# set working directory and load augSIR files
source("augSIR.R")
source("auxilliary_functions.R")
source("SIRsimulation.R")
source("rjmcmc_functions.R")
source("matrix_build_update.R")
source("metropolis_hastings_functions.R")
source("path_sampling_functions.R")
args <- commandArgs(TRUE)
print(args)
sim_number <- as.numeric(args[1])
popsize = 4; tmax = 4
b <- 0.5 + runif(1,-0.0001, 0.0001)
m <- 1 + runif(1, -0.0001, 0.0001)
samp_prob <- 0.5
initdist <- c(0.7, 0.3, 0)
insert.prob = 1/3; remove.prob = 1/3; shift.prob = 1/3
shift.int <- 0.1
niter <- 15000
samp_size = 5
keep.going = TRUE
rjmcmc_jointcomp_results <- vector("list", length = samp_size)
for(k in 1:samp_size) {
if(keep.going == TRUE){
print(k)
SIRres<-SIRsim(popsize = 4, initdist = c(0.7, 0.3, 0), b = 0.5, mu=1, a=0, tmax = 4, censusInterval=0.05, sampprob = samp_prob, returnX = TRUE, trim = FALSE)
# make sure the epidemic is interesting (i.e. at least one infection)
if(max(SIRres$results[,3]) < 2){
while(max(SIRres$results[,3]) < 2){
SIRres<-SIRsim(popsize = 4, initdist = c(0.7, 0.3, 0), b = 0.5, mu=1, a=0, tmax = 4, censusInterval=0.05, sampprob = samp_prob, returnX = TRUE, trim = FALSE)
}
}
# observation matrix
W.cur <- as.matrix(data.frame(time = SIRres$results$time, sampled = SIRres$results$Truth, augmented = 0))
# individual trajectories
X.cur <- SIRres$trajectory
# count matrix
Xcount.cur <- build_countmat(X = X.cur, popsize = popsize)
# update observation matrix
W.cur <- updateW(W = W.cur, Xcount = Xcount.cur)
subjects <- rep(1:popsize, each = niter)
for(j in 1:length(subjects)){
if(keep.going == TRUE){
path.cur <- X.cur[X.cur[,2] == subjects[j], ]
path.new <- rjmcmc_draw(path.cur = path.cur, Xcount.cur, j = subjects[j], initdist = initdist, shift.int = shift.int, insert.prob = insert.prob, remove.prob = remove.prob, shift.prob = shift.prob, tmax = max(W.cur[,1]), b = b, m = m, p = samp_prob)
# update bookkeeping objects
X.new <- X.cur; X.new[X.new[,2] == subjects[j], ] <- path.new
Xcount.new <- build_countmat(X = X.new, popsize = popsize)
W.new <- updateW(W = W.cur, Xcount = Xcount.new)
# calculate acceptance ratio
rjmcmc.ratio <- rjmcmc_ratio(W.cur = W.cur, W.new = W.new, X.cur = X.cur, X.new = X.new, Xcount.cur = Xcount.cur, Xcount.new = Xcount.new, path.cur = path.cur, path.new = path.new, initdist = initdist, shift.int = shift.int, insert.prob = insert.prob, remove.prob = remove.prob, shift.prob = shift.prob, b = b, m = m, samp_prob = samp_prob, tmax = tmax, popsize = popsize)
if(missing(rjmcmc.ratio)){
keep.going <- FALSE
break()
}
# decide whether to accept. if accept, update current trajectories
if(rjmcmc.ratio > log(runif(1))){
X.cur <- X.new
Xcount.cur <- Xcount.new
W.cur <- W.new
}
}
}
rjmcmc_jointcomp_results[[k]] <- list(Truth = SIRres$trajectory, Observed = SIRres$results, Augmented = Xcount.cur)
}
}
assign(paste("rjmcmc_jointcomp_results",sim_number,sep=""),rjmcmc_jointcomp_results)
save(list = paste("rjmcmc_jointcomp_results",sim_number,sep=""), file = paste("augSIR_jointcomp_results_test",sim_number, ".Rdata", sep=""))
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