examples/niw.post.R

# compare the default non-informative prior to an arbitrary informative prior
# for simulated data

# simulate normal data with mean and variance (mu0, Sigma0)
d <- 4
mu0 <- rnorm(d)
Sigma0 <- matrix(rnorm(d^2), d, d)
Sigma0 <- Sigma0 %*% t(Sigma0)
N <- 1e2
X <- matrix(rnorm(N*d), N, d) # iid N(0,1)
X <- t(t(X %*% chol(Sigma0)) + mu0) # each row is N(mu0, Sigma)

# informative prior parameters
lambda <- rnorm(d)
kappa <- 20
Psi <- crossprod(matrix(rnorm(d^2), d, d))
nu <- 5

# iid draws from informative prior pi(mu, Sigma)
nsamples <- 2e3
siw0 <- rniw(nsamples, lambda, kappa, Psi, nu)

# iid draws from posterior p(mu, Sigma | X) with informative prior
siw1 <- niw.post(nsamples, X, lambda, kappa, Psi, nu)

# iid draws from posterior p(mu, Sigma | X) with default noninformative prior
siw2 <- niw.post(nsamples, X)

# compare

# prior and posterior densities of mu
clrs <- c("orange", "red", "blue", "black")
ii <- 1
par(mar = c(4.2, 4.2, 2, 1)+.1)
niche.par.plot(list(siw0, siw1, siw2), col = clrs[1:3],
               plot.index = ii, ylab = "Density")
abline(v = mu0[ii], col = clrs[4]) # true value of mu
legend(x = "topright",
       legend = c(parse(text = paste0("pi(mu[", ii, "])")),
                  parse(text = paste0("p(mu[", ii, "]*\" | \"*X)*\", Informative Prior\"")),
                  parse(text = paste0("p(mu[", ii, "]*\" | \"*X)*\", Noninformative Prior\"")),
                  parse(text = paste0("\"True value of \"*mu[", ii, "]"))),
       fill = clrs)

# prior and posterior densities of Sigma
ii <- 1
jj <- 2
par(mar = c(4.2, 4.2, 2, 1)+.1)
niche.par.plot(list(siw0, siw1, siw2), col = clrs[1:3],
               plot.index = c(ii,jj), ylab = "Density")
abline(v = Sigma0[ii,jj], col = clrs[4])
legend(x = "topright",
       legend = c(parse(text = paste0("pi(Sigma[", ii, "*", jj, "])")),
                  parse(text = paste0("p(Sigma[", ii, "*", jj,
                                      "]*\" | \"*X)*\", Informative Prior\"")),
                  parse(text = paste0("p(Sigma[", ii, "*", jj,
                                      "]*\" | \"*X)*\", Noninformative Prior\"")),
                  parse(text = paste0("\"True value of \"*Sigma[", ii, "*", jj, "]"))),
       fill = clrs)
mlysy/nicheROVER documentation built on Oct. 17, 2023, 2:21 p.m.