bprobgHsContSS <- function(params, respvec, VC, ps, AT = FALSE){
p1 <- p2 <- pdf1 <- pdf2 <- c.copula.be2 <- c.copula.be1 <- c.copula2.be1be2 <- NA
eta1 <- VC$X1%*%params[1:VC$X1.d2]
eta2 <- VC$X2%*%params[(VC$X1.d2+1):(VC$X1.d2+VC$X2.d2)]
etad <- etas <- l.ln <- etan <- NULL
if(is.null(VC$X3)){
sigma2.st <- etas <- params[(VC$X1.d2 + VC$X2.d2 + 1)]
teta.st <- etad <- params[(VC$X1.d2 + VC$X2.d2 + 2)]
}
if(!is.null(VC$X3)){
sigma2.st <- etas <- VC$X3%*%params[(VC$X1.d2+VC$X2.d2+1):(VC$X1.d2+VC$X2.d2+VC$X3.d2)]
teta.st <- etad <- VC$X4%*%params[(VC$X1.d2+VC$X2.d2+VC$X3.d2+1):(VC$X1.d2+VC$X2.d2+VC$X3.d2+VC$X4.d2)] #remove and change teta.st
}
sstr1 <- esp.tr(sigma2.st, VC$margins[2])
sigma2.st <- sstr1$vrb.st
sigma2 <- sstr1$vrb
eta2 <- eta.tr(eta2, VC$margins[2])
dHs <- distrHs(respvec$y2, eta2, sigma2, sigma2.st, margin2=VC$margins[2], naive = FALSE, min.dn = VC$min.dn, min.pr = VC$min.pr, max.pr = VC$max.pr)
pdf2 <- dHs$pdf2
p2 <- dHs$p2
derpdf2.dereta2 <- dHs$derpdf2.dereta2
derpdf2.dersigma2.st <- dHs$derpdf2.dersigma2.st
derp2.dersigma.st <- dHs$derp2.dersigma.st
derp2.dereta2 <- dHs$derp2.dereta2
der2p2.dereta2eta2 <- dHs$der2p2.dereta2eta2
der2pdf2.dereta2 <- dHs$der2pdf2.dereta2
der2p2.dersigma2.st2 <- dHs$der2p2.dersigma2.st2
der2pdf2.dersigma2.st2 <- dHs$der2pdf2.dersigma2.st2
der2p2.dereta2dersigma2.st <- dHs$der2p2.dereta2dersigma2.st
der2pdf2.dereta2dersigma2.st <- dHs$der2pdf2.dereta2dersigma2.st
pd1 <- probm(eta1, VC$margins[1], bc = TRUE, min.dn = VC$min.dn, min.pr = VC$min.pr, max.pr = VC$max.pr)
p1 <- 1 - pd1$pr
########################################################################################################
resT <- teta.tr(VC, teta.st)
teta.st <- resT$teta.st
teta <- resT$teta
########################################################################################################
dH <- copgHs(p1[VC$inde], p2, eta1 = NULL, eta2 = NULL, teta, teta.st, VC$BivD, VC$dof, min.dn = VC$min.dn, min.pr = VC$min.pr, max.pr = VC$max.pr)
h <- dH$c.copula.be2
l.par1 <- log(p1)
l.par1[VC$inde] <- log(pdf2 * (1-h))
l.par <- VC$weights*l.par1
########################################################################################################
c.copula2.be2 <- dH$c.copula2.be2
c.copula2.be1be2 <- dH$c.copula2.be1be2
c.copula2.be2th <- dH$c.copula2.be2th
derp1.dereta1 <- pd1$derp1.dereta1
derh.dereta1 <- c.copula2.be1be2 * derp1.dereta1[VC$inde]
derh.dereta2 <- c.copula2.be2 * derp2.dereta2
dl.dbe11 <- 1/p1* derp1.dereta1
dl.dbe11[VC$inde] <- -c.copula2.be1be2 / (1-h) * derp1.dereta1[VC$inde]
dl.dbe1 <- VC$weights*dl.dbe11
dl.dbe2 <- VC$weights[VC$inde]*( 1/(pdf2* (1-h)) * (derpdf2.dereta2 * (1-h) - pdf2 * derh.dereta2 ) )
dl.dsigma.st <- VC$weights[VC$inde]*( 1/(pdf2* (1-h)) * (derpdf2.dersigma2.st * (1-h) - pdf2 * c.copula2.be2 * derp2.dersigma.st ) )
dl.dteta.st <- VC$weights[VC$inde]*( 1/(1-h) * (-c.copula2.be2th) )
########################################################################################################
BITS <- copgHsCont(p1[VC$inde], p2, teta, teta.st, VC$BivD, par2 = VC$dof, nu.st = log(VC$dof-2))
der2h.derp2p2 <- BITS$der2h.derp2p2
der2h.derteta.teta.st <- BITS$der2h.derteta.teta.st
derteta.derteta.st <- BITS$derteta.derteta.st
der2teta.derteta.stteta.st <- BITS$der2teta.derteta.stteta.st
der2h.derp1p2 <- BITS$der2h.derp1p2
der2h.derp1teta <- BITS$der2h.derp1teta
der2h.derp2teta <- BITS$der2h.derp2teta
der2h.derp1p1 <- BITS$der2h.derp1p1
der2p1.dereta1eta1 <- pd1$der2p1.dereta1eta1
der2h.dereta2.dereta2 <- der2h.derp2p2*derp2.dereta2^2 + c.copula2.be2*der2p2.dereta2eta2
der2h.derteta.st2 <- der2h.derteta.teta.st*derteta.derteta.st^2 + c.copula2.be2th/derteta.derteta.st* der2teta.derteta.stteta.st
der2h.derp2dersigma2.st <- der2h.derp2p2*derp2.dersigma.st
#der2h.derp2dernu.st <- der2h.derp2p2*derp2.dernu.st
der2h.dersigma2.st2 <- der2h.derp2dersigma2.st*derp2.dersigma.st + c.copula2.be2*der2p2.dersigma2.st2
derh.dersigma2.st <- c.copula2.be2 * derp2.dersigma.st
der2h.dereta1.dereta2 <- der2h.derp1p2*derp1.dereta1[VC$inde]*derp2.dereta2
der2h.dereta1.derteta.st <- der2h.derp1teta*derp1.dereta1[VC$inde]*derteta.derteta.st
der2h.dereta1.dersigma2.st <- der2h.derp1p2 * derp2.dersigma.st*derp1.dereta1[VC$inde]
der2h.dereta2.derteta.st <- der2h.derp2teta*derp2.dereta2*derteta.derteta.st
der2h.derteta.st.dersigma2.st <- der2h.derp2teta* derteta.derteta.st*derp2.dersigma.st
der2h.dereta2.dersigma2.st <- der2h.derp2dersigma2.st*derp2.dereta2 + c.copula2.be2*der2p2.dereta2dersigma2.st
d2l.be1.be11 <- -1/p1^2*derp1.dereta1*derp1.dereta1 + 1/p1*der2p1.dereta1eta1
d2l.be1.be11[VC$inde] <- -(derh.dereta1/(1-h)^2 * c.copula2.be1be2 + 1/(1-h)* der2h.derp1p1 * derp1.dereta1[VC$inde])*derp1.dereta1[VC$inde] - c.copula2.be1be2/(1-h)*der2p1.dereta1eta1[VC$inde]
d2l.be1.be1 <- -VC$weights*d2l.be1.be11
d2l.be2.be2 <- -VC$weights[VC$inde]*(( -(derpdf2.dereta2 * (1-h) - pdf2 * derh.dereta2 ) / (pdf2*(1-h))^2 ) * ( (derpdf2.dereta2 * (1-h) - pdf2 * derh.dereta2 ))
+ 1/(pdf2*(1-h)) * (der2pdf2.dereta2 * (1-h) - derpdf2.dereta2 * derh.dereta2 - (derpdf2.dereta2 * derh.dereta2 + pdf2*der2h.dereta2.dereta2) ) )
d2l.rho.rho <- -VC$weights[VC$inde]*((-c.copula2.be2th/(h-1)^2) * c.copula2.be2th + (1/(h-1) * der2h.derteta.st2))
d2l.sigma.sigma <- -VC$weights[VC$inde]*(( -(derpdf2.dersigma2.st * (1-h) - pdf2 * derh.dersigma2.st) / (pdf2*(1-h))^2 ) * ( (derpdf2.dersigma2.st * (1-h) - pdf2 * derh.dersigma2.st ))
+ 1/(pdf2*(1-h)) * ( der2pdf2.dersigma2.st2 * (1-h) - derpdf2.dersigma2.st * derh.dersigma2.st - (derpdf2.dersigma2.st * derh.dersigma2.st + pdf2*der2h.dersigma2.st2) ) )
d2l.be1.be2 <- -VC$weights[VC$inde]*(-( derh.dereta2/(1-h)^2 * c.copula2.be1be2 + 1/(1-h)*der2h.derp1p2*derp2.dereta2)*derp1.dereta1[VC$inde])
d2l.be1.rho <- -VC$weights[VC$inde]*(-( c.copula2.be2th/(1-h)^2 * c.copula2.be1be2 + 1/(1-h)*derteta.derteta.st * der2h.derp1teta)*derp1.dereta1[VC$inde])
d2l.be1.sigma <- -VC$weights[VC$inde]*(-( derh.dersigma2.st/(1-h)^2 * c.copula2.be1be2 + 1/(1-h)*der2h.derp1p2*derp2.dersigma.st)*derp1.dereta1[VC$inde])
d2l.be2.rho <- -VC$weights[VC$inde]*( -c.copula2.be2*derp2.dereta2/((h-1)^2)*c.copula2.be2th + 1/(h-1)*der2h.dereta2.derteta.st)
d2l.be2.sigma <- -VC$weights[VC$inde]*(( -(derpdf2.dersigma2.st * (1-h) - pdf2 * derh.dersigma2.st ) / (pdf2*(1-h))^2 ) * ( (derpdf2.dereta2 * (1-h) - pdf2 * derh.dereta2 ))
+ 1/(pdf2*(1-h)) * (der2pdf2.dereta2dersigma2.st * (1-h) - derpdf2.dereta2 * derh.dersigma2.st - (derpdf2.dersigma2.st * derh.dereta2 + pdf2*der2h.dereta2.dersigma2.st) ) )
d2l.rho.sigma <- -VC$weights[VC$inde]*( -c.copula2.be2*derp2.dersigma.st/((h-1)^2)*c.copula2.be2th + 1/(h-1)*der2h.derteta.st.dersigma2.st)
if( is.null(VC$X3) ){
be1.be1 <- crossprod(VC$X1*c(d2l.be1.be1),VC$X1)
be2.be2 <- crossprod(VC$X2*c(d2l.be2.be2),VC$X2)
be1.be2 <- crossprod(VC$X1[VC$inde,]*c(d2l.be1.be2),VC$X2)
be1.rho <- t(t(rowSums(t(VC$X1[VC$inde,]*c(d2l.be1.rho)))))
be1.sigma <- t(t(rowSums(t(VC$X1[VC$inde,]*c(d2l.be1.sigma)))))
be2.rho <- t(t(rowSums(t(VC$X2*c(d2l.be2.rho)))))
be2.sigma <- t(t(rowSums(t(VC$X2*c(d2l.be2.sigma)))))
H <- rbind( cbind( be1.be1 , be1.be2 , be1.sigma , be1.rho ),
cbind( t(be1.be2) , be2.be2 , be2.sigma , be2.rho ),
cbind( t(be1.sigma), t(be2.sigma), sum(d2l.sigma.sigma) , sum(d2l.rho.sigma) ),
cbind( t(be1.rho) , t(be2.rho) , sum(d2l.rho.sigma), sum(d2l.rho.rho) )
)
G <- -c( colSums( c(dl.dbe1)*VC$X1 ) ,
colSums( c(dl.dbe2)*VC$X2 ) ,
sum( dl.dsigma.st ),
sum( dl.dteta.st ) )
}
if( !is.null(VC$X3) ){
be1.be1 <- crossprod(VC$X1*c(d2l.be1.be1),VC$X1)
be2.be2 <- crossprod(VC$X2*c(d2l.be2.be2),VC$X2)
be1.be2 <- crossprod(VC$X1[VC$inde,]*c(d2l.be1.be2),VC$X2)
be1.rho <- crossprod(VC$X1[VC$inde,]*c(d2l.be1.rho), VC$X4)
be1.sigma <- crossprod(VC$X1[VC$inde,]*c(d2l.be1.sigma),VC$X3)
be2.rho <- crossprod(VC$X2*c(d2l.be2.rho), VC$X4)
be2.sigma <- crossprod(VC$X2*c(d2l.be2.sigma),VC$X3)
sigma.sigma <- crossprod(VC$X3*c(d2l.sigma.sigma),VC$X3)
sigma.rho <- crossprod(VC$X3*c(d2l.rho.sigma),VC$X4)
rho.rho <- crossprod(VC$X4*c(d2l.rho.rho), VC$X4)
H <- rbind( cbind( be1.be1 , be1.be2 , be1.sigma , be1.rho ),
cbind( t(be1.be2) , be2.be2 , be2.sigma , be2.rho ),
cbind( t(be1.sigma), t(be2.sigma), sigma.sigma , sigma.rho ),
cbind( t(be1.rho) , t(be2.rho) , t(sigma.rho) , rho.rho )
)
G <- -c( colSums( c(dl.dbe1)*VC$X1 ) ,
colSums( c(dl.dbe2)*VC$X2 ) ,
colSums( c(dl.dsigma.st)*VC$X3 ) ,
colSums( c(dl.dteta.st)*VC$X4 ) )
}
res <- -sum(l.par)
if(VC$extra.regI == "pC") H <- regH(H, type = 1)
S.h <- ps$S.h
if( length(S.h) != 1){
S.h1 <- 0.5*crossprod(params,S.h)%*%params
S.h2 <- S.h%*%params
} else S.h <- S.h1 <- S.h2 <- 0
S.res <- res
res <- S.res + S.h1
G <- G + S.h2
H <- H + S.h
if(VC$extra.regI == "sED") H <- regH(H, type = 2)
if(!is.null(VC$X3)){
teta.stt <- etast <- etadt <- etant <- rep(0, length(eta1))
etast[VC$inde] <- etas ; etas <- etast
etadt[VC$inde] <- etad ; etad <- etadt
teta.stt[VC$inde] <- teta.st ; teta.st <- teta.stt
}
p2t <- dl.dbe2t <- dl.dsigma.stt <- dl.dteta.stt <- rep(0, length(eta1))
p2t[VC$inde] <- p2 ;p2 <- p2t
dl.dbe2t[VC$inde] <- dl.dbe2 ;dl.dbe2 <- dl.dbe2t
dl.dsigma.stt[VC$inde] <- dl.dsigma.st ;dl.dsigma.st <- dl.dsigma.stt
dl.dteta.stt[VC$inde] <- dl.dteta.st ;dl.dteta.st <- dl.dteta.stt
if(VC$margins[2] == "LN"){
dHs <- distrHsAT(exp(respvec$y2), eta2, sigma2, 1, margin2 = VC$margins[2], min.dn = VC$min.dn, min.pr = VC$min.pr, max.pr = VC$max.pr)
pdf2 <- dHs$pdf2
p2 <- dHs$p2
dH <- copgHsAT(p1[VC$inde], p2, teta, VC$BivD, min.dn = VC$min.dn, min.pr = VC$min.pr, max.pr = VC$max.pr, par2 = VC$dof)
h <- dH$c.copula.be2
l.par1 <- log(p1)
l.par1[VC$inde] <- log(pdf2 * (1-h))
l.ln <- -sum(VC$weights*l.par1)
}
list(value=res, gradient=G, hessian=H, S.h=S.h, S.h1=S.h1, S.h2=S.h2, l=S.res, l.par=l.par, ps = ps, etas = etas, l.ln=l.ln,
eta1 = eta1, eta2 = eta2, etad = etad, etan = etan,
dl.dbe1=dl.dbe1, dl.dbe2=dl.dbe2, dl.dsigma.st = dl.dsigma.st,
dl.dteta.st = dl.dteta.st,
BivD=VC$BivD, p1 = 1-p1, p2 = p2, pdf1 = pdf1, pdf2 = pdf2,
c.copula.be2 = c.copula.be2,
c.copula.be1 = c.copula.be1,
c.copula2.be1be2 = c.copula2.be1be2, theta.star = teta.st)
}
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