View source: R/fit3adequacy.decel.R
fit3adequacy.decel | R Documentation |
Investigating if the decelerated evolution model is an adequate statistical description of an evolutionary time series by applying the following tests (1) autocorrelation (2) runs test, and (3) test of decelerated evolution.
fit3adequacy.decel(y, vstep = NULL, r = NULL, nrep = 1000, conf = 0.95, plot = TRUE)
y |
a paleoTS object |
vstep |
the variance of the step distribution estimated from the observed data. |
r |
parameter describing the decreasing rate of evolution through time. r is restricted to values smaller than zero (the model reduces to the BM model when r = 0). |
nrep |
number of iterations in the parametric bootstrap (number of simulated time series); default is 1000. |
conf |
confidence level for judging whether a model is an adequate statistical description of the data. Number must be between 0 and 1. A higher number means less strict judgment of whether a model is adequate; default is 0.95. Tests are two-tailed, which means a model is judged adequate if the observed test statistic is within the 2.5 percent of the extreme values of the calculated test statistics on the simulated data given the default confidence value of 0.95. |
plot |
logical; if TRUE, the value of the test statistic calculated based on the observed fossil time series is plotted on the distribution of test statistics calculated on the simulated time series; default is TRUE. |
A wrapper function for investigating the adequacy of the decelerated rate evolution model by applying all three adequacy tests at the same time.
First part of the output summarizes the number of iterations in the parametric bootstrap and the confidence level for judging whether a model is an adequate statistical description of the data. The last part of the output is a data frame with the adequacy tests as columns and the following rows:
estimate |
The calculated test statistic on the observed data. |
min.sim |
The smallest test statistic calculated on the simulated data. |
max.sim |
The largest test statistic calculated on the simulated data. |
p-value |
Not a real p-value, but is calculated as the fraction of simulated test statistics that is larger (or smaller) than the calculated test statistic on the observed data divided by 0.5. A value of 1 means 50 percent of the test statistics on the simulated data are larger and smaller than the calculated statistic on the observed data. A value of 0.10 means 90 percent of the test statistics on the simulated data are larger or smaller than the test statistic on the observed time series. |
result |
Whether the model PASSED or FAILED the adequasy test. The outcome depends on the confidence level. |
Kjetil L. Voje
Voje, K.L. 2018. Assessing adequacy of models of phyletic evolution in the fossil record. Methods in Ecology and Evoluton. (in press).
Voje, K.L., Starrfelt, J., and Liow, L.H. 2018. Model adequacy and microevolutionary explanations for stasis in the fossil record. The American Naturalist. 191:509-523.
fit3adequasy.trend
, fit4adequasy.stasis
## generate a paleoTS objects by simulating early burst x <- sim.accel_decel(ns=40, r=-1, vs=0.1) ## Investigate if the time series pass all thee adequacy tests fit3adequacy.decel(x)
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