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# part of R package boot
# copyright (C) 1997-2001 Angelo J. Canty
# corrections (C) 1997-2011 B. D. Ripley
#
# Unlimited distribution is permitted
# empirical log likelihood ---------------------------------------------------------
EL.profile <- function(y, tmin = min(y) + 0.1, tmax = max(y) - 0.1, n.t = 25,
u = function(y, t) y - t )
{
# Calculate the profile empirical log likelihood function
EL.loglik <- function(lambda) {
temp <- 1 + lambda * EL.stuff$u
if (any(temp <= 0)) NA else - sum(log(1 + lambda * EL.stuff$u))
}
EL.paras <- matrix(NA, n.t, 3)
lam <- 0.001
for(it in 0:(n.t-1)) {
t <- tmin + ((tmax - tmin) * it)/(n.t-1)
EL.stuff <- list(u = u(y, t))
EL.out <- nlm(EL.loglik, lam)
i <- 1
while (EL.out$code > 2 && (i < 20)) {
i <- i+1
lam <- lam/5
EL.out <- nlm(EL.loglik, lam)
}
EL.paras[1 + it, ] <- c(t, EL.loglik(EL.out$x), EL.out$x)
lam <- EL.out$x
}
EL.paras[,2] <- EL.paras[,2]-max(EL.paras[,2])
EL.paras
}
EEF.profile <- function(y, tmin = min(y)+0.1, tmax = max(y) - 0.1, n.t = 25,
u = function(y,t) y - t)
{
EEF.paras <- matrix( NA, n.t+1, 4)
for (it in 0:n.t) {
t <- tmin + (tmax-tmin)*it/n.t
psi <- as.vector(u( y, t ))
fit <- glm(zero ~ psi -1,poisson(log))
f <- fitted(fit)
EEF.paras[1+it,] <- c(t, sum(log(f)-log(sum(f))), sum(f-1),
coefficients(fit))
}
EEF.paras[,2] <- EEF.paras[,2] - max(EEF.paras[,2])
EEF.paras[,3] <- EEF.paras[,3] - max(EEF.paras[,3])
EEF.paras
}
lik.CI <- function(like, lim ) {
#
# Calculate an interval based on the likelihood of a parameter.
# The likelihood is input as a matrix of theta values and the
# likelihood at those points. Also a limit is input. Values of
# theta for which the likelihood is over the limit are then used
# to estimate the end-points.
#
# Not that the estimate only works for unimodal likelihoods.
#
L <- like[, 2]
theta <- like[, 1]
n <- length(L)
i <- min(c(1L:n)[L > lim])
if (is.na(i)) stop(gettextf("likelihood never exceeds %f", lim),
domain = NA)
j <- max(c(1L:n)[L > lim])
if (i ==j )
stop(gettextf("likelihood exceeds %f at only one point", lim),
domain = NA)
if (i == 1) bot <- -Inf
else {
i <- i + c(-1, 0, 1)
x <- theta[i]
y <- L[i]-lim
co <- coefficients(lm(y ~ x + x^2))
bot <- (-co[2L] + sqrt( co[2L]^2 - 4*co[1L]*co[3L]))/(2*co[3L])
}
if (j == n) top <- Inf
else {
j <- j + c(-1, 0, 1)
x <- theta[j]
y <- L[j] - lim
co <- coefficients(lm(y ~ x + x^2))
top <- (-co[2L] - sqrt(co[2L]^2 - 4*co[1L]*co[3L]))/(2*co[3L])
}
out <- c(bot, top)
names(out) <- NULL
out
}
nested.corr <- function(data,w,t0,M) {
## Statistic for the example nested bootstrap on the cd4 data.
## Indexing a bare matrix is much faster
data <- unname(as.matrix(data))
corr.fun <- function(d, w = rep(1, nrow(d))/nrow(d)) {
x <- d[, 1L]; y <- d[, 2L]
w <- w/sum(w)
n <- nrow(d)
m1 <- sum(x * w)
m2 <- sum(y * w)
v1 <- sum(x^2 * w) - m1^2
v2 <- sum(y^2 * w) - m2^2
rho <- (sum(x * y * w) - m1 * m2)/sqrt(v1 * v2)
i <- rep(1L:n, round(n * w))
us <- (x[i] - m1)/sqrt(v1)
xs <- (y[i] - m2)/sqrt(v2)
L <- us * xs - 0.5 * rho * (us^2 + xs^2)
c(rho, sum(L^2)/nrow(d)^2)
}
n <- nrow(data)
i <- rep(1L:n,round(n*w))
t <- corr.fun(data,w)
z <- (t[1L]-t0)/sqrt(t[2L])
nested.boot <- boot(data[i,],corr.fun,R=M,stype="w")
z.nested <- (nested.boot$t[,1L]-t[1L])/sqrt(nested.boot$t[,2L])
c(z,sum(z.nested<z)/(M+1))
}
# part of R package boot
# copyright (C) 1997-2001 Angelo J. Canty
# corrections (C) 1997-2011 B. D. Ripley
# corrections (C) 2023 A. R. Brazzale
#
# Unlimited distribution is permitted
# importance sampling --------------------------------------------------------------
imp.weights <- function(boot.out, def = TRUE, q = NULL)
{
#
# Takes boot.out object and calculates importance weights
# for each element of boot.out$t, as if sampling from multinomial
# distribution with probabilities q.
# If q is NULL the weights are calculated as if
# sampling from a distribution with equal probabilities.
# If def=T calculates weights using defensive mixture
# distribution, if F uses weights knowing from which element of
# the mixture they come.
#
R <- boot.out$R
if (length(R) == 1L)
def <- FALSE
f <- boot.array(boot.out)
n <- ncol(f)
strata <- tapply(boot.out$strata,as.numeric(boot.out$strata))
# ns <- table(strata)
if (is.null(q)) q <- rep(1,ncol(f))
if (any(q == 0)) stop("0 elements not allowed in 'q'")
p <- boot.out$weights
if ((length(R) == 1L) && all(abs(p - q)/p < 1e-10))
return(rep(1, R))
np <- length(R)
q <- normalize(q, strata)
lw.q <- as.vector(f %*% log(q))
if (!isMatrix(p))
p <- as.matrix(t(p))
p <- t(apply(p, 1L, normalize, strata))
lw.p <- matrix(NA, sum(R), np)
for(i in 1L:np) {
zz <- seq_len(n)[p[i, ] > 0]
lw.p[, i] <- f[, zz] %*% log(p[i, zz])
}
if (def)
w <- 1/(exp(lw.p - lw.q) %*% R/sum(R))
else {
i <- cbind(seq_len(sum(R)), rep(seq_along(R), R))
w <- exp(lw.q - lw.p[i])
}
as.vector(w)
}
imp.moments <- function(boot.out=NULL, index=1, t=boot.out$t[,index],
w=NULL, def=TRUE, q=NULL )
{
# Calculates raw, ratio, and regression estimates of mean and
# variance of t using importance sampling weights in w.
if (missing(t) && is.null(boot.out$t))
stop("bootstrap replicates must be supplied")
if (is.null(w))
if (!is.null(boot.out))
w <- imp.weights(boot.out, def, q)
else stop("either 'boot.out' or 'w' must be specified.")
if ((length(index) > 1L) && missing(t)) {
warning("only first element of 'index' used")
t <- boot.out$t[,index[1L]]
}
fins <- seq_along(t)[is.finite(t)]
t <- t[fins]
w <- w[fins]
if (!const(w)) {
y <- t*w
m.raw <- mean( y )
m.rat <- sum( y )/sum( w )
t.lm <- lm( y~w )
m.reg <- mean( y ) - coefficients(t.lm)[2L]*(mean(w)-1)
v.raw <- mean(w*(t-m.raw)^2)
v.rat <- sum(w/sum(w)*(t-m.rat)^2)
x <- w*(t-m.reg)^2
t.lm2 <- lm( x~w )
v.reg <- mean( x ) - coefficients(t.lm2)[2L]*(mean(w)-1)
}
else { m.raw <- m.rat <- m.reg <- mean(t)
v.raw <- v.rat <- v.reg <- var(t)
}
list( raw=c(m.raw,v.raw), rat = c(m.rat,v.rat),
reg = as.vector(c(m.reg,v.reg)))
}
imp.reg <- function(w)
{
# This function takes a vector of importance sampling weights and
# returns the regression importance sampling weights. The function
# is called by imp.prob and imp.quantiles to enable those functions
# to find regression estimates of tail probabilities and quantiles.
R <- length(w)
if (!const(w)) {
# ARB R <- length(w)
mw <- mean(w)
s2w <- (R-1)/R*var(w)
b <- (1-mw)/s2w
# ARB w <- w*(1+b*(w-mw))/R
w <- w*(1+b*(w-mw))
}
# ARB cumsum(w)/sum(w)
# ARB Returned weights sum to R.
w
}
imp.quantile <- function(boot.out=NULL, alpha=NULL, index=1,
t=boot.out$t[,index], w=NULL, def=TRUE, q=NULL )
{
# Calculates raw, ratio, and regression estimates of alpha quantiles
# of t using importance sampling weights in w.
if (missing(t) && is.null(boot.out$t))
stop("bootstrap replicates must be supplied")
if (is.null(alpha)) alpha <- c(0.01,0.025,0.05,0.95,0.975,0.99)
if (is.null(w))
if (!is.null(boot.out))
w <- imp.weights(boot.out, def, q)
else stop("either 'boot.out' or 'w' must be specified.")
if ((length(index) > 1L) && missing(t)){
warning("only first element of 'index' used")
t <- boot.out$t[,index[1L]]
}
fins <- seq_along(t)[is.finite(t)]
t <- t[fins]
w <- w[fins]
o <- order(t)
t <- t[o]
w <- w[o]
cum <- cumsum(w)
cum.rat <- cum/mean(w)
cum.reg <- cumsum(imp.reg(w))
o <- rev(o)
w.m <- w[o]
t.m <- -rev(t)
cum.m <- cumsum(w.m)
R <- length(w)
raw <- rat <- reg <- rep(NA,length(alpha))
for (i in seq_along(alpha)) {
if (alpha[i]<=0.5)
raw[i] <- max(t[cum<=(R+1)*alpha[i]])
else
raw[i] <- -max(t.m[cum.m<=(R+1)*(1-alpha[i])])
rat[i] <- max(t[cum.rat <= (R+1)*alpha[i]])
reg[i] <- max(t[cum.reg <= (R+1)*alpha[i]])
}
list(alpha=alpha, raw=raw, rat=rat, reg=reg)
}
imp.prob <- function(boot.out=NULL, index=1, t0=boot.out$t0[index],
t=boot.out$t[,index], w=NULL, def=TRUE, q=NULL)
{
# Calculates raw, ratio, and regression estimates of tail probability
# pr( t <= t0 ) using importance sampling weights in w.
is.missing <- function(x) length(x) == 0L || is.na(x)
if (missing(t) && is.null(boot.out$t))
stop("bootstrap replicates must be supplied")
if (is.null(w))
if (!is.null(boot.out))
w <- imp.weights(boot.out, def, q)
else stop("either 'boot.out' or 'w' must be specified.")
if ((length(index) > 1L) && (missing(t) || missing(t0))) {
warning("only first element of 'index' used")
index <- index[1L]
if (is.missing(t)) t <- boot.out$t[,index]
if (is.missing(t0)) t0 <- boot.out$t0[index]
}
fins <- seq_along(t)[is.finite(t)]
t <- t[fins]
w <- w[fins]
o <- order(t)
t <- t[o]
w <- w[o]
raw <- rat <- reg <- rep(NA,length(t0))
cum <- cumsum(w)/sum(w)
# ARB cum.r <- imp.reg(w)
w.reg <- imp.reg(w)
cum.r <- cumsum(w.reg)/sum(w.reg)
for (i in seq_along(t0)) {
raw[i] <- sum(w[t<=t0[i]])/length(w)
if(raw[i] > 1L) raw[i] = 1
# ARB rat[i] <- max(cum[t<=t0[i]])
# ARB reg[i] <- max(cum.r[t<=t0[i]])
if(any(t<=t0[i]))
{
rat[i] <- max(cum[t<=t0[i]])
reg[i] <- max(cum.r[t<=t0[i]])
}
else
rat[i] = reg[i] = 0
}
list(t0=t0, raw=raw, rat=rat, reg=reg )
}
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