Approval rating and election margin for recent presidential elections
A data frame with 11 observations on the following 5 variables.
Year Certain election years from 1940-2004
Candidate Incumbent US president
Approval Presidential approval rating at time of election
Margin margin of victory/defeat (as a percentage)
Result Outcome of the election for the imbumbent:
Data include US Presidential elections since 1940 in which an incumbent was running for president. The approval rating for the sitting president is comapred to the margin of victory/defeat in the election.
Silver, Nate, "Approval Ratings and Re-Election Odds", fivethirtyeight.com, posted January 28, 2011.
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