#' This script projects summary statistics to arbitrary horizons, as described in A. Meucci
#' "Risk and Asset Allocation", Springer, 2005, chapter 3.
#'
#' @references
#' A. Meucci - "Exercises in Advanced Risk and Portfolio Management" \url{http://symmys.com/node/170},
#' "E 97 - Projection of skewness, kurtosis, and all standardized summary statistics".
#'
#' See Meucci's script for "S_ProjectSummaryStatistics.m"
#'
#' @author Xavier Valls \email{flamejat@@gmail.com}
##################################################################################################################
### Inputs
N = 6; # focus on first N standardized summary statistics
K = 100; # projection horizon
# generate arbitrary distribution
J = 100000; # number of scenarios
Z = rnorm( J );
X = sin( Z ) + log( cos( Z ) + 2 );
##################################################################################################################
### Compute single-period standardized statistics and central moments
CaSS = CentralAndStandardizedStatistics( X, N );
print( CaSS$ga );
print( CaSS$mu );
# compute single-period non-central moments
mu_ = Central2Raw( CaSS$mu );
print( mu_);
# compute single-period cumulants
ka = Raw2Cumul(mu_);
print(ka);
# compute multi-period cumulants
Ka = K * ka;
print(Ka);
# compute multi-period non-central moments
Mu_ = Cumul2Raw(Ka);
print(Mu_);
# compute multi-period central moments
Mu = Raw2Central(Mu_);
print(Mu);
# compute multi-period standardized statistics
Ga = Mu;
Ga[ 2 ] = sqrt( Mu[ 2 ]);
for( n in 3 : N )
{
Ga[ n ] = Mu[ n ] / ( Ga[ 2 ] ^ n );
}
print(Ga);
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