FullTestPolicy: Full backtesting prescribed policy

In rcss: Convex Switching Systems

Description

Backtesting prescribed policy with value, position, action evolution.

Usage

FullTestPolicy(position, path, control, Reward, Scrap, policy)

Arguments

position	Natural number indicating the starting position.
path	3-D array representing sample paths. Entry [i,,j] represents the state at time j for sample path i.
control	Array representing the transition probabilities of the controlled Markov chain. Two possible inputs: Matrix of dimension n_pos \times n_action, where entry [i,j] describes the next position after selecting action j at position i. 3-D array with dimensions n_pos \times n_action \times n_pos, where entry [i,j,k] is the probability of moving to position k after applying action j to position i.
Reward	User supplied function to represent the reward function. The function should take in the following arguments, in this order: n \times d matrix representing the n d-dimensional states. A natural number representing the decison epoch. The function should output the following: 3-D array with dimensions n \times (a \times p) representing the rewards, where p is the number of positions and a is the number of actions in the problem. The [i, a, p]-th entry corresponds to the reward from applying the a-th action to the p-th position for the i-th state.
Scrap	User supplied function to represent the scrap function. The function should take in the following argument: n \times d matrix representing the n d-dimensional states. The function should output the following: Matrix with dimensions n \times p) representing the scraps, where p is the number of positions. The [i, p]-th entry corresponds to the scrap at the p-th position for the i-th state.
policy	3-D array representing the prescribed policy for the sample paths. Entry [i,p,t] gives the prescribed action at time t for position p on sample path t.

Value

value	Matrix containing the backtesting values for each sample path. Entry[i,t] refers to the value at time t for sample path i.
position	Matrix containing the evolution of the position. Entry[i,t] refers to the position at time t for sample path i.
action	Matrix containing the actions taken. Entry[i,t] refers to the action at time t for sample path i.

Author(s)

Jeremy Yee

Examples

## Bermuda put option
grid <- as.matrix(cbind(rep(1, 81), c(seq(20, 60, length = 81))))
disturb <- array(0, dim = c(2, 2, 100))
disturb[1, 1,] <- 1
quantile <- qnorm(seq(0, 1, length = (100 + 2))[c(-1, -(100 + 2))])
disturb[2, 2,] <- exp((0.06 - 0.5 * 0.2^2) * 0.02 + 0.2 * sqrt(0.02) * quantile)
weight <- rep(1 / 100, 100)
control <- matrix(c(c(1, 2),c(1, 1)), nrow = 2)
reward <- array(data = 0, dim = c(81, 2, 2, 2, 50))
in_money <- grid[, 2] <= 40
reward[in_money, 1, 2, 2,] <- 40
reward[in_money, 2, 2, 2,] <- -1
for (tt in 1:50){
  reward[,,2,2,tt] <- exp(-0.06 * 0.02 * (tt - 1)) * reward[,,2,2,tt] 
}
scrap <- array(data = 0, dim = c(81, 2, 2))
scrap[in_money, 1, 2] <- 40
scrap[in_money, 2, 2] <- -1
scrap[,,2] <- exp(-0.06 * 0.02 * 50) * scrap[,,2]
r_index <- matrix(c(2, 2), ncol = 2)
bellman <- FastBellman(grid, reward, scrap, control, disturb, weight, r_index)
suppressWarnings(RNGversion("3.5.0"))
set.seed(12345)
start <- c(1, 36) ## starting state
path_disturb <- array(0, dim = c(2, 2, 100, 50))
path_disturb[1, 1,,] <- 1
rand1 <- rnorm(100 * 50 / 2)
rand1 <- as.vector(rbind(rand1, -rand1))  ## anti-thetic disturbances
path_disturb[2, 2,,] <- exp((0.06 - 0.5 * 0.2^2) * 0.02 + 0.2 * sqrt(0.02) * rand1)
path <- PathDisturb(start, path_disturb)
## Reward function
RewardFunc <- function(state, time) {
    output <- array(data = 0, dim = c(nrow(state), 2, 2))
    output[,2, 2] <- exp(-0.06 * 0.02 * (time - 1)) * pmax(40 - state[,2], 0)
    return(output)
}
policy <- FastPathPolicy(path, grid, control, RewardFunc, bellman$expected)
## Scrap function
ScrapFunc <- function(state) {
    output <- array(data = 0, dim = c(nrow(state), 2))
    output[,2] <- exp(-0.06 * 0.02 * 50) * pmax(40 - state[,2], 0)
    return(output)
}
test <- FullTestPolicy(2, path, control, RewardFunc, ScrapFunc, policy)

rcss documentation built on May 1, 2019, 10:13 p.m.