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#context("loglikVecMLE")
# Check that the sum of the loglikelihood contributions at the MLE is
# equal to the value of max_loglik
# ------------------------- Binomial model, rats data ----------------------
# Contributions to the independence loglikelihood
binom_loglik <- function(prob, data) {
if (prob < 0 || prob > 1) {
return(-Inf)
}
return(stats::dbinom(data[, "y"], data[, "n"], prob, log = TRUE))
}
rat_res <- adjust_loglik(loglik = binom_loglik, data = rats, par_names = "p")
max_loglik <- attr(rat_res, "max_loglik")
max_loglik2 <- sum(attr(rat_res, "loglikVecMLE"))
test_that("rats: max_loglik and sum(loglikVecMLE) agree", {
testthat::expect_identical(max_loglik, max_loglik2)
})
# ----------------------- GEV, Oxford and Worthing data -----------------------
# GEV independence loglikelihood for the Oxford-Worthing annual maximum
# temperature dataset owtemps
gev_loglik <- function(pars, data) {
o_pars <- pars[c(1, 3, 5)] + pars[c(2, 4, 6)]
w_pars <- pars[c(1, 3, 5)] - pars[c(2, 4, 6)]
if (isTRUE(o_pars[2] <= 0 | w_pars[2] <= 0)) return(-Inf)
o_data <- data[, "Oxford"]
w_data <- data[, "Worthing"]
check <- 1 + o_pars[3] * (o_data - o_pars[1]) / o_pars[2]
if (isTRUE(any(check <= 0))) return(-Inf)
check <- 1 + w_pars[3] * (w_data - w_pars[1]) / w_pars[2]
if (isTRUE(any(check <= 0))) return(-Inf)
o_loglik <- log_gev(o_data, o_pars[1], o_pars[2], o_pars[3])
w_loglik <- log_gev(w_data, w_pars[1], w_pars[2], w_pars[3])
return(o_loglik + w_loglik)
}
# Initial estimates (method of moments for the Gumbel case)
sigma <- as.numeric(sqrt(6 * diag(stats::var(owtemps))) / pi)
mu <- as.numeric(colMeans(owtemps) - 0.57722 * sigma)
init <- c(mean(mu), -diff(mu) / 2, mean(sigma), -diff(sigma) / 2, 0, 0)
par_names <- c("mu0", "mu1", "sigma0", "sigma1", "xi0", "xi1")
# Full model
large <- adjust_loglik(gev_loglik, data = owtemps, init = init,
par_names = par_names)
max_loglik <- attr(large, "max_loglik")
max_loglik2 <- sum(attr(large, "loglikVecMLE"))
test_that("GEV large: max_loglik and sum(loglikVecMLE) agree", {
testthat::expect_identical(max_loglik, max_loglik2)
})
# Restricted model, using larger to start and character name
medium <- adjust_loglik(larger = large, fixed_pars = "xi1")
max_loglik <- attr(medium, "max_loglik")
max_loglik2 <- sum(attr(medium, "loglikVecMLE"))
test_that("GEV medium: max_loglik and sum(loglikVecMLE) agree", {
testthat::expect_identical(max_loglik, max_loglik2)
})
small <- adjust_loglik(larger = medium, fixed_pars = c("sigma1", "xi1"))
max_loglik <- attr(small, "max_loglik")
max_loglik2 <- sum(attr(small, "loglikVecMLE"))
test_that("GEV small: max_loglik and sum(loglikVecMLE) agree", {
testthat::expect_identical(max_loglik, max_loglik2)
})
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