## particle fixed lag smoothing for is2 codes
setClass(
"pfilterd2.pomp",
contains="pomp",
slots=c(
pred.mean="array",
pred.var="array",
filter.mean="array",
paramMatrix="array",
eff.sample.size="numeric",
cond.loglik="numeric",
saved.states="list",
saved.params="list",
seed="integer",
Np="integer",
tol="numeric",
nfail="integer",
loglik="numeric",
phats="numeric",
covhats="array",
pcovhats="array",
lag = "numeric"
),
prototype=prototype(
pred.mean=array(data=numeric(0),dim=c(0,0)),
pred.var=array(data=numeric(0),dim=c(0,0)),
filter.mean=array(data=numeric(0),dim=c(0,0)),
paramMatrix=array(data=numeric(0),dim=c(0,0)),
eff.sample.size=numeric(0),
cond.loglik=numeric(0),
saved.states=list(),
saved.params=list(),
seed=as.integer(NA),
Np=as.integer(NA),
tol=as.double(NA),
nfail=as.integer(NA),
loglik=as.double(NA),
phats=numeric(0),
covhats=array(data=numeric(0),dim=c(0,0)),
pcovhats=array(data=numeric(0),dim=c(0,0,0,0)),
lag = as.integer(NA)
)
)
ancestor<-function(plist, t, lag, index){
for (i in 0:(lag-1)){
index=plist[[t-i]][index]
}
return(index)
}
smoothing<-function(aparticles, xparticles, pparticles, wparticles, nt, ntimes, lag, nvars, npars, rw, Np){
at=rep(0,Np) #current parent index
bt=rep(0,Np)
nlength<-length(rw)
phat<-rep(0,npars) #smoothed par
pcovhat<-matrix(0,npars,lag) #covariance
lcovhat<-array(0,dim=c(npars,npars,lag))
if(lag>0){
kk=nt+lag
if(nt==ntimes){
}
else{
if(kk<=ntimes){
at=unlist(lapply(aparticles[[kk]],ancestor, plist=aparticles, t=kk,lag=lag ))
for ( jj in 1: npars ){
phat[jj]=sum(pparticles[[nt]][jj,at]*wparticles[[kk]])
}
for ( jj in 1: npars ){
for(nn in 1:(kk-nt)){
bt=unlist(lapply(aparticles[[kk]],ancestor, plist=aparticles, t=kk,lag=lag+1-nn ))
pcovhat[jj,nn] =sum(pparticles[[nt+nn]][jj,bt]*wparticles[[kk]])
}
}
for ( jj in 1: npars ){
for (ll in 1: npars){
for(nn in 1:lag){
bt=unlist(lapply(aparticles[[kk]],ancestor, plist=aparticles, t=kk,lag=lag+1-nn ))
lcovhat[jj,ll,nn] = sum((pparticles[[nt+nn]][ll,bt]-pcovhat[ll,nn])*(pparticles[[nt]][jj,at]-phat[jj])*wparticles[[kk]])/(Np-1)
}
}
}
}
else{
at=unlist(lapply(aparticles[[ntimes]],ancestor, plist=aparticles, t=ntimes,lag=(ntimes-nt) ))
kk=ntimes
for ( jj in 1: npars ){
phat[jj]=sum(pparticles[[nt]][jj,at]*wparticles[[ntimes]])
}
for ( jj in 1: npars ){
for(nn in 1:(kk-nt)){
bt=unlist(lapply(aparticles[[kk]],ancestor, plist=aparticles, t=kk,lag=nn ))
pcovhat[jj,nn] =sum(pparticles[[nt]][jj,bt]*wparticles[[kk]])
}
}
for ( jj in 1: npars ){
for (ll in 1: npars){
for(nn in 1:(kk-nt)){
bt=unlist(lapply(aparticles[[kk]],ancestor, plist=aparticles, t=kk,lag=nn ))
lcovhat[jj,ll,nn] = sum((pparticles[[nt]][ll,bt]-pcovhat[ll,nn])*(pparticles[[ntimes]][jj,at]-phat[jj])*wparticles[[kk]])/(Np-1)
}
}
}
}
}
}
return(lcovhat)
}
pfilter2.internal <- function (object, params, Np, tol, max.fail,
pred.mean, pred.var, filter.mean,
cooling, cooling.m, .mif2 = FALSE, .wn=FALSE,.corr=FALSE,
.rw.sd, seed, verbose,
save.states, save.params,lag,
.transform, .getnativesymbolinfo = TRUE){
ptsi.inv <- ptsi.for <- gnsi.rproc <- gnsi.dmeas <- as.logical(.getnativesymbolinfo)
mif2 <- as.logical(.mif2)
corr <- as.logical(.corr)
wn <- as.logical(.wn)
Sumsigma2 <- 100 #asymptotic sum of sigma square
transform <- as.logical(.transform)
if (missing(seed)) seed <- NULL
if (missing(lag)) lag <- 0
if (!is.null(seed)){
if (!exists(".Random.seed",where=.GlobalEnv)){ # need to initialize the RNG
runif(1)
}
save.seed <- get(".Random.seed",pos=.GlobalEnv)
set.seed(seed)
}
if (length(params)==0)
stop(sQuote("pfilter2")," error: ",sQuote("params")," must be specified",call.=FALSE)
if (missing(tol))
stop(sQuote("pfilter2")," error: ",sQuote("tol")," must be specified",call.=FALSE)
one.par <- FALSE
times <- time(object,t0=TRUE)
ntimes <- length(times)-1
if (missing(Np))
Np <- NCOL(params)
if (is.function(Np)){
Np <- try(
vapply(seq.int(from=0,to=ntimes,by=1),Np,numeric(1)),
silent=FALSE
)
if (inherits(Np,"try-error"))
stop("if ",sQuote("Np")," is a function, it must return a single positive integer",call.=FALSE)
}
if (length(Np)==1)
Np <- rep(Np,times=ntimes+1)
if (any(Np<=0))
stop("number of particles, ",sQuote("Np"),", must always be positive",call.=FALSE)
if (!is.numeric(Np))
stop(sQuote("Np")," must be a number, a vector of numbers, or a function",call.=FALSE)
Np <- as.integer(Np)
if (is.null(dim(params))){
one.par <- TRUE # there is only one parameter vector
coef(object) <- params # set params slot to the parameters
params <- matrix(
params,
nrow=length(params),
ncol=Np[1L],
dimnames=list(
names(params),
NULL
)
)
}
paramnames <- rownames(params)
if (is.null(paramnames))
stop(sQuote("pfilter2")," error: ",sQuote("params")," must have rownames",call.=FALSE)
x <- init.state(
object,
params=if (transform){
partrans(object,params,dir="forward", .getnativesymbolinfo=ptsi.for)
}
else{
params
}
)
statenames <- rownames(x)
nvars <- nrow(x)
ptsi.for <- FALSE
## set up storage for saving samples from filtering distributions
if (save.states)
xparticles <- vector(mode="list",length=ntimes)
else
xparticles <- list()
if (save.params)
pparticles <- vector(mode="list",length=ntimes)
else
pparticles <- list()
random.walk <- !missing(.rw.sd)
if (random.walk){
rw.names <- names(.rw.sd)
if (is.null(rw.names)||!is.numeric(.rw.sd))
stop(sQuote("pfilter2")," error: ",sQuote(".rw.sd")," must be a named vector",call.=FALSE)
if (any(!(rw.names%in%paramnames)))
stop(
sQuote("pfilter2")," error: the rownames of ",
sQuote("params")," must include all of the names of ",
sQuote(".rw.sd"),"",call.=FALSE
)
sigma <- .rw.sd
}
else{
rw.names <- character(0)
sigma <- NULL
}
loglik <- rep(NA,ntimes)
eff.sample.size <- numeric(ntimes)
nfail <- 0
npars <- length(rw.names)
## set up storage for prediction means, variances, etc.
if (pred.mean)
pred.m <- matrix(
data=0,
nrow=nvars+npars,
ncol=ntimes,
dimnames=list(c(statenames,rw.names),NULL)
)
else
pred.m <- array(data=numeric(0),dim=c(0,0))
if (pred.var)
pred.v <- matrix(
data=0,
nrow=nvars+npars,
ncol=ntimes,
dimnames=list(c(statenames,rw.names),NULL)
)
else
pred.v <- array(data=numeric(0),dim=c(0,0))
if (filter.mean)
if (random.walk)
filt.m <- matrix(
data=0,
nrow=nvars+length(paramnames),
ncol=ntimes,
dimnames=list(c(statenames,paramnames),NULL)
)
else
filt.m <- matrix(
data=0,
nrow=nvars,
ncol=ntimes,
dimnames=list(statenames,NULL)
)
else
filt.m <- array(data=numeric(0),dim=c(0,0))
##########################################
# Fixed-lag Smoothing
##########################################
if ((lag<0)||(lag>ntimes))
stop("Lag, ",sQuote("lag"),", must greater than 0 and less than ntimes",call.=FALSE)
npars<- length(paramnames)
phats<-rep(0,npars)
names(phats)<-paramnames
covhats <- array(
0,
dim=c(npars,npars)
)
pcovhats <- array(
0,
dim=c(0,0,0, 0)
)
if (lag>0 && !corr){
asparticles <- vector(mode="list",length=(lag+1))
xsparticles <- vector(mode="list",length=lag)
psparticles <- vector(mode="list",length=lag)
}
if (lag>0 && corr){
aparticles <- vector(mode="list",length=ntimes+1)
wparticles <- vector(mode="list",length=ntimes)
}
##########################################
for (nt in seq_len(ntimes)) {
if (mif2) {
cool.sched <- cooling(nt=nt,m=cooling.m)
sigma1 <- sigma*cool.sched$alpha
}
else {
sigma1 <- sigma
}
## transform the parameters if necessary
if (transform) tparams <- partrans(object,params,dir="forward", .getnativesymbolinfo=ptsi.for)
ptsi.for <- FALSE
## advance the state variables according to the process model
X <- try(
rprocess(
object,
xstart=x,
times=times[c(nt,nt+1)],
params=if (transform) tparams else params,
offset=1,
.getnativesymbolinfo=gnsi.rproc
),
silent=FALSE
)
if (inherits(X,'try-error'))
stop(sQuote("pfilter2")," error: process simulation error",call.=FALSE)
gnsi.rproc <- FALSE
if (pred.var){ ## check for nonfinite state variables and parameters
problem.indices <- unique(which(!is.finite(X),arr.ind=TRUE)[,1L])
if (length(problem.indices)>0){ # state variables
stop(
sQuote("pfilter2")," error: non-finite state variable(s): ",
paste(rownames(X)[problem.indices],collapse=', '),
call.=FALSE
)
}
if (random.walk){ # parameters (need to be checked only if 'random.walk=TRUE')
problem.indices <- unique(which(!is.finite(params[rw.names,,drop=FALSE]),arr.ind=TRUE)[,1L])
if (length(problem.indices)>0){
stop(
sQuote("pfilter2")," error: non-finite parameter(s): ",
paste(rw.names[problem.indices],collapse=', '),
call.=FALSE
)
}
}
}
## determine the weights
weights <- try(
dmeasure(
object,
y=object@data[,nt,drop=FALSE],
x=X,
times=times[nt+1],
params=if (transform) tparams else params,
log=FALSE,
.getnativesymbolinfo=gnsi.dmeas
),
silent=FALSE
)
if (inherits(weights,'try-error'))
stop(sQuote("pfilter2")," error: error in calculation of weights",call.=FALSE)
if (any(!is.finite(weights))){
stop(sQuote("pfilter2")," error: ",sQuote("dmeasure")," returns non-finite value",call.=FALSE)
}
gnsi.dmeas <- FALSE
## compute prediction mean, prediction variance, filtering mean,
## effective sample size, log-likelihood
## also do resampling if filtering has not failed
xx <- try(
.Call(
pfilter2_computations,
X,params,Np[nt+1],
random.walk,
sigma1,
pred.mean,pred.var,
filter.mean,one.par,
weights,tol
),
silent=FALSE
)
if (inherits(xx,'try-error')){
stop(sQuote("pfilter2")," error",call.=FALSE)
}
all.fail <- xx$fail
loglik[nt] <- xx$loglik
eff.sample.size[nt] <- xx$ess
x <- xx$states
#random walk change to white noise for lag>0
if(lag>0 && wn){
params <- params
}
else{
params <- xx$params
}
if (pred.mean)
pred.m[,nt] <- xx$pm
if (pred.var)
pred.v[,nt] <- xx$pv
if (filter.mean)
filt.m[,nt] <- xx$fm
if (all.fail){ ## all particles are lost
nfail <- nfail+1
if (verbose)
message("filtering failure at time t = ",times[nt+1])
if (nfail>max.fail)
stop(sQuote("pfilter2")," error: too many filtering failures",call.=FALSE)
}
if (save.states){
xparticles[[nt]] <- x
}
if (save.params){
pparticles[[nt]] <- params
}
if (verbose && (nt%%5==0))
cat("pfilter2 timestep",nt,"of",ntimes,"finished\n")
##########################################
if (lag>0 && !corr){
if(nt<(lag+1)){
xsparticles[[nt]] <- x
psparticles[[nt]] <- params
asparticles[[nt+1]] <- xx$pa+1 #offset 1 from C
}
if(nt>lag && nt<=ntimes){
index<-unlist(ancestor(plist=asparticles,t=lag+1, lag=lag, 1:(Np[1])))
psparticles[[1]][!is.finite(psparticles[[1]])] <- 0
C<-cov.wt(t(psparticles[[1]][,index]),wt=xx$weight)
phats<-phats+C$center
covhats<-covhats+C$cov/ntimes
if (lag>1){
for (i in 1:(lag-1)){
psparticles[[i]]<-psparticles[[i+1]]
asparticles[[i+1]]<-asparticles[[i+2]]
}
}
psparticles[[lag]]<-params
asparticles[[lag+1]]<-xx$pa+1
}
if(nt==ntimes){
index<-unlist(ancestor(plist=asparticles,t=lag+1, lag=lag, 1:(Np[1])))
psparticles[[1]][!is.finite(psparticles[[1]])] <- 0
C<-cov.wt(t(psparticles[[1]][,index]),wt=xx$weight)
phats<-phats+C$center
covhats<-covhats+C$cov/ntimes
if (lag>1){
for (i in 1:(lag-1)){
psparticles[[i]]<-psparticles[[i+1]]
asparticles[[i+1]]<-asparticles[[i+2]]
}
}
}
}
if(lag>0 && corr){
xparticles[[nt]] <- x
pparticles[[nt]] <- xx$params
wparticles[[nt]] <-xx$weight
if(nt==1)
aparticles[[1]] <- 0
if (nt<ntimes)
aparticles[[nt+1]] <- xx$pa+1 #offset 1 from C
if(nt>1 && nt<=ntimes){
pparticles[[nt-lag]][!is.finite(pparticles[[nt-lag]])] <- 0
C<-cov.wt(t(pparticles[[nt-1]][,]),wt=wparticles[[nt]])
phats<-phats+C$center
covhats<-covhats+C$cov/ntimes
}
if(nt==ntimes){
pparticles[[nt]][!is.finite(pparticles[[nt]])] <- 0
C<-cov.wt(t(pparticles[[ntimes]]),wt=wparticles[[ntimes]])
phats<-phats+C$center
covhats<-covhats+C$cov/ntimes
}
}
}
###################################################################
# fixed lag smoothing
###################################################################
if(lag>0 && corr){
pcovhats <- array(
0,
dim=c(npars,npars,lag, ntimes)
)
Np<-Np[1]
#pcovhat<-matrix(0,npars,lag) #covariance
results<-lapply(1:ntimes,smoothing,aparticles=aparticles,xparticles=xparticles,pparticles=pparticles,wparticles=wparticles,
ntimes=ntimes,lag=lag, nvars=nvars, npars=npars, sigma,Np=Np)
for(i in 1:ntimes){
pcovhats[,,,i]=results[[i]]
}
# Clean up
gc()
}
if (!is.null(seed)){
assign(".Random.seed",save.seed,pos=.GlobalEnv)
seed <- save.seed
}
if (nfail>0)
warning(sprintf(ngettext(nfail,msg1="%d filtering failure occurred in ",
msg2="%d filtering failures occurred in "),nfail),
sQuote("pfilter2"),call.=FALSE
)
new(
"pfilterd2.pomp",
object,
pred.mean=pred.m,
pred.var=pred.v,
filter.mean=filt.m,
paramMatrix= params,
eff.sample.size=eff.sample.size,
cond.loglik=loglik,
saved.states=xparticles,
saved.params=pparticles,
seed=as.integer(seed),
Np=as.integer(Np),
tol=tol,
nfail=as.integer(nfail),
loglik=sum(loglik),
phats=phats,
covhats=covhats,
pcovhats=pcovhats,
lag=lag
)
}
setMethod(
"pfilter2",
signature=signature(object="pomp"),
function(
object, params, Np,
tol = 1e-17,
max.fail = Inf,
pred.mean = FALSE,
pred.var = FALSE,
filter.mean = FALSE,
save.states = FALSE,
save.params = FALSE,
lag=0,
seed = NULL,
verbose = getOption("verbose"),
...
){
if (missing(params))
params <- coef(object)
pfilter2.internal(
object=object,
params=params,
Np=Np,
tol=tol,
max.fail=max.fail,
pred.mean=pred.mean,
pred.var=pred.var,
filter.mean=filter.mean,
save.states=save.states,
save.params=save.params,
lag=lag,
seed=seed,
verbose=verbose,
.transform=FALSE,
...
)
}
)
setMethod(
"pfilter2",
signature=signature(object="pfilterd2.pomp"),
function (object, params, Np, tol, ...){
if (missing(params))
params <- coef(object)
if (missing(Np))
Np <- object@Np
if (missing(tol))
tol <- object@tol
pfilter2(
object=as(object,"pomp"),
params=params,
Np=Np,
tol=tol,
...
)
}
)
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