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#' @title Small Area Estimation using Hierarchical Bayesian under Gamma Distribution
#' @description This function is implemented to variable of interest \eqn{(y)} that assumed to be a Gamma Distribution. The range of data is \eqn{( y > 0)}
#' @param formula Formula that describe the fitted model
#' @param iter.update Number of updates with default \code{3}
#' @param iter.mcmc Number of total iterations per chain with default \code{10000}
#' @param coef a vector contains prior initial value of Coefficient of Regression Model for fixed effect with default vector of \code{0} with the length of the number of regression coefficients
#' @param var.coef a vector contains prior initial value of variance of Coefficient of Regression Model with default vector of \code{1} with the length of the number of regression coefficients
#' @param thin Thinning rate, must be a positive integer with default \code{2}
#' @param burn.in Number of iterations to discard at the beginning with default \code{2000}
#' @param tau.u Prior initial value of inverse of Variance of area random effect with default \code{1}
#' @param data The data frame
#'
#' @return This function returns a list of the following objects:
#' \item{Est}{A vector with the values of Small Area mean Estimates using Hierarchical bayesian method }
#' \item{refVar}{Estimated random effect variances}
#' \item{coefficient}{A dataframe with the estimated model coefficient}
#' \item{plot}{Trace, Dencity, Autocorrelation Function Plot of MCMC samples}
#'
#' @export Gamma
#'
#' @examples
#' \donttest{
#' ## Data Generation
#' set.seed(123)
#' m <- 30
#' x1 <- runif(m, 0, 1)
#' x2 <- runif(m, 0, 1)
#' b0 <- b1 <- b2 <- 0.5
#' u <- rnorm(m, 0, 1)
#' phi <- rgamma(m, 0.5, 0.5)
#' vardir <- 1 / phi
#' mu <- exp(b0 + b1 * x1 + b2 * x2 + u)
#' A <- mu^2 * phi
#' B <- mu * phi
#' y <- rgamma(m, A, B)
#'
#' dataGamma <- as.data.frame(cbind(y, x1, x2, vardir))
#' dataGammaNs <- dataGamma
#' dataGammaNs$y[c(3, 14, 22, 29, 30)] <- NA
#' dataGammaNs$vardir[c(3, 14, 22, 29, 30)] <- NA
#'
#'
#' ## Compute Fitted Model
#' ## y ~ x1 +x2
#'
#'
#' ## For data without any nonsampled area
#' model_formula = y ~ x1 +x2
#' v <- c(1, 1, 1)
#' c <- c(0, 0, 0)
#'
#'
#' ## Using parameter coef and var.coef
#' saeHBGamma <- Gamma(model_formula, coef = c, var.coef = v, iter.update = 10, data = dataGamma)
#'
#' saeHBGamma$Est # Small Area mean Estimates
#' saeHBGamma$refVar # Random effect variance
#' saeHBGamma$coefficient # coefficient
#' # Load Library 'coda' to execute the plot
#' # autocorr.plot(saeHBGamma$plot[[3]]) is used to generate ACF Plot
#' # plot(saeHBGamma$plot[[3]]) is used to generate Density and trace plot
#'
#' ## Do not using parameter coef and var.coef
#' saeHBGamma <- Gamma(model_formula, data = dataGamma) #'
#'
#'
#' ## For data with nonsampled area use dataGammaNs
#' }
Gamma <- function(formula, iter.update = 3, iter.mcmc = 10000, coef, var.coef, thin = 2, burn.in = 2000, tau.u = 1, data) {
result <- list(
Est = NA, refVar = NA, coefficient = NA,
plot = NA
)
formuladata <- model.frame(formula, data, na.action = NULL)
if (any(is.na(formuladata[, -1]))) {
stop("Auxiliary Variables contains NA values.")
}
auxVar <- as.matrix(formuladata[, -1])
nvar <- ncol(auxVar) + 1
# formuladata <- data.frame(formuladata, n.samp = data[,n.samp])
if (!missing(var.coef)) {
if (length(var.coef) != nvar) {
stop("length of vector var.coef does not match the number of regression coefficients, the length must be ", nvar)
}
tau.b.value <- 1 / var.coef
} else {
tau.b.value <- 1 / rep(1, nvar)
}
if (!missing(coef)) {
if (length(coef) != nvar) {
stop("length of vector coef does not match the number of regression coefficients, the length must be ", nvar)
}
mu.b.value <- coef
} else {
mu.b.value <- rep(0, nvar)
}
if (iter.update < 3) {
stop("the number of iteration updates at least 3 times")
}
# Fungsi Tersampel
if (!any(is.na(formuladata[, 1]))) {
formuladata <- as.matrix(na.omit(formuladata))
if (any(formuladata[, 1] <= 0)) {
stop("response variable must be ", formula[2], " > 0")
}
x <- model.matrix(formula, data = as.data.frame(formuladata))
n <- nrow(formuladata)
mu.b <- mu.b.value
tau.b <- tau.b.value
phi.aa <- phi.ab <- 1
phi.ba <- phi.bb <- 1
tau.ua <- tau.ub <- 1
a.var <- 1
for (i in 1:iter.update) {
dat <- list(
"n" = n, "nvar" = nvar, "y" = formuladata[, 1], "x" = as.matrix(x[, -1]),
"mu.b" = mu.b, "tau.b" = tau.b, "tau.ua" = tau.ua, "tau.ub" = tau.ub,
"phi.aa" = phi.aa, "phi.ab" = phi.ab, "phi.ba" = phi.ba, "phi.bb" = phi.bb
)
inits <- list(b = mu.b, tau.u = tau.u)
cat("model {
for (i in 1:n) {
y[i] ~ dgamma(A[i],B[i])
A[i] = pow(mu[i],2)*phi[i]
B[i] = mu[i]*phi[i]
log(mu[i])= b[1] + sum(b[2:nvar]*x[i,]) + u[i]
u[i] ~ dnorm(0, tau.u)
phi[i]~dgamma(phi.a, phi.b)
}
for (k in 1:nvar){
b[k] ~ dnorm(mu.b[k],tau.b[k])
}
phi.a~dgamma(phi.aa,phi.ab)
phi.b~dgamma(phi.ba,phi.bb)
tau.u~dgamma(tau.ua, tau.ub)
a.var <- 1 / tau.u
}", file = "Gamma.txt")
jags.m <- jags.model(file = "Gamma.txt", data = dat, inits = inits, n.chains = 1, n.adapt = 500)
file.remove("Gamma.txt")
params <- c("mu", "a.var", "b", "tau.u", "phi.a", "phi.b")
samps <- coda.samples(jags.m, params, n.iter = iter.mcmc, thin = thin)
samps1 <- window(samps, start = burn.in + 1, end = iter.mcmc)
result_samps <- summary(samps1)
a.var <- result_samps$statistics[1]
beta <- result_samps$statistics[2:(nvar + 1), 1:2]
for (i in 1:nvar) {
mu.b[i] <- beta[i, 1]
tau.b[i] <- 1 / (beta[i, 2]^2)
}
phi.aa <- result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 2), 1]^2 / result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 2), 2]^2
phi.ab <- result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 2), 1] / result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 2), 2]^2
phi.ba <- result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 3), 1]^2 / result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 3), 2]^2
phi.bb <- result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 3), 1] / result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 3), 2]^2
tau.ua <- result_samps$statistics[(4 + nvar + n), 1]^2 / result_samps$statistics[(4 + nvar + n), 2]^2
tau.ub <- result_samps$statistics[(4 + nvar + n), 1] / result_samps$statistics[(4 + nvar + n), 2]^2
}
result_samps <- summary(samps1)
b.varnames <- list()
for (i in 1:(nvar)) {
idx.b.varnames <- as.character(i - 1)
b.varnames[i] <- str_replace_all(paste("b[", idx.b.varnames, "]"), pattern = " ", replacement = "")
}
result_mcmc <- samps1[, c(2:(nvar + 1))]
colnames(result_mcmc[[1]]) <- b.varnames
a.var <- result_samps$statistics[1]
beta <- result_samps$statistics[2:(nvar + 1), 1:2]
rownames(beta) <- b.varnames
mu <- result_samps$statistics[(nvar + 2):(1 + nvar + n), 1:2]
Estimation <- data.frame(mu)
Quantiles <- as.data.frame(result_samps$quantiles[1:(3 + nvar + n), ])
q_mu <- Quantiles[(nvar + 2):(nvar + 1 + n), ]
q_beta <- (Quantiles[2:(nvar + 1), ])
rownames(q_beta) <- b.varnames
beta <- cbind(beta, q_beta)
Estimation <- data.frame(Estimation, q_mu)
colnames(Estimation) <- c("MEAN", "SD", "2.5%", "25%", "50%", "75%", "97.5%")
} else {
formuladata <- as.data.frame(formuladata)
x <- as.matrix(formuladata[, 2:nvar])
n <- nrow(formuladata)
mu.b <- mu.b.value
tau.b <- tau.b.value
tau.ua <- tau.ub <- 1
phi.aa <- phi.ab <- 1
phi.ba <- phi.bb <- 1
a.var <- 1
formuladata$idx <- rep(1:n)
data_sampled <- na.omit(formuladata)
if (any(data_sampled[, 1] <= 0)) {
stop("response variable must be ", formula[2], " > 0")
}
data_nonsampled <- formuladata[-data_sampled$idx, ]
r <- data_nonsampled$idx
n1 <- nrow(data_sampled)
n2 <- nrow(data_nonsampled)
for (i in 1:iter.update) {
dat <- list(
"n1" = n1, "n2" = n2, "nvar" = nvar, "y_sampled" = data_sampled[, 1],
"x_sampled" = as.matrix(data_sampled[, 2:nvar]),
"x_nonsampled" = as.matrix(data_nonsampled[, 2:nvar]),
"mu.b" = mu.b, "tau.b" = tau.b, "tau.ua" = tau.ua, "tau.ub" = tau.ub,
"phi.aa" = phi.aa, "phi.ab" = phi.ab, "phi.ba" = phi.ba, "phi.bb" = phi.bb
)
inits <- list(b = mu.b, tau.u = tau.u)
cat("model {
for (i in 1:n1) {
y_sampled[i] ~ dgamma(A[i],B[i])
A[i] = pow(mu[i],2)*phi[i]
B[i] = mu[i]*phi[i]
log(mu[i])= b[1] + sum(b[2:nvar]*x_sampled[i,]) + u[i]
u[i] ~ dnorm(0, tau.u)
phi[i]~dgamma(phi.a, phi.b)
}
for (j in 1:n2) {
v[j]~dnorm(0,tau.u)
y_nonsampled[j] ~ dgamma(A.nonsampled[j],B.nonsampled[j])
A.nonsampled[j] = pow(mu.nonsampled[j],2)*phi.nonsampled[j]
B.nonsampled[j] = mu.nonsampled[j]*phi.nonsampled[j]
log(mu.nonsampled[j])= mu.b[1] + sum(mu.b[2:nvar]*x_nonsampled[j,]) +v[j]
phi.nonsampled[j]~dgamma(phi.a, phi.b)
}
# prior
for (k in 1:nvar){
b[k] ~ dnorm(mu.b[k],tau.b[k])
}
phi.a~dgamma(phi.aa,phi.ab)
phi.b~dgamma(phi.ba,phi.bb)
tau.u~dgamma(tau.ua, tau.ub)
a.var <- 1 / tau.u
}", file = "Gamma.txt")
jags.m <- jags.model(file = "Gamma.txt", data = dat, inits = inits, n.chains = 1, n.adapt = 500)
file.remove("Gamma.txt")
params <- c("mu", "mu.nonsampled", "a.var", "b", "phi.a", "phi.b", "tau.u")
samps <- coda.samples(jags.m, params, n.iter = iter.mcmc, thin = thin)
samps1 <- window(samps, start = burn.in + 1, end = iter.mcmc)
result_samps <- summary(samps1)
a.var <- result_samps$statistics[1]
beta <- result_samps$statistics[2:(nvar + 1), 1:2]
for (i in 1:nvar) {
mu.b[i] <- beta[i, 1]
tau.b[i] <- 1 / (beta[i, 2]^2)
}
phi.aa <- result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 2), 1]^2 / result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 2), 2]^2
phi.ab <- result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 2), 1] / result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 2), 2]^2
phi.ba <- result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 3), 1]^2 / result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 3), 2]^2
phi.bb <- result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 3), 1] / result_samps$statistics[(n + nvar + 3), 2]^2
tau.ua <- result_samps$statistics[(4 + nvar + n), 1]^2 / result_samps$statistics[(4 + nvar + n), 2]^2
tau.ub <- result_samps$statistics[(4 + nvar + n), 1] / result_samps$statistics[(4 + nvar + n), 2]^2
}
result_samps <- summary(samps1)
b.varnames <- list()
for (i in 1:(nvar)) {
idx.b.varnames <- as.character(i - 1)
b.varnames[i] <- str_replace_all(paste("b[", idx.b.varnames, "]"), pattern = " ", replacement = "")
}
result_mcmc <- samps1[, c(2:(nvar + 1))]
colnames(result_mcmc[[1]]) <- b.varnames
a.var <- result_samps$statistics[1]
beta <- result_samps$statistics[2:(nvar + 1), 1:2]
rownames(beta) <- b.varnames
mu <- result_samps$statistics[(nvar + 2):(1 + nvar + n1), 1:2]
mu.nonsampled <- result_samps$statistics[(2 + nvar + n1):(1 + nvar + n), 1:2]
Estimation <- matrix(rep(0, n), n, 2)
Estimation[r, ] <- mu.nonsampled
Estimation[-r, ] <- mu
Estimation <- as.data.frame(Estimation)
Quantiles <- as.data.frame(result_samps$quantiles[1:(2 + nvar + n), ])
q_beta <- (Quantiles[2:(nvar + 1), ])
q_mu <- (Quantiles[(nvar + 2):(nvar + 1 + n1), ])
q_mu.nonsampled <- (Quantiles[(2 + nvar + n1):(1 + nvar + n), ])
q_Estimation <- matrix(0, n, 5)
for (i in 1:5) {
q_Estimation[r, i] <- q_mu.nonsampled[, i]
q_Estimation[-r, i] <- q_mu[, i]
}
rownames(q_beta) <- b.varnames
beta <- cbind(beta, q_beta)
Estimation <- data.frame(Estimation, q_Estimation)
colnames(Estimation) <- c("MEAN", "SD", "2.5%", "25%", "50%", "75%", "97.5%")
}
result$Est <- Estimation
result$refVar <- a.var
result$coefficient <- beta
result$plot <- list(graphics.off(), par(mar = c(2, 2, 2, 2)), autocorr.plot(result_mcmc, col = "brown2", lwd = 2), plot(result_mcmc, col = "brown2", lwd = 2))
return(result)
}
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