(debug)message(" calculate ldd,lddi")
if(aderivs) ldd=lnorm_ldda(x,v1hat,v2hat)
if(!aderivs)ldd=lnorm_ldd(x,v1hat,d1,v2hat,fd2)
lddi=solve(ldd)
standard_errors=make_se(nx,lddi)
#
# 6 lddd
#
if(debug)message(" calculate lddd")
if(aderivs) lddd=lnorm_lddda(x,v1hat,v2hat)
if(!aderivs)lddd=lnorm_lddd(x,v1hat,d1,v2hat,fd2)
#
# 7 mu1
#
if(debug)message(" calculate mu1")
if(aderivs) mu1=lnorm_mu1fa(alpha,v1hat,v2hat)
if(!aderivs)mu1=lnorm_dmgs_mu1f(alpha,v1hat,d1,v2hat,fd2)
#
# 8 mu2
#
if(debug)message(" calculate mu2")
if(aderivs) mu2=lnorm_mu2fa(alpha,v1hat,v2hat)
if(!aderivs)mu2=lnorm_dmgs_mu2f(alpha,v1hat,d1,v2hat,fd2)
#
# 9 rhp
#
lambdad_rhp=c(0,-1/v2hat)
#
# 10 fhat, dq and quantiles
#
if(debug)message(" fhat, dq and quantiles")
fhat=dlnorm(ml_quantiles,meanlog=v1hat,sdlog=v2hat)
dq=dmgs(lddi,lddd,mu1,lambdad_rhp,mu2,dim=2)
rh_quantiles=ml_quantiles+dq/(nx*fhat)
#
# 11 means
#
means=lnorm_dmgs_means(means,ml_params,lddi,lddd,lambdad_rhp,nx,dim=2)
ml_mean=means$ml_mean
rh_mean=means$rh_mean
#
# 12 waicscores
#
waic=lnorm_dmgs_waic(waicscores,x,v1hat,d1,v2hat,fd2,lddi,lddd,lambdad_rhp,aderivs)
waic1=waic$waic1
waic2=waic$waic2
#
# 13 logscores
#
logscores=lnorm_dmgs_logscores(logscores,x,d1,fd2)
ml_oos_logscore=logscores$ml_oos_logscore
rh_oos_logscore=logscores$rh_oos_logscore
} #end of if(dmgs)
# return
list( ml_params=ml_params,
ml_value=ml_value,
# ldd=ldd,
# lddi=lddi,
# expinfmat=expinfmat,
# expinfmati=expinfmati,
standard_errors=standard_errors,
ml_quantiles=ml_quantiles,
cp_quantiles=rh_quantiles,
maic=maic,
waic1=waic1,
waic2=waic2,
ml_oos_logscore=ml_oos_logscore,
cp_oos_logscore=rh_oos_logscore,
ml_mean=ml_mean,
cp_mean=rh_mean,
cp_method=rhp_dmgs_cpmethod())
}
#' @rdname lnorm_dmgs_cp
#' @inheritParams man
#' @export
rlnorm_dmgs_cp=function(n,x,d1=0.01,fd2=0.01,mlcp=TRUE,
debug=FALSE,aderivs=TRUE){
# stopifnot(is.finite(n),!is.na(n),is.finite(x),!is.na(x))
stopifnot(is.finite(x),!is.na(x))
ml_params="mlcp not selected"
ml_deviates="mlcp not selected"
cp_deviates="mlcp not selected"
if(mlcp){
q=qlnorm_dmgs_cp(x,runif(n),d1=d1,fd2=fd2,aderivs=aderivs)
ml_params=q$ml_params
ml_deviates=q$ml_quantiles
cp_deviates=q$cp_quantiles
}
op=list(ml_params=ml_params,
ml_deviates=ml_deviates,
cp_deviates=cp_deviates,
cp_method=rhp_dmgs_cpmethod())
}
#' @rdname lnorm_dmgs_cp
#' @inheritParams man
#' @export
dlnorm_dmgs_cp=function(x,y=x,d1=0.01,fd2=0.01,debug=FALSE,aderivs=TRUE){
stopifnot(is.finite(x),!is.na(x),is.finite(y),!is.na(y))
dd=dlnorm_dmgssub(x=x,y=y,d1,fd2,aderivs=aderivs)
list( ml_params=dd$ml_params,
ml_pdf=dd$ml_pdf,
cp_pdf=dd$rh_pdf,
cp_method=rhp_dmgs_cpmethod())
}
#' @rdname lnorm_dmgs_cp
#' @inheritParams man
#' @export
plnorm_dmgs_cp=function(x,y,d1=0.01,fd2=0.01,debug=FALSE,aderivs=TRUE){
stopifnot(is.finite(x),!is.na(x),is.finite(y),!is.na(y))
dd=dlnorm_dmgssub(x=x,y=y,d1,fd2,aderivs=aderivs)
list( ml_params=dd$ml_params,
ml_cdf=dd$ml_cdf,
cp_cdf=dd$rh_cdf,
cp_method=rhp_dmgs_cpmethod())
}
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