s function for transitions
s_k(x_k,x_k+1)[1:num.times,stat[l]], if the type of
stat [l] is o_ij
s_1_oij(oi, oj, num_states, num_times, obs_data)
hidden state oi
observed state oj
s array of dim(num_state,num_states,num.times,1)
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