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##' @title estimate hypothesis c_st = 1
##'
##' @description estimates parameters from hypothesis lambda = gamma
##'
##' @details There are S*T free parameters under this hypothesis.
##'
##' @param Xdst matrix of sums of number of eaten prey species s during occurrence t; rows indexed by time, and cols indexed by prey species, TxS
##' @param Ydst matrix sum of number of caught prey species s during occurrence t; rows indexed by time, and cols indexed by prey species, TxS
##' @param J vector of predators caught in each time period
##' @param I vector of number of days all traps were left out in a given time period
##' @param EM boolean; whether or not EM algorithm is used
##' @param em_maxiter integer specifying max number of EM iterations
##' @param BALANCED boolean; whether or not data are BALANCED
est1 <- function(Xdst, Ydst, J, I, EM, em_maxiter, BALANCED) {
JI <- J + I
if (EM) {
em_iter <- 1
init <- est1(Xdst, Ydst, J, I, FALSE, em_maxiter, BALANCED)
gammaHat <- gammaHat_old <- init$gamma
## iterate EM
while (EM) {
## some numbers
lambda <- gammaHat
elambda <- exp(lambda)
EX <- lambda*elambda / (elambda - 1)
ZEX <- Xdst*EX
## update parameters
gammaHat <- (ZEX + Ydst) / JI
## check convergence of EM
if ( converged(gammaHat, gammaHat_old) ) {
break
}
## if not converged, store updated estimates
gammaHat_old <- gammaHat
## limit iterations
em_iter <- em_iter+1
if ( em_iter > em_maxiter ) {
stop(sprintf("est1: max EM iterations, %d, reached. Please adjust accordingly.", em_maxiter))
}
}
## calc standard error with est params
egamma <- exp(gammaHat)
Info <- diag(unlist(Ydst/gammaHat^2 + J*egamma/(egamma - 1)^2))
tryCatch(var <- solve(Info),
error=function(e) {
print("Variances not calculated; system is singular.")
var <- NULL
})
## calc loglik with est params
loglik <- llEM(Xdst, Ydst, gammaHat, gammaHat, J, I)
list(lambda=as.matrix(gammaHat), gamma=as.matrix(gammaHat),
ll=loglik, var=var)
} else {
XYdst <- Xdst + Ydst
gammaHat <- XYdst / JI
## calc standard error with est params
Info <- diag(unlist(XYdst/gammaHat^2))
## calc loglik with est params
loglik <- ll(Xdst, Ydst, gammaHat, gammaHat, J, I)
list(lambda=as.matrix(gammaHat), gamma=as.matrix(gammaHat),
ll=loglik, var=solve(Info))
}
}
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