# This function estimates the standard occupancy model of MacKenzie et al (2002).
occu <- function(formula, data, knownOcc = numeric(0), starts, method = "BFGS",
control = list(), se = TRUE)
{
if(!is(data, "unmarkedFrameOccu")) stop("Data is not an unmarkedFrameOccu object.")
designMats <- getDesign(data, formula)
X <- designMats$X; V <- designMats$V; y <- designMats$y; removed <- designMats$removed.sites
X.offset <- designMats$X.offset; V.offset <- designMats$V.offset
if (is.null(X.offset)) {
X.offset <- rep(0, nrow(X))
}
if (is.null(V.offset)) {
V.offset <- rep(0, nrow(V))
}
y <- truncateToBinary(y)
J <- ncol(y)
M <- nrow(y)
## convert knownOcc to logical so we can subset correctly to handle NAs.
knownOccLog <- rep(FALSE, numSites(data))
knownOccLog[knownOcc] <- TRUE
knownOccLog <- knownOccLog[-removed]
occParms <- colnames(X)
detParms <- colnames(V)
nDP <- ncol(V)
nOP <- ncol(X)
nP <- nDP + nOP
yvec <- as.numeric(t(y))
navec <- is.na(yvec)
nd <- ifelse(rowSums(y,na.rm=TRUE) == 0, 1, 0) # no det at site i indicator
nll <- function(params) {
psi <- plogis(X %*% params[1 : nOP] + X.offset)
psi[knownOccLog] <- 1
pvec <- plogis(V %*% params[(nOP + 1) : nP] + V.offset)
cp <- (pvec^yvec) * ((1 - pvec)^(1 - yvec))
cp[navec] <- 1 # so that NA's don't modify likelihood
cpmat <- matrix(cp, M, J, byrow = TRUE) # put back into matrix to multiply appropriately
loglik <- log(rowProds(cpmat) * psi + nd * (1 - psi))
-sum(loglik)
}
if(missing(starts)) starts <- rep(0, nP) #rnorm(nP)
fm <- optim(starts, nll, method = method, control = control, hessian = se)
opt <- fm
if(se) {
tryCatch(covMat <- solve(fm$hessian),
error=function(x) stop(simpleError("Hessian is singular. Try using fewer covariates.")))
} else {
covMat <- matrix(NA, nP, nP)
}
ests <- fm$par
fmAIC <- 2 * fm$value + 2 * nP #+ 2*nP*(nP + 1)/(M - nP - 1)
names(ests) <- c(occParms, detParms)
state <- unmarkedEstimate(name = "Occupancy", short.name = "psi",
estimates = ests[1:nOP],
covMat = as.matrix(covMat[1:nOP,1:nOP]), invlink = "logistic",
invlinkGrad = "logistic.grad")
det <- unmarkedEstimate(name = "Detection", short.name = "p",
estimates = ests[(nOP + 1) : nP],
covMat = as.matrix(covMat[(nOP + 1) : nP, (nOP + 1) : nP]),
invlink = "logistic", invlinkGrad = "logistic.grad")
estimateList <- unmarkedEstimateList(list(state=state, det=det))
umfit <- new("unmarkedFitOccu", fitType = "occu", call = match.call(),
formula = formula, data = data, sitesRemoved = designMats$removed.sites,
estimates = estimateList, AIC = fmAIC, opt = opt, negLogLike = fm$value,
nllFun = nll, knownOcc = knownOccLog)
return(umfit)
}
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