ssm_mng  R Documentation 
Construct an object of class ssm_mng
by directly defining the
corresponding terms of the model.
ssm_mng( y, Z, T, R, a1 = NULL, P1 = NULL, distribution, phi = 1, u, init_theta = numeric(0), D = NULL, C = NULL, state_names, update_fn = default_update_fn, prior_fn = default_prior_fn )
y 
Observations as multivariate time series or matrix with dimensions n x p. 
Z 
System matrix Z of the observation equation as p x m matrix or p x m x n array. 
T 
System matrix T of the state equation. Either a m x m matrix or a m x m x n array. 
R 
Lower triangular matrix R the state equation. Either a m x k matrix or a m x k x n array. 
a1 
Prior mean for the initial state as a vector of length m. 
P1 
Prior covariance matrix for the initial state as m x m matrix. 
distribution 
A vector of distributions of the observed series.
Possible choices are

phi 
Additional parameters relating to the nonGaussian distributions. For negative binomial distribution this is the dispersion term, for gamma distribution this is the shape parameter, for Gaussian this is standard deviation, and for other distributions this is ignored. 
u 
A matrix of positive constants for nonGaussian models (of same dimensions as y). For Poisson, gamma, and negative binomial distribution, this corresponds to the offset term. For binomial, this is the number of trials (and as such should be integer(ish)). 
init_theta 
Initial values for the unknown hyperparameters theta (i.e. unknown variables excluding latent state variables). 
D 
Intercept terms for observation equation, given as p x n matrix. 
C 
Intercept terms for state equation, given as m x n matrix. 
state_names 
A character vector defining the names of the states. 
update_fn 
A function which returns list of updated model
components given input vector theta. This function should take only one
vector argument which is used to create list with elements named as

prior_fn 
A function which returns log of prior density given input vector theta. 
The general multivariate nonGaussian model is defined using the following observational and state equations:
p^i(y^i_t  D_t + Z_t α_t), (\textrm{observation equation})
α_{t+1} = C_t + T_t α_t + R_t η_t, (\textrm{transition equation})
where η_t \sim N(0, I_k) and α_1 \sim N(a_1, P_1) independently of each other, and p^i(y_t  .) is either Poisson, binomial, gamma, Gaussian, or negative binomial distribution for each observation series i=1,...,p. Here k is the number of disturbance terms (which can be less than m, the number of states).
An object of class ssm_mng
.
set.seed(1) n < 20 x < cumsum(rnorm(n, sd = 0.5)) phi < 2 y < cbind( rgamma(n, shape = phi, scale = exp(x) / phi), rbinom(n, 10, plogis(x))) Z < matrix(1, 2, 1) T < 1 R < 0.5 a1 < 0 P1 < 1 update_fn < function(theta) { list(R = array(theta[1], c(1, 1, 1)), phi = c(theta[2], 1)) } prior_fn < function(theta) { ifelse(all(theta > 0), sum(dnorm(theta, 0, 1, log = TRUE)), Inf) } model < ssm_mng(y, Z, T, R, a1, P1, phi = c(2, 1), init_theta = c(0.5, 2), distribution = c("gamma", "binomial"), u = cbind(1, rep(10, n)), update_fn = update_fn, prior_fn = prior_fn, state_names = "random_walk", # using default values, but being explicit for testing purposes D = matrix(0, 2, 1), C = matrix(0, 1, 1)) # smoothing based on approximating gaussian model ts.plot(cbind(y, fast_smoother(model)), col = 1:3, lty = c(1, 1, 2))
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