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#' @title Direct HTRX: k-fold cross-validation on short haplotypes
#' @description Direct k-fold cross-validation used to compute the out-of-sample variance explained by selected features from HTRX.
#' It can be applied to select haplotypes based on HTR, or select single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs).
#' @name do_cv_direct
#'
#' @param data_nosnp a data frame with outcome (the outcome must be the first column),
#' fixed covariates (for example, sex, age and the first 18 PCs) if there are,
#' and without SNPs or haplotypes.
#' @param featuredata a data frame of the feature data, e.g. haplotype data created by HTRX or SNPs.
#' These features exclude all the data in \code{data_nosnp}, and will be selected using 2-step cross-validation.
#' @param featurecap a positive integer which manually sets the maximum number of independent features.
#' By default, \code{featurecap=40}.
#' @param usebinary a non-negative number representing different models.
#' Use linear model if \code{usebinary=0},
#' use logistic regression model via \code{fastglm} if \code{usebinary=1} (by default),
#' and use logistic regression model via \code{glm} if \code{usebinary>1}.
#' @param method the method used for data splitting, either \code{"simple"} (default) or \code{"stratified"}.
#' @param criteria the criteria for model selection, either \code{"BIC"} (default), \code{"AIC"} or \code{"lasso"}.
#' @param gain logical. If \code{gain=TRUE} (default), report the variance explained in addition to fixed covariates;
#' otherwise, report the total variance explained by all the variables.
#' @param runparallel logical. Use parallel programming based on \code{mclapply} function from R package \code{"parallel"} or not.
#' Note that for Windows users, \code{mclapply} doesn't work, so please set \code{runparallel=FALSE} (default).
#' @param mc.cores an integer giving the number of cores used for parallel programming.
#' By default, \code{mc.cores=6}.
#' This only works when \code{runparallel=TRUE}.
#' @param fold a positive integer specifying how many folds
#' the data should be split into for cross-validation.
#' @param kfoldseed a positive integer specifying the seed used to
#' split data for k-fold cross validation. By default, \code{kfoldseed=123}.
#' @param verbose logical. If \code{verbose=TRUE}, print out the inference steps. By default, \code{verbose=FALSE}.
#'
#' @details Function \code{do_cv_direct} directly performs k-fold cross-validation: features are
#' selected from the training set using a specified \code{criteria},
#' and the out-of-sample variance explained by the selected features are computed on the test set.
#' This function runs faster than \code{\link{do_cv}} with large \code{sim_times}, but may lose
#' some accuracy, and it doesn't return a fixed set of features.
#'
#'
#' @return \code{do_cv_direct} returns a list of the out-of-sample variance explained in each of the test set,
#' and the features selected in each of the k training sets.
#'
#' @references
#' Yang Y, Lawson DJ. HTRX: an R package for learning non-contiguous haplotypes associated with a phenotype. Bioinformatics Advances 3.1 (2023): vbad038.
#'
#' Barrie, W., Yang, Y., Irving-Pease, E.K. et al. Elevated genetic risk for multiple sclerosis emerged in steppe pastoralist populations. Nature 625, 321–328 (2024).
#'
#' Eforn, B. "Bootstrap methods: another look at the jackknife." The Annals of Statistics 7 (1979): 1-26.
#'
#' Schwarz, Gideon. "Estimating the dimension of a model." The annals of statistics (1978): 461-464.
#'
#' McFadden, Daniel. "Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior." (1973).
#'
#' Akaike, Hirotugu. "A new look at the statistical model identification." IEEE transactions on automatic control 19.6 (1974): 716-723.
#'
#' Tibshirani, Robert. "Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological) 58.1 (1996): 267-288.
#'
#' @examples
#' ## use dataset "example_hap1", "example_hap2" and "example_data_nosnp"
#' ## "example_hap1" and "example_hap2" are
#' ## both genomes of 8 SNPs for 5,000 individuals (diploid data)
#' ## "example_data_nosnp" is an example dataset
#' ## which contains the outcome (binary), sex, age and 18 PCs
#'
#' ## visualise the covariates data
#' ## we will use only the first two covariates: sex and age in the example
#' head(HTRX::example_data_nosnp)
#'
#' ## visualise the genotype data for the first genome
#' head(HTRX::example_hap1)
#'
#' ## we perform HTRX on the first 4 SNPs
#' ## we first generate all the haplotype data, as defined by HTRX
#' HTRX_matrix=make_htrx(HTRX::example_hap1[,1:4],
#' HTRX::example_hap2[,1:4])
#'
#' ## If the data is haploid, please set
#' ## HTRX_matrix=make_htrx(HTRX::example_hap1[,1:4],
#' ## HTRX::example_hap1[,1:4])
#'
#' ## next compute the maximum number of independent features
#' featurecap=htrx_max(nsnp=4,cap=10)
#' ## then perform HTRX using direct cross-validation
#' ## If we want to compute the total variance explained
#' ## we can set gain=FALSE in the above example
#' \donttest{
#' htrx_results <- do_cv_direct(HTRX::example_data_nosnp[,1:3],
#' HTRX_matrix,featurecap=featurecap,
#' usebinary=1,method="stratified",
#' criteria="lasso",gain=TRUE,
#' runparallel=FALSE,verbose=TRUE)
#' }
NULL
#' @rdname do_cv_direct
#' @export
do_cv_direct <- function(data_nosnp,featuredata,
featurecap=dim(featuredata)[2],usebinary=1,
method="simple",criteria="BIC",gain=TRUE,
runparallel=FALSE,mc.cores=6,fold=10,kfoldseed=123,
verbose=FALSE){
colnames(data_nosnp)[1]='outcome'
set.seed(kfoldseed)
n_total=nrow(featuredata)
#split data into k folds
if(method=="simple"){
split=kfold_split(data_nosnp[,"outcome"],fold=fold)
}else if(method=="stratified"){
split=kfold_split(data_nosnp[,"outcome"],fold=fold,method=method)
}else stop("method must be either simple or stratified")
features <- list()
R2_test <- vector()
for(m in 1:fold){
if(verbose) cat(fold,'- fold cv Round', m, '\n')
test=split[[m]]
train=(1:n_total)[-test]
if(criteria=='lasso'){
if(usebinary==0){
cvfit <- glmnet::cv.glmnet(as.matrix(featuredata[train,]), data_nosnp[train,'outcome'])
}else{
cvfit <- glmnet::cv.glmnet(as.matrix(featuredata[train,]), data_nosnp[train,'outcome'],family="binomial")
}
lambda_order=order(cvfit$cvm)
cv_lambda <- cvfit$lambda[lambda_order]
modellist <- list()
k=1
for(i in 1:length(cv_lambda)){
coef_model=coef(cvfit, s = cv_lambda[i])[-1,]
feature_select=names(coef_model)[which(coef_model!=0)]
if(length(feature_select)!=0){
modellist[[k]]=feature_select
k=k+1
}
}
modellist=unique(modellist)
features[[m]]=as.character(gsub('`','',modellist[[1]]))
if(verbose) cat('Selecting features',features[[m]],'\n')
}else{
featurelist=1:length(colnames(featuredata))
wholedata=cbind(data_nosnp,featuredata)
nfeature=length(featurelist)
ncovar=dim(data_nosnp)[2]-1
n_total=nrow(featuredata)
modellist=list()
minseq <- vector()
information_each <- vector()
featurename <- vector()
data_use=data_nosnp
if(featurecap>dim(featuredata)[2]) featurecap=dim(featuredata)[2]
##train
if(verbose) print("Training...")
##store the maximum number of features fit in the simulation
max_feature_sim=featurecap
for(i in 1:featurecap){
if(verbose) cat('Adding Feature Number',i,'\n')
cal <- function(j){
data_try=cbind(data_use[train,,drop=FALSE],featuredata[train,j,drop=FALSE])
model_try=themodel(outcome~.,data_try,usebinary)
if(criteria=="AIC"){
information_try_gain = AIC(model_try)
if(verbose) cat('... trying feature',j,colnames(featuredata)[j],'with AIC',information_try_gain,'\n')
}else{
information_try_gain = AIC(model_try,k=log(nrow(data_try)))
if(verbose) cat('... trying feature',j,colnames(featuredata)[j],'with BIC',information_try_gain,'\n')
}
return(information_try_gain)
}
if(runparallel==TRUE){
information=parallel::mclapply(featurelist,cal,mc.cores=mc.cores)
}else{
information=lapply(featurelist,cal)
}
gc()
minnumber=which.min(unlist(information))
information_each[i] = min(unlist(information))
minseq[i]=featurelist[minnumber]
data_use=cbind(data_use,featuredata[,minseq[i],drop=FALSE])
modellist[[i]]=themodel(outcome~.,data_use[train,,drop=FALSE],usebinary)
featurename[i]=colnames(featuredata)[minseq[i]]
colnames(data_use)[ncol(data_use)]=featurename[i]
featurelist=featurelist[-minnumber]
if(verbose) cat('... Using feature',minseq[i],colnames(featuredata)[minseq[i]],'\n')
#keep three different models to increase the models in the candidate model pool
if(i>=2){
if(information_each[i]>information_each[i-1]){
break;
}
}
best_model <- modellist[[which.min(information_each)]]
features[[m]]=as.character(gsub('`','',row.names(as.data.frame(best_model$coefficients)))[-(1:ncol(data_nosnp))])
if(verbose) cat('Selecting features',features[[m]],'\n')
}
}
R2_test[m] <- infer_fixedfeatures(data_nosnp,featuredata,test=test,
features=features[[m]],
usebinary=usebinary,gain=gain,R2only=TRUE,verbose=verbose)$R2
if(gain){
if(verbose){
cat('The average out-of-sample gain is', mean(R2_test), '\n')
}
}else{
if(verbose){
cat('The average out-of-sample variance explained is', mean(R2_test), '\n')
}
}
}
return(list(R2_test_gain=R2_test,
selected_features=features))
}
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