#' @describeIn predict Predict without year in model
predict_noYr = function(fittedModel, allLagsT, allLagsO, unpredictedO, fillzeros, allunits, nsim){
predsO <- predict(fittedModel, newdata=allLagsO, type = "link", se=TRUE)
allLagsO$fit <- predsO[[1]]
allLagsO$se <- predsO[[2]]
if (nsim > 0){
allLagsO$predcases <- simulate(fittedModel, newdata = allLagsO, nsim = nsim)
} else {
allLagsO$predcases <- exp(allLagsO$fit)
}
allLagsO <- allLagsO[,c("County", "year", "cases", "fit", "se", "predcases")]
if (fillzeros){
message("Filling in counties with no cases with zero predictions.")
# allunits has all counties, including those with zeros.
# extract counties in cases that are NOT in results$predictions
# to identify counties to fill in
missingunits <- !(allunits %in% unique(allLagsO$County))
if(sum(missingunits) != nrow(unpredictedO)) stop("bad missing units count in predict_noYr()")
if (sum(missingunits) > 0){
unpredictedO$predcases = ifelse(nsim > 0,
matrix(0, nrow = length(missingunits),
ncol = nsim),
0)
unpredictedO <- unpredictedO[,c("County", "year", "cases", "predcases")]
allLagsO <- dplyr::bind_rows(allLagsO, unpredictedO)
} else {
message("No missing units found")
}
}
return(allLagsO)
}
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