Code
tail(s0, 10)
Output
t S E Ia Ip Im Is H
91 91 762.8436 766.8565 4686.631 53.891857 9594.649 216.09582 2028.2646
92 92 752.9350 629.2927 4066.269 44.423085 8327.026 183.05932 1854.1502
93 93 744.4529 516.7570 3525.713 36.255473 7222.388 154.96517 1693.0578
94 94 737.1840 424.6495 3055.165 29.995424 6259.939 131.06384 1544.3418
95 95 730.9491 349.2211 2645.934 24.446826 5423.013 110.79018 1407.3217
96 96 725.5969 287.4154 2290.330 20.325111 4695.039 93.57259 1281.3099
97 97 720.9997 236.7404 1981.564 16.523013 4063.181 79.00235 1165.6116
98 98 717.0488 195.1643 1713.659 13.828325 3514.319 66.64478 1059.5473
99 99 713.6519 161.0295 1481.361 11.192742 3038.713 56.21048 962.4474
100 100 710.7305 132.9838 1280.060 9.452072 2626.011 47.36844 873.6712
H2 ICUs ICUd D R foi
91 299.2287 965.8891 199.97718 3288.415 977137.3 0.012989057
92 287.6774 922.1281 179.51351 3313.412 979440.1 0.011265355
93 276.2484 879.8621 160.91473 3335.852 981453.5 0.009764084
94 264.9918 839.1200 144.05140 3355.966 983213.5 0.008457775
95 253.9494 799.9136 128.79457 3373.972 984751.7 0.007322206
96 243.1552 762.2422 115.01952 3390.072 986095.9 0.006335823
97 232.6363 726.0932 102.60514 3404.449 987270.6 0.005479749
98 222.4137 691.4459 91.43689 3417.275 988297.2 0.004737231
99 212.5032 658.2717 81.40542 3428.704 989194.5 0.004093690
100 202.9162 626.5374 72.40898 3438.880 989979.0 0.003536206
Code
tail(s1, 10)
Output
date S E I H ICU R death
84 2020-05-23 901.9129 3108.3803 38491.91 4026.425 1711.831 948740.5 55.54473
85 2020-05-24 870.9142 2541.6136 33600.75 3740.425 1623.957 954552.6 50.65579
86 2020-05-25 844.7857 2078.9702 29296.72 3468.472 1539.117 959656.1 46.08073
87 2020-05-26 822.6886 1701.2654 25516.64 3211.043 1457.539 964133.2 41.82103
88 2020-05-27 803.9468 1392.8407 22202.40 2968.344 1379.372 968057.6 37.87283
89 2020-05-28 788.0116 1140.9220 19301.23 2740.347 1304.695 971495.1 34.22833
90 2020-05-29 774.4337 935.0918 16765.19 2526.847 1233.533 974504.3 30.87655
91 2020-05-30 762.8436 766.8565 14551.27 2327.493 1165.866 977137.3 27.80441
92 2020-05-31 752.9350 629.2927 12620.78 2141.828 1101.642 979440.1 24.99715
93 2020-06-01 744.4529 516.7570 10939.32 1969.306 1040.777 981453.5 22.43919
D foi incidence report cumRep
84 3019.076 0.034369924 30.998677 25.753719 99822.44
85 3069.731 0.030001204 26.128474 19.863299 99842.30
86 3115.812 0.026157082 22.097129 15.528549 99857.83
87 3157.633 0.022781097 18.741749 12.290202 99870.12
88 3195.506 0.019821304 15.935275 9.835656 99879.96
89 3229.734 0.017230525 13.577853 7.949571 99887.91
90 3260.611 0.014965921 11.590114 6.481688 99894.39
91 3288.415 0.012989057 9.908619 5.325753 99899.72
92 3313.412 0.011265355 8.482080 4.405621 99904.12
93 3335.852 0.009764084 7.268901 3.665996 99907.79
Code
summary(params)
Output
r0 R0 Gbar CFR_gen dbl_time
0.2278149 6.5180089 12.1897402 0.0352000 3.0425898
Code
tail(resICU_t, 10)
Output
date S E I H ICU R
59 2020-05-23 998915.4 38.07728 65.29358 2.579514 1.1064881 974.3035
60 2020-05-24 998909.6 37.27880 63.92462 2.528612 1.0881608 982.3696
61 2020-05-25 998903.8 36.49706 62.58433 2.478555 1.0699772 990.2670
62 2020-05-26 998898.2 35.73170 61.27212 2.429344 1.0519462 997.9993
63 2020-05-27 998892.7 34.98237 59.98740 2.380976 1.0340762 1005.5699
64 2020-05-28 998887.3 34.24875 58.72959 2.333448 1.0163746 1012.9821
65 2020-05-29 998882.1 33.53050 57.49813 2.286755 0.9988482 1020.2392
66 2020-05-30 998876.9 32.82731 56.29247 2.240892 0.9815031 1027.3445
67 2020-05-31 998871.8 32.13885 55.11208 2.195854 0.9643448 1034.3012
68 2020-06-01 998866.9 31.46482 53.95642 2.151631 0.9473780 1041.1122
death D foi incidence report cumRep
59 0.03431694 3.190419 5.869413e-06 5.863047 0.7151511 100.6168
60 0.03360271 3.224022 5.746353e-06 5.740087 0.7001551 101.3170
61 0.03290280 3.256924 5.625871e-06 5.619704 0.6854733 102.0024
62 0.03221701 3.289141 5.507913e-06 5.501844 0.6710991 102.6735
63 0.03154509 3.320687 5.392426e-06 5.386455 0.6570261 103.3306
64 0.03088683 3.351573 5.279358e-06 5.273484 0.6432481 103.9738
65 0.03024199 3.381815 5.168659e-06 5.162881 0.6297587 104.6036
66 0.02961033 3.411426 5.060279e-06 5.054596 0.6165521 105.2201
67 0.02899162 3.440417 4.954170e-06 4.948581 0.6036222 105.8237
68 0.02838561 3.468803 4.850285e-06 4.844789 0.5909632 106.4147
Code
tail(resICU_t2, 10)
Output
date S E I H ICU R death
581 2020-05-23 998165.1 39.82512 71.36003 3.326391 1.542409 1713.140 0.04440598
591 2020-05-24 998158.8 38.62289 69.20612 3.231869 1.505601 1722.864 0.04307513
601 2020-05-25 998152.7 37.45694 67.11720 3.139789 1.469423 1732.295 0.04178330
611 2020-05-26 998146.8 36.32617 65.09130 3.050110 1.433880 1741.443 0.04052943
621 2020-05-27 998141.0 35.22953 63.12652 2.962787 1.398976 1750.315 0.03931252
631 2020-05-28 998135.5 34.16599 61.22102 2.877778 1.364713 1758.920 0.03813156
641 2020-05-29 998130.1 33.13454 59.37302 2.795036 1.331093 1767.266 0.03698554
651 2020-05-30 998124.9 32.13422 57.58078 2.714516 1.298115 1775.361 0.03587352
661 2020-05-31 998119.8 31.16410 55.84261 2.636171 1.265778 1783.212 0.03479452
671 2020-06-01 998114.9 30.22325 54.15690 2.559954 1.234082 1790.827 0.03374762
D foi incidence report cumRep
581 5.754946 6.378334e-06 6.366630 0.8493616 158.8170
591 5.798022 6.185812e-06 6.174423 0.8237222 159.6407
601 5.839805 5.999099e-06 5.988017 0.7988564 160.4396
611 5.880334 5.818019e-06 5.807237 0.7747410 161.2143
621 5.919647 5.642402e-06 5.631913 0.7513533 161.9657
631 5.957778 5.472084e-06 5.461882 0.7286713 162.6943
641 5.994764 5.306905e-06 5.296982 0.7066739 163.4010
651 6.030637 5.146710e-06 5.137059 0.6853403 164.0863
661 6.065432 4.991349e-06 4.981964 0.6646505 164.7510
671 6.099180 4.840676e-06 4.831550 0.6445852 165.3956
Code
tail(s2, 10)
Output
t S E Ia Ip Im Is H
91 91 999474.0 300.6302 48.37322 17.08642 81.93509 3.489647 1.290286
92 92 999447.1 316.0054 50.84536 17.96032 86.12793 3.668352 1.357212
93 93 999418.8 332.1663 53.44398 18.87889 90.53516 3.856190 1.427548
94 94 999389.0 349.1533 56.17556 19.84442 95.16773 4.053626 1.501470
95 95 999357.7 367.0084 59.04687 20.85930 100.03715 4.261153 1.579159
96 96 999324.8 385.7760 62.06505 21.92605 105.15555 4.479285 1.660809
97 97 999290.3 405.5027 65.23761 23.04733 110.53563 4.708565 1.746623
98 98 999253.9 426.2372 68.57243 24.22590 116.19076 4.949563 1.836813
99 99 999215.7 448.0312 72.07780 25.46470 122.13501 5.202877 1.931604
100 100 999175.6 470.9386 75.76242 26.76680 128.38314 5.469137 2.031230
H2 ICUs ICUd D R foi
91 0.02510128 0.2352986 0.1907828 0.08648955 72.65309 0.0001347600
92 0.02645021 0.2475875 0.2006551 0.09125912 76.40300 0.0001416535
93 0.02786808 0.2605033 0.2110304 0.09627550 80.34472 0.0001488996
94 0.02935839 0.2740781 0.2219345 0.10155126 84.48808 0.0001565161
95 0.03092484 0.2883456 0.2333944 0.10709963 88.84337 0.0001645222
96 0.03257130 0.3033411 0.2454385 0.11293448 93.42145 0.0001729376
97 0.03430186 0.3191019 0.2580967 0.11907045 98.23370 0.0001817833
98 0.03612080 0.3356671 0.2714005 0.12552286 103.29210 0.0001910812
99 0.03803264 0.3530778 0.2853829 0.13230788 108.60923 0.0002008545
100 0.04004211 0.3713773 0.3000786 0.13944245 114.19832 0.0002111274
Code
tail(s3, 10)
Output
date S E I H ICU R
201 2020-03-11 999925.6 42.82681 21.52276 0.1652520 0.05311803 9.787678
221 2020-03-12 999903.9 55.22406 27.73878 0.2211672 0.07119874 12.812219
241 2020-03-13 999875.9 71.20875 35.75585 0.2930341 0.09446204 16.710644
261 2020-03-14 999839.8 91.81894 46.09487 0.3854114 0.12438907 21.736206
281 2020-03-15 999793.3 118.39277 59.42746 0.5041949 0.16289483 28.215383
301 2020-03-16 999733.2 152.65511 76.61953 0.6570005 0.21245262 36.569069
321 2020-03-17 999655.9 196.82909 98.78734 0.8536583 0.27625458 47.339888
341 2020-03-18 999556.1 253.77974 127.36986 1.1068505 0.35841879 61.227395
361 2020-03-19 999427.5 327.19871 164.22174 1.4329335 0.46425621 79.133429
381 2020-03-20 999261.6 421.84171 211.73317 1.8529971 0.60061469 102.220556
death D foi incidence report cumRep
201 0.002610712 0.008215352 1.919536e-05 19.19393 NA 0.0000000
221 0.003503658 0.011719010 2.475130e-05 24.74892 NA 0.0000000
241 0.004649356 0.016368366 3.191541e-05 31.91145 NA 0.0000000
261 0.006119965 0.022488330 4.115302e-05 41.14643 NA 0.0000000
281 0.008008907 0.030497237 5.306408e-05 53.05311 NA 0.0000000
301 0.010436929 0.040934166 6.842205e-05 68.40380 0.7819422 0.7819422
321 0.013559934 0.054494100 8.822404e-05 88.19368 1.0071995 1.7891417
341 0.017579092 0.072073192 1.137553e-04 113.70484 1.2981554 3.0872971
361 0.022753872 0.094827064 1.466725e-04 146.58857 1.6735728 4.7608699
381 0.029418848 0.124245912 1.891106e-04 188.97096 2.1577653 6.9186352
Code
tail(s3B, 10)
Output
date S E I H ICU R
11 2020-03-11 999943.1 32.87921 16.54283 0.1201598 0.03847274 7.357600
12 2020-03-12 999928.3 41.30698 20.73595 0.1596571 0.05120529 9.432949
13 2020-03-13 999909.8 51.86001 26.05897 0.2067331 0.06642125 11.988331
14 2020-03-14 999886.6 65.14294 32.69002 0.2677910 0.08616275 15.245756
15 2020-03-15 999857.4 81.79331 41.07352 0.3418788 0.11015936 19.286749
16 2020-03-16 999820.7 102.73258 51.54815 0.4367754 0.14089976 24.409712
17 2020-03-17 999774.7 128.99746 64.75736 0.5533537 0.17870518 30.794419
18 2020-03-18 999716.9 162.00908 81.29224 0.7015736 0.22677251 38.860370
19 2020-03-19 999644.3 203.43268 102.11062 0.8851455 0.28634358 48.941688
20 2020-03-20 999553.1 255.47674 128.20074 1.1174849 0.36173752 61.649431
death D foi incidence report cumRep
11 0.001688610 0.004996085 1.475154e-05 14.75070 NA 0.0000000
12 0.002230748 0.007226833 1.849800e-05 18.49668 NA 0.0000000
13 0.002951569 0.010178402 2.325811e-05 23.25601 NA 0.0000000
14 0.003804320 0.013982722 2.918116e-05 29.17785 NA 0.0000000
15 0.004912853 0.018895575 3.667398e-05 36.66875 NA 0.0000000
16 0.006252024 0.025147600 4.602940e-05 46.02115 0.6476299 0.6476299
17 0.007970496 0.033118095 5.783186e-05 57.81883 0.8126009 1.4602308
18 0.010076228 0.043194323 7.259975e-05 72.57919 1.0202383 2.4804691
19 0.012757220 0.055951543 9.119817e-05 91.16573 1.2811118 3.7615809
20 0.016072819 0.072024362 1.145004e-04 114.44919 1.6088300 5.3704109
Code
tail(s0, 10)
Output
date S E I H ICU R hosp X death D foi
34 2020-04-22 1349361 4129 2159.890 0 8 384 1 18 1 1 0
35 2020-04-23 1120588 5678 2710.089 21 2 4506 1 2 1 2 0
36 2020-04-24 118715 6374 3399.520 57 37 814 2 22 0 2 0
37 2020-04-25 231303 9009 4263.221 6 66 792 15 88 0 2 0
38 2020-04-26 88319 10323 5344.271 34 17 3186 2 74 1 3 0
39 2020-04-27 107589 14223 6696.500 78 23 2206 27 160 1 4 0
40 2020-04-28 1133210 17043 8385.920 17 21 2880 0 107 0 4 0
41 2020-04-29 466589 20727 10494.117 224 127 18947 19 235 3 7 0
42 2020-04-30 497808 26305 13120.356 116 52 2990 8 51 2 9 0
43 2020-05-01 1122972 31791 16385.500 3 127 1538 3 66 0 9 0
incidence report cumRep
34 57 5 67
35 129 7 74
36 107 83 157
37 876 48 205
38 7274 15 220
39 12003 50 270
40 19693 13 283
41 12370 153 436
42 1452 125 561
43 4085 407 968
Code
tail(s1, 10)
Output
date S E I H ICU R hosp X death D foi
34 2020-04-22 1272771 6081 3096.854 0 32 142 14 2 1 3 0
35 2020-04-23 1774740 7988 3884.129 134 1 6057 9 18 0 3 0
36 2020-04-24 819699 10011 4869.861 43 9 4185 6 77 0 3 0
37 2020-04-25 87127 12179 6103.256 89 12 595 0 46 0 3 0
38 2020-04-26 143844 14724 7644.968 62 6 290 4 71 0 3 0
39 2020-04-27 444731 18799 9569.889 46 92 1168 28 190 0 3 0
40 2020-04-28 1252011 24030 11969.589 10 0 1023 129 38 0 3 0
41 2020-04-29 312546 27562 14955.707 211 12 5269 135 137 2 5 0
42 2020-04-30 523809 37306 18662.782 12 0 2859 26 276 1 6 0
43 2020-05-01 405233 44563 23251.568 906 70 9172 71 119 1 7 0
incidence report cumRep
34 2101 2 298
35 191 31 329
36 207 74 403
37 3667 142 545
38 7157 270 815
39 17100 49 864
40 4566 37 901
41 14443 74 975
42 17692 128 1103
43 972 410 1513
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