R/calcECLIPSE_SSP.R
In pik-piam/mrplayground: MadRat playground
Defines functions
calcECLIPSE_SSP
#' @importFrom dplyr group_by_ summarise_ ungroup mutate_ rename_ filter_ select_
#' @importFrom magclass as.magpie getCells getSets<- getNames<- getSets getRegions<- mselect<- setNames write.magpie
#' @importFrom tidyr gather_
#' @importFrom utils read.csv read.csv2
#' @importFrom quitte as.quitte
calcECLIPSE_SSP <- function(subtype) {
if (!(subtype %in% c("emission_factors", "emissions","activities"))) stop('subtype must be in c("emission_factors", "emissions","activities")')
#-- INITIALISATION ----------------
vcat(2,">> Initialization...\n")
# local functions
allocate_c2r_ef <- function(id_ef, ip_region, ip_country, ip_year, ip_scenario) {
dummy <- id_ef[ip_region, ip_year, ip_scenario]
dummy[,,] <- setCells(id_ef[ip_country, ip_year, ip_scenario], "GLO")
#names(dimnames(dummy)) <- c("region", "years", "data1.data2.species.scenario")
return(dummy)
}
allocate_min2r_ef <- function(id_ef, ip_region, ip_countryGroup, ip_year, ip_scenario) {
dummy <- id_ef[ip_region, ip_year, ip_scenario]
# Get minimum values across country group
tmp <- as.quitte(id_ef[ip_countryGroup,ip_year,ip_scenario]) %>%
group_by_(~sector,~variable) %>%
summarise_(value=~ifelse(all(value == 0) , 0, min(value[value >0 ],na.rm= TRUE))) %>% # a value 0 is often a sign for a NA that has been replaced with 0 for small countries
ungroup() %>%
as.data.frame() %>%
as.quitte() %>%
as.magpie()
# Allocate minimum values to region
dummy[ip_region, ip_year, ip_scenario] <- setYears(tmp)
return(dummy)
}
# user-defined parameters
time <- c(seq(2005,2055,5), seq(2060,2110,10), 2130, 2150)
scenario <- c("SSP1","SSP2","SSP3","SSP4","SSP5","FLE", "MFR", "CLE", "MFR_Transports", "GlobalEURO6", "FLE_building_transport", "SLCF_building_transport") # These are additional scenarios to the CLE and MFR
p_dagg_year <- 2005
p_dagg_pop <- "pop_SSP2"
p_dagg_gdp <- "gdp_SSP2"
p_countryCategories <- "useGAINSregions"
p_dagg_map <- "regionmappingGAINS.csv"
# list of OECD countries
#TODO: may want to place this in a mapping file or in a R library
r_oecd <- c("AUS", "AUT", "BEL", "CAN", "CHL", "CZE", "DNK", "EST", "FIN", "FRA", "DEU", "GRC", "HUN", "ISL", "IRL", "ISR", "ITA",
"JPN", "KOR", "LUX", "MEX", "NLD", "NZL", "NOR", "POL", "PRT", "SVK", "SVN", "ESP", "SWE", "CHE", "TUR", "GBR", "USA")
# set of sectors for which no emission factor will be computed (because there is no activity reported, or not in terms of energy)
dimSector_skipEF = c("AACID", "CEMENT", "CHEM", "CHEMBULK", "CUSM", "NACID", "PAPER", "STEEL",
"Losses_Coal", "Losses_Distribution_Use", "Losses_Vent_Flare",
"Transformations_Coal", "Transformations_HLF", "Transformations_HLF_Refinery", "Transformations_LLF", "Transformations_NatGas")
map_regions <- read.csv2(toolGetMapping(type = "regional", name = p_dagg_map, returnPathOnly = TRUE),
stringsAsFactors = TRUE)[,c(2,3)]
map_regions <- map_regions %>%
filter_(~CountryCode != "ANT") %>% # Remove Netherland Antilles (not in REMIND regional mapping)
filter_(~RegionCode != "") %>%
mutate_(RegionCode = ~gsub("\\ \\+", "\\+", gsub("^\\s+|\\s+$", "", gsub("[0-9]", "", RegionCode)))) %>%
mutate_(CountryCode = ~factor(CountryCode))
# Regional selections
# select one country pertaining to WEU (all WEU countries should have the same EF). Used for SSP scenario rules
select_weu <- paste(map_regions[which(map_regions$RegionCode == "Western Europe")[1],1])
#-- READ IN DATA ------------------
vcat(2,">> Read-in data... \n")
# read in data generated by calcECLIPSE
eclipse <- calcOutput("ECLIPSE",aggregate=FALSE)
emissions <- collapseNames(eclipse[,,"emissions"])
ef_eclipse <- collapseNames(eclipse[,,"ef_eclipse"])
# read in population and GDP data. required to compute gdp per cap
pop <- calcOutput("Population",aggregate=FALSE)[,p_dagg_year,p_dagg_pop]
gdp <- calcOutput("GDPppp", aggregate=FALSE)[,p_dagg_year,p_dagg_gdp]
# calculate gdp per capita
gdp_cap <- gdp/pop
gdp_cap[is.na(gdp_cap)] <- 0 # set NA to 0
# define exogenous emission data
emissions_exogenous <- emissions[,,dimSector_skipEF]
# make output dummy "ef" and "emi" which then has to be filled by the data
ef <- do.call('mbind',
lapply(scenario,
function(s) {new.magpie(getRegions(ef_eclipse),
c(2005,2010,2030,2050,2100),
gsub("CLE", s, getNames(ef_eclipse[,,"CLE"])))
}))
emi <- do.call('mbind',
lapply(scenario,
function(s) {new.magpie(getRegions(emissions_exogenous),
c(2005,2010,2030,2050,2100),
gsub("CLE", s, getNames(emissions_exogenous[,,"CLE"])))
}))
# define country categories
if (p_countryCategories == "perCountry") {
# low income countries (using World Bank definition < 2750 US$(2010)/Cap)
r_L <- dimnames(gdp_cap[getRegions(ef),,])$ISO3[which(gdp_cap[getRegions(ef),,] <= 2750)]
# high and medium income countries
r_HM <- setdiff(getRegions(ef), r_L)
# High-Medium income countries with strong pollution policies in place
r_HMStrong <- c("AUS", "CAN", "USA","JPN") # FIXME which definition???
# High-Medium income countries with lower emissions goals
r_HMRest <- setdiff(r_HM,r_HMStrong)
} else {
# Compute mean GDP/Cap per GAINS region
regionMean_gdppcap <- sapply(unique(map_regions$RegionCode), function(x) {mean(gdp_cap[map_regions$CountryCode[map_regions$RegionCode == x],,])})
# low income countries (using World Bank definition < 2750 US$(2010)/Cap)
r_L <- map_regions$CountryCode[map_regions$RegionCode %in% names(regionMean_gdppcap[regionMean_gdppcap <= 2750])]
# high and medium income countries
r_HM <- setdiff(getRegions(ef), r_L)
# High-Medium income countries with strong pollution policies in place
r_HMStrong <- map_regions$CountryCode[map_regions$RegionCode %in% c("Western Europe", "Japan")] # FIXME definition taken from JeS matlab script
# High-Medium income countries with lower emissions goals
r_HMRest <- setdiff(r_HM,r_HMStrong)
}
# generate FLE and SSP scenarios
# -------- Fix all scenarios to CLE in 2005 and 2010 ----------
ef[,c(2005,2010),] <- ef_eclipse[,c(2005,2010),"CLE"]
emi[,c(2005,2010),] <- emissions_exogenous[,c(2005,2010),"CLE"]
# ---------------- FLE ----------------------------------------
# FLE: CLE 2010 emission factors and emissions are held constant
ef[,,"FLE"] <- setYears(ef[,2010,"FLE"], NULL) # NULL is actually the default value, skipping afterwards
emi[,,"FLE"] <- setYears(emi[,2010,"FLE"], NULL)
# ---------------- SSP1 ---------------------------------------
# Emission factors
# low income countries
ef[r_L,2030,"SSP1"] <- ef_eclipse[r_L, 2030, "CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
ef[r_L,2050,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_L, 2030, "SSP1"]),
setYears(allocate_c2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_L, select_weu, 2030, "CLE"))) # 2050: CLE30 WEU, if not higher than 2030 value
ef[r_L,2100,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_L, 2050, "SSP1"]), setYears(ef_eclipse[r_L, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2100: SLE30, if not higher than 2050 value
# high income countries
ef[r_HM,2030,"SSP1"] <- 0.75 * ef_eclipse[r_HM, 2030, "CLE"] # 2030: 75% of CLE30
ef[r_HM,2050,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HM, 2030, "SSP1"]), setYears(ef_eclipse[r_HM, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2050: SLE30, if not higher than 2030 value
ef[r_HM,2100,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HM, 2050, "SSP1"]), setYears(ef_eclipse[r_HM, 2030, "MFR"])) # 2100: MFR, if not higher than 2050 value
# Emissions
# low income countries
emi[r_L,2030,"SSP1"] <- emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
emi[r_L,2050,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_L, 2030, "SSP1"]), setYears(0.5*emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "CLE"]
+ 0.5*emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2050: CLE30 WEU, if not higher than 2030 value
emi[r_L,2100,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_L, 2050, "SSP1"]), setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2100: SLE30, if not higher than 2050 value
# high income countries
emi[r_HM,2030,"SSP1"] <- 0.75 * emissions_exogenous[r_HM, 2030, "CLE"] # 2030: 75% of CLE30
emi[r_HM,2050,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HM, 2030, "SSP1"]), setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HM, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2050: SLE30, if not higher than 2030 value
emi[r_HM,2100,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HM, 2050, "SSP1"]), setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HM, 2030, "MFR"])) # 2100: MFR, if not higher than 2050 value
# ----------------- SSP2 --------------------------------------
# Emission factors
# High-Medium income countries with strong pollution policies in place
ef[r_HMStrong,2030,"SSP2"] <- ef_eclipse[r_HMStrong,2030,"CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
ef[r_HMStrong,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HMStrong, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(ef_eclipse[r_HMStrong,2030,"SLE"])) # 2050: SLE30
ef[r_HMStrong,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HMStrong, 2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_min2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_HMStrong, r_oecd, 2030, "SLE"))) # 2100: Lowest SLE30 or lower
# High-Medium income countries with lower emissions goals
ef[r_HMRest,2030,"SSP2"] <- ef_eclipse[r_HMRest,2030,"CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
ef[r_HMRest,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HMRest, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_min2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_HMRest, r_HMRest, 2030, "CLE"))) # 2050: Min CLE30
ef[r_HMRest,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HMRest,2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_c2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_HMRest, select_weu, 2030, "SLE"))) # 2100: SLE30 WEU
# low income countries
ef[r_L,2030,"SSP2"] <- setYears(ef_eclipse[r_L, 2020, "CLE"]) # 2030: CLE20
ef[r_L,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_L, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_min2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_L, r_L, 2030, "CLE"))) # 2050: Min CLE30
ef[r_L,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_L,2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_c2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_L, select_weu, 2030, "CLE"))) # 2100: CLE30 WEU
# Emissions
# High-Medium income countries with strong pollution policies in place
emi[r_HMStrong,2030,"SSP2"] <- emissions_exogenous[r_HMStrong,2030,"CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
emi[r_HMStrong,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HMStrong, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HMStrong,2030,"SLE"])) # 2050: SLE30
emi[r_HMStrong,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HMStrong, 2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HMStrong,2030,"SLE"]*0.8)) # 2100: Lowest SLE30 or lower -> 0.8*SLE30
# High-Medium income countries with lower emissions goals
emi[r_HMRest,2030,"SSP2"] <- emissions_exogenous[r_HMRest,2030,"CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
emi[r_HMRest,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HMRest, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HMRest,2030,"SLE"])) # 2050: Min CLE30 -> SLE30
emi[r_HMRest,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HMRest,2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HMRest,2030,"SLE"]*0.8)) # 2100: SLE30 WEU -> 0.8*SLE30
# low income countries
emi[r_L,2030,"SSP2"] <- setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2020, "CLE"]) # 2030: CLE20
emi[r_L,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_L, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "CLE"])) # 2050: Min CLE30 -> CLE30
emi[r_L,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_L,2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "SLE"]*0.95)) # 2100: CLE30 WEU -> 0.95*SLE30
# H-M-Strong: 2030 CLE30; 2050 SLE30; 2100 Lowest SLE30 or lower [EUR, JPN] = [3 5]
# H-M-Rest: 2030 CLE30; 2050 Min CLE30; 2100 EUR SLE30 [CHN, LAM, MEA, ROW, RUS, USA] = [2 6 7 9 10 11]
# Low: 2030 CLE20; 2050 Min CLE30; 2100 EUR CLE30 [AFR, IND, OAS] = [1 4 8]
# ----------------- SSP3 --------------------------------------
# TODO
# ----------------- SSP4 --------------------------------------
# TODO
# ----------------- SSP5 --------------------------------------
# set SSP5 to the values of SSP1
ef[,,"SSP5"] <- ef[,,"SSP1"]
emi[,,"SSP5"] <- emi[,,"SSP1"] # does not really make sense...
# Find occurences where the EF path is not monotonously decreasing
# for (kregi in getRegions(ef)) {
# for (kdata in getNames(ef)) {
#
# y1 = ef[kregi,2005,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
# y2 = ef[kregi,2010,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
# y3 = ef[kregi,2030,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
# y4 = ef[kregi,2050,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
# y5 = ef[kregi,2100,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
#
# if (y1 > y2 || y2 > y3 || y3 > y4 || y4 > y5) {
# print(paste0(kregi, ": ", kdata))
# }
# }
# stop()
# }
# make sure that SSP2 is always higher than SSP1 (and SSP5)
# Takes toooooooooooooo much time (~1h30). commented out for now
# for (kregi in getRegions(ef)) {
# for (kssp1 in getNames(ef[,,"SSP1"])) {
#
# kssp2 = paste0(strsplit(kdata, ".", fixed=TRUE)[[1]][1], ".", strsplit(kdata, ".", fixed=TRUE)[[1]][2], ".SSP2")
#
# for (kyear in getYears(ef)) {
# y1 = ef[kregi,kyear,kssp1] %>% as.numeric()
# y2 = ef[kregi,kyear,kssp2] %>% as.numeric()
#
# if (y1 > y2) {
# ef[kregi,kyear,kssp2] = y1
# }
# }
# }
# }
# for (kregi in getRegions(emi)) {
# for (kssp1 in getNames(emi[,,"SSP1"])) {
#
# kssp2 = paste0(strsplit(kdata, ".", fixed=TRUE)[[1]][1], ".", strsplit(kdata, ".", fixed=TRUE)[[1]][2], ".SSP2")
#
# for (kyear in getYears(emi)) {
# y1 = emi[kregi,kyear,kssp1] %>% as.numeric()
# y2 = emi[kregi,kyear,kssp2] %>% as.numeric()
#
# if (y1 > y2) {
# emi[kregi,kyear,kssp2] = y1
# }
# }
# }
# }
# filter all regions and sectors that are constant between 2030 and 2050 and continue to decline afterwards. Replace by linear interpolation
# between 2030 and 2100
# Retrieve Transport and buildings names
transportNames <- getNames(ef,dim=1)[grepl("End_Use_Transport", getNames(ef,dim=1))]
buildingNames <- getNames(ef,dim=1)[grepl("End_Use_Industry|End_Use_Residential|End_Use_Services", getNames(ef,dim=1))]
# ----------------- CLE and MFR -------------------------------
ef[,c(2005,2010,2030,2050),c("CLE","MFR")] <- ef_eclipse[,c(2005,2010,2030,2050),c("CLE","MFR")]
ef[,2100,c("CLE","MFR")] <- setYears(ef_eclipse[,2050,c("CLE","MFR")]) # for 2100, take the same values as in 2050
emi[,c(2005,2010,2030,2050),c("CLE","MFR")] <- emissions_exogenous[,c(2005,2010,2030,2050),c("CLE","MFR")]
emi[,2100,c("CLE","MFR")] <- setYears(emissions_exogenous[,2050,c("CLE","MFR")]) # for 2100, take the same values as in 2050
# ---------------- Global EURO6 for Transports -----------------------------
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"GlobalEURO6"] <- ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"GlobalEURO6"][,,transportNames] <- setCells(ef["FRA",c(2030,2050,2100),"GlobalEURO6"][,,transportNames], "GLO")
emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"GlobalEURO6"] <- emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
# ---------------- MFR Transports -----------------------------
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"MFR_Transports"] <- ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data3 = "MFR_Transports") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data3 = "MFR")
emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"MFR_Transports"] <- emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
# ---------------- FLE_building_transport ------------------------------
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"FLE_building_transport"] <- ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = buildingNames, data3 = "FLE_building_transport") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = buildingNames, data3 = "FLE")
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data3 = "FLE_building_transport") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data3 = "FLE")
emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"FLE_building_transport"] <- emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
# ---------------- SLCF_building_transport ------------------------------
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SLCF_building_transport"] <- ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = buildingNames, data2=c("BC", "OC"), data3 = "SLCF_building_transport") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = buildingNames, data2=c("BC", "OC"), data3 = "FLE")
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data2=c("BC", "OC"), data3 = "SLCF_building_transport") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data2=c("BC", "OC"), data3 = "FLE")
emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SLCF_building_transport"] <- emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
# ----- EFs for advanced coal and biomass technologies -------
map_sectors_ECLIPSE2REMIND <- read.csv(toolGetMapping(type = "sectoral",
name = "mappingECLIPSEtoREMINDsectors.csv",
returnPathOnly = TRUE),
stringsAsFactors = TRUE)
mapsec <- map_sectors_ECLIPSE2REMIND[map_sectors_ECLIPSE2REMIND$eclipse %in% getNames(ef, dim=1), c(1,3)]
ef <- toolAggregate(ef, mapsec, dim=3.1)
adv_techs = c("igcc", "igccc", "pcc", "pco", "coalgas", "bioigcc", "bioigccc", "biogas")
adv_coaltechs = c("igcc", "igccc", "pcc", "pco")
adv_specs = c("NOx", "SO2", "BC", "OC")
adv_factor = c(0.85, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6)
for (kscen in getNames(ef, dim=6)) {
for (ktech in adv_techs) {
curtech = ifelse(ktech %in% adv_coaltechs, "Power_Gen_Coal.", "Power_Gen_Bio_Trad.")
for (kspec in adv_specs)
nm = getNames(ef[,,paste0("power.",kspec)][,,ktech][,,kscen])
ef[,,paste0("power.",kspec)][,,ktech][,,kscen] <- setNames(
pmin(
mbind(lapply(getYears(ef), function(x) {setYears(ef_eclipse[,2030,paste0(curtech,kspec,".MFR")]/adv_factor[adv_specs == kspec], x)})),
ef_eclipse[,,paste0(curtech,kspec,".CLE")]),
nm)
}
}
# ----- Aggregate back to REMIND regions (to speed up processing)
emiNam <-getNames(ef,TRUE)[2:3]
newdim <- apply(
sapply(
do.call("expand.grid", emiNam),as.character),
1,paste, collapse = ".")
activities.EF <- do.call('mbind',
lapply(newdim,
function(scen) {setNames(emissions, paste(getNames(emissions), scen, sep = "."))}))
#activities.full <- time_interpolate(activities.full, interpolated_year=time, integrate=TRUE, extrapolation_type="constant")
#activities.full <- activities.full[,time,] #remove 2000
#ef_eclipseR = toolAggregate(ef_eclipse[,,dimSector_EF], map_REMINDregions[,2:3], weight=setYears(activities[,2010,dimSector_EF]))
#ef_remind = toolAggregate(ef, map_REMINDregions[,2:3], weight=setYears(activities.EF[,2010,]))
getSets(ef) <- c("region", "year", "sector.species.scenario")
getSets(activities.EF) <- c("region", "year", "sector.species.scenario")
getSets(emi) <- c("region", "year", "sector.species.scenario")
if(subtype=="emissions") {
x <- emi
w <- NULL
} else if (subtype=="emission_factors") {
x <- ef
w <- setYears(activities.EF[,2010,])
} else if (subtype=="activities") {
x <- activities.EF
w <- NULL # is this correct?
} else (stop("do not know which weight to use for acrivities"))
return(list(x = x,
weight = w,
unit = "unit",
description = "calcECLIPSE substitute"
))
}
pik-piam/mrplayground documentation built on June 2, 2021, 9:25 p.m.
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Defines functions calcECLIPSE_SSP
#' @importFrom dplyr group_by_ summarise_ ungroup mutate_ rename_ filter_ select_
#' @importFrom magclass as.magpie getCells getSets<- getNames<- getSets getRegions<- mselect<- setNames write.magpie
#' @importFrom tidyr gather_
#' @importFrom utils read.csv read.csv2
#' @importFrom quitte as.quitte
calcECLIPSE_SSP <- function(subtype) {
if (!(subtype %in% c("emission_factors", "emissions","activities"))) stop('subtype must be in c("emission_factors", "emissions","activities")')
#-- INITIALISATION ----------------
vcat(2,">> Initialization...\n")
# local functions
allocate_c2r_ef <- function(id_ef, ip_region, ip_country, ip_year, ip_scenario) {
dummy <- id_ef[ip_region, ip_year, ip_scenario]
dummy[,,] <- setCells(id_ef[ip_country, ip_year, ip_scenario], "GLO")
#names(dimnames(dummy)) <- c("region", "years", "data1.data2.species.scenario")
return(dummy)
}
allocate_min2r_ef <- function(id_ef, ip_region, ip_countryGroup, ip_year, ip_scenario) {
dummy <- id_ef[ip_region, ip_year, ip_scenario]
# Get minimum values across country group
tmp <- as.quitte(id_ef[ip_countryGroup,ip_year,ip_scenario]) %>%
group_by_(~sector,~variable) %>%
summarise_(value=~ifelse(all(value == 0) , 0, min(value[value >0 ],na.rm= TRUE))) %>% # a value 0 is often a sign for a NA that has been replaced with 0 for small countries
ungroup() %>%
as.data.frame() %>%
as.quitte() %>%
as.magpie()
# Allocate minimum values to region
dummy[ip_region, ip_year, ip_scenario] <- setYears(tmp)
return(dummy)
}
# user-defined parameters
time <- c(seq(2005,2055,5), seq(2060,2110,10), 2130, 2150)
scenario <- c("SSP1","SSP2","SSP3","SSP4","SSP5","FLE", "MFR", "CLE", "MFR_Transports", "GlobalEURO6", "FLE_building_transport", "SLCF_building_transport") # These are additional scenarios to the CLE and MFR
p_dagg_year <- 2005
p_dagg_pop <- "pop_SSP2"
p_dagg_gdp <- "gdp_SSP2"
p_countryCategories <- "useGAINSregions"
p_dagg_map <- "regionmappingGAINS.csv"
# list of OECD countries
#TODO: may want to place this in a mapping file or in a R library
r_oecd <- c("AUS", "AUT", "BEL", "CAN", "CHL", "CZE", "DNK", "EST", "FIN", "FRA", "DEU", "GRC", "HUN", "ISL", "IRL", "ISR", "ITA",
"JPN", "KOR", "LUX", "MEX", "NLD", "NZL", "NOR", "POL", "PRT", "SVK", "SVN", "ESP", "SWE", "CHE", "TUR", "GBR", "USA")
# set of sectors for which no emission factor will be computed (because there is no activity reported, or not in terms of energy)
dimSector_skipEF = c("AACID", "CEMENT", "CHEM", "CHEMBULK", "CUSM", "NACID", "PAPER", "STEEL",
"Losses_Coal", "Losses_Distribution_Use", "Losses_Vent_Flare",
"Transformations_Coal", "Transformations_HLF", "Transformations_HLF_Refinery", "Transformations_LLF", "Transformations_NatGas")
map_regions <- read.csv2(toolGetMapping(type = "regional", name = p_dagg_map, returnPathOnly = TRUE),
stringsAsFactors = TRUE)[,c(2,3)]
map_regions <- map_regions %>%
filter_(~CountryCode != "ANT") %>% # Remove Netherland Antilles (not in REMIND regional mapping)
filter_(~RegionCode != "") %>%
mutate_(RegionCode = ~gsub("\\ \\+", "\\+", gsub("^\\s+|\\s+$", "", gsub("[0-9]", "", RegionCode)))) %>%
mutate_(CountryCode = ~factor(CountryCode))
# Regional selections
# select one country pertaining to WEU (all WEU countries should have the same EF). Used for SSP scenario rules
select_weu <- paste(map_regions[which(map_regions$RegionCode == "Western Europe")[1],1])
#-- READ IN DATA ------------------
vcat(2,">> Read-in data... \n")
# read in data generated by calcECLIPSE
eclipse <- calcOutput("ECLIPSE",aggregate=FALSE)
emissions <- collapseNames(eclipse[,,"emissions"])
ef_eclipse <- collapseNames(eclipse[,,"ef_eclipse"])
# read in population and GDP data. required to compute gdp per cap
pop <- calcOutput("Population",aggregate=FALSE)[,p_dagg_year,p_dagg_pop]
gdp <- calcOutput("GDPppp", aggregate=FALSE)[,p_dagg_year,p_dagg_gdp]
# calculate gdp per capita
gdp_cap <- gdp/pop
gdp_cap[is.na(gdp_cap)] <- 0 # set NA to 0
# define exogenous emission data
emissions_exogenous <- emissions[,,dimSector_skipEF]
# make output dummy "ef" and "emi" which then has to be filled by the data
ef <- do.call('mbind',
lapply(scenario,
function(s) {new.magpie(getRegions(ef_eclipse),
c(2005,2010,2030,2050,2100),
gsub("CLE", s, getNames(ef_eclipse[,,"CLE"])))
}))
emi <- do.call('mbind',
lapply(scenario,
function(s) {new.magpie(getRegions(emissions_exogenous),
c(2005,2010,2030,2050,2100),
gsub("CLE", s, getNames(emissions_exogenous[,,"CLE"])))
}))
# define country categories
if (p_countryCategories == "perCountry") {
# low income countries (using World Bank definition < 2750 US$(2010)/Cap)
r_L <- dimnames(gdp_cap[getRegions(ef),,])$ISO3[which(gdp_cap[getRegions(ef),,] <= 2750)]
# high and medium income countries
r_HM <- setdiff(getRegions(ef), r_L)
# High-Medium income countries with strong pollution policies in place
r_HMStrong <- c("AUS", "CAN", "USA","JPN") # FIXME which definition???
# High-Medium income countries with lower emissions goals
r_HMRest <- setdiff(r_HM,r_HMStrong)
} else {
# Compute mean GDP/Cap per GAINS region
regionMean_gdppcap <- sapply(unique(map_regions$RegionCode), function(x) {mean(gdp_cap[map_regions$CountryCode[map_regions$RegionCode == x],,])})
# low income countries (using World Bank definition < 2750 US$(2010)/Cap)
r_L <- map_regions$CountryCode[map_regions$RegionCode %in% names(regionMean_gdppcap[regionMean_gdppcap <= 2750])]
# high and medium income countries
r_HM <- setdiff(getRegions(ef), r_L)
# High-Medium income countries with strong pollution policies in place
r_HMStrong <- map_regions$CountryCode[map_regions$RegionCode %in% c("Western Europe", "Japan")] # FIXME definition taken from JeS matlab script
# High-Medium income countries with lower emissions goals
r_HMRest <- setdiff(r_HM,r_HMStrong)
}
# generate FLE and SSP scenarios
# -------- Fix all scenarios to CLE in 2005 and 2010 ----------
ef[,c(2005,2010),] <- ef_eclipse[,c(2005,2010),"CLE"]
emi[,c(2005,2010),] <- emissions_exogenous[,c(2005,2010),"CLE"]
# ---------------- FLE ----------------------------------------
# FLE: CLE 2010 emission factors and emissions are held constant
ef[,,"FLE"] <- setYears(ef[,2010,"FLE"], NULL) # NULL is actually the default value, skipping afterwards
emi[,,"FLE"] <- setYears(emi[,2010,"FLE"], NULL)
# ---------------- SSP1 ---------------------------------------
# Emission factors
# low income countries
ef[r_L,2030,"SSP1"] <- ef_eclipse[r_L, 2030, "CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
ef[r_L,2050,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_L, 2030, "SSP1"]),
setYears(allocate_c2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_L, select_weu, 2030, "CLE"))) # 2050: CLE30 WEU, if not higher than 2030 value
ef[r_L,2100,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_L, 2050, "SSP1"]), setYears(ef_eclipse[r_L, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2100: SLE30, if not higher than 2050 value
# high income countries
ef[r_HM,2030,"SSP1"] <- 0.75 * ef_eclipse[r_HM, 2030, "CLE"] # 2030: 75% of CLE30
ef[r_HM,2050,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HM, 2030, "SSP1"]), setYears(ef_eclipse[r_HM, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2050: SLE30, if not higher than 2030 value
ef[r_HM,2100,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HM, 2050, "SSP1"]), setYears(ef_eclipse[r_HM, 2030, "MFR"])) # 2100: MFR, if not higher than 2050 value
# Emissions
# low income countries
emi[r_L,2030,"SSP1"] <- emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
emi[r_L,2050,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_L, 2030, "SSP1"]), setYears(0.5*emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "CLE"]
+ 0.5*emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2050: CLE30 WEU, if not higher than 2030 value
emi[r_L,2100,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_L, 2050, "SSP1"]), setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2100: SLE30, if not higher than 2050 value
# high income countries
emi[r_HM,2030,"SSP1"] <- 0.75 * emissions_exogenous[r_HM, 2030, "CLE"] # 2030: 75% of CLE30
emi[r_HM,2050,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HM, 2030, "SSP1"]), setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HM, 2030, "SLE"])) # 2050: SLE30, if not higher than 2030 value
emi[r_HM,2100,"SSP1"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HM, 2050, "SSP1"]), setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HM, 2030, "MFR"])) # 2100: MFR, if not higher than 2050 value
# ----------------- SSP2 --------------------------------------
# Emission factors
# High-Medium income countries with strong pollution policies in place
ef[r_HMStrong,2030,"SSP2"] <- ef_eclipse[r_HMStrong,2030,"CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
ef[r_HMStrong,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HMStrong, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(ef_eclipse[r_HMStrong,2030,"SLE"])) # 2050: SLE30
ef[r_HMStrong,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HMStrong, 2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_min2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_HMStrong, r_oecd, 2030, "SLE"))) # 2100: Lowest SLE30 or lower
# High-Medium income countries with lower emissions goals
ef[r_HMRest,2030,"SSP2"] <- ef_eclipse[r_HMRest,2030,"CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
ef[r_HMRest,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HMRest, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_min2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_HMRest, r_HMRest, 2030, "CLE"))) # 2050: Min CLE30
ef[r_HMRest,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_HMRest,2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_c2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_HMRest, select_weu, 2030, "SLE"))) # 2100: SLE30 WEU
# low income countries
ef[r_L,2030,"SSP2"] <- setYears(ef_eclipse[r_L, 2020, "CLE"]) # 2030: CLE20
ef[r_L,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_L, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_min2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_L, r_L, 2030, "CLE"))) # 2050: Min CLE30
ef[r_L,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(ef[r_L,2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(allocate_c2r_ef(ef_eclipse, r_L, select_weu, 2030, "CLE"))) # 2100: CLE30 WEU
# Emissions
# High-Medium income countries with strong pollution policies in place
emi[r_HMStrong,2030,"SSP2"] <- emissions_exogenous[r_HMStrong,2030,"CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
emi[r_HMStrong,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HMStrong, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HMStrong,2030,"SLE"])) # 2050: SLE30
emi[r_HMStrong,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HMStrong, 2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HMStrong,2030,"SLE"]*0.8)) # 2100: Lowest SLE30 or lower -> 0.8*SLE30
# High-Medium income countries with lower emissions goals
emi[r_HMRest,2030,"SSP2"] <- emissions_exogenous[r_HMRest,2030,"CLE"] # 2030: CLE30
emi[r_HMRest,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HMRest, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HMRest,2030,"SLE"])) # 2050: Min CLE30 -> SLE30
emi[r_HMRest,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_HMRest,2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_HMRest,2030,"SLE"]*0.8)) # 2100: SLE30 WEU -> 0.8*SLE30
# low income countries
emi[r_L,2030,"SSP2"] <- setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2020, "CLE"]) # 2030: CLE20
emi[r_L,2050,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_L, 2030,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "CLE"])) # 2050: Min CLE30 -> CLE30
emi[r_L,2100,"SSP2"] <- pmin(setYears(emi[r_L,2050,"SSP2"]),
setYears(emissions_exogenous[r_L, 2030, "SLE"]*0.95)) # 2100: CLE30 WEU -> 0.95*SLE30
# H-M-Strong: 2030 CLE30; 2050 SLE30; 2100 Lowest SLE30 or lower [EUR, JPN] = [3 5]
# H-M-Rest: 2030 CLE30; 2050 Min CLE30; 2100 EUR SLE30 [CHN, LAM, MEA, ROW, RUS, USA] = [2 6 7 9 10 11]
# Low: 2030 CLE20; 2050 Min CLE30; 2100 EUR CLE30 [AFR, IND, OAS] = [1 4 8]
# ----------------- SSP3 --------------------------------------
# TODO
# ----------------- SSP4 --------------------------------------
# TODO
# ----------------- SSP5 --------------------------------------
# set SSP5 to the values of SSP1
ef[,,"SSP5"] <- ef[,,"SSP1"]
emi[,,"SSP5"] <- emi[,,"SSP1"] # does not really make sense...
# Find occurences where the EF path is not monotonously decreasing
# for (kregi in getRegions(ef)) {
# for (kdata in getNames(ef)) {
#
# y1 = ef[kregi,2005,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
# y2 = ef[kregi,2010,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
# y3 = ef[kregi,2030,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
# y4 = ef[kregi,2050,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
# y5 = ef[kregi,2100,kdata] %>% as.numeric()
#
# if (y1 > y2 || y2 > y3 || y3 > y4 || y4 > y5) {
# print(paste0(kregi, ": ", kdata))
# }
# }
# stop()
# }
# make sure that SSP2 is always higher than SSP1 (and SSP5)
# Takes toooooooooooooo much time (~1h30). commented out for now
# for (kregi in getRegions(ef)) {
# for (kssp1 in getNames(ef[,,"SSP1"])) {
#
# kssp2 = paste0(strsplit(kdata, ".", fixed=TRUE)[[1]][1], ".", strsplit(kdata, ".", fixed=TRUE)[[1]][2], ".SSP2")
#
# for (kyear in getYears(ef)) {
# y1 = ef[kregi,kyear,kssp1] %>% as.numeric()
# y2 = ef[kregi,kyear,kssp2] %>% as.numeric()
#
# if (y1 > y2) {
# ef[kregi,kyear,kssp2] = y1
# }
# }
# }
# }
# for (kregi in getRegions(emi)) {
# for (kssp1 in getNames(emi[,,"SSP1"])) {
#
# kssp2 = paste0(strsplit(kdata, ".", fixed=TRUE)[[1]][1], ".", strsplit(kdata, ".", fixed=TRUE)[[1]][2], ".SSP2")
#
# for (kyear in getYears(emi)) {
# y1 = emi[kregi,kyear,kssp1] %>% as.numeric()
# y2 = emi[kregi,kyear,kssp2] %>% as.numeric()
#
# if (y1 > y2) {
# emi[kregi,kyear,kssp2] = y1
# }
# }
# }
# }
# filter all regions and sectors that are constant between 2030 and 2050 and continue to decline afterwards. Replace by linear interpolation
# between 2030 and 2100
# Retrieve Transport and buildings names
transportNames <- getNames(ef,dim=1)[grepl("End_Use_Transport", getNames(ef,dim=1))]
buildingNames <- getNames(ef,dim=1)[grepl("End_Use_Industry|End_Use_Residential|End_Use_Services", getNames(ef,dim=1))]
# ----------------- CLE and MFR -------------------------------
ef[,c(2005,2010,2030,2050),c("CLE","MFR")] <- ef_eclipse[,c(2005,2010,2030,2050),c("CLE","MFR")]
ef[,2100,c("CLE","MFR")] <- setYears(ef_eclipse[,2050,c("CLE","MFR")]) # for 2100, take the same values as in 2050
emi[,c(2005,2010,2030,2050),c("CLE","MFR")] <- emissions_exogenous[,c(2005,2010,2030,2050),c("CLE","MFR")]
emi[,2100,c("CLE","MFR")] <- setYears(emissions_exogenous[,2050,c("CLE","MFR")]) # for 2100, take the same values as in 2050
# ---------------- Global EURO6 for Transports -----------------------------
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"GlobalEURO6"] <- ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"GlobalEURO6"][,,transportNames] <- setCells(ef["FRA",c(2030,2050,2100),"GlobalEURO6"][,,transportNames], "GLO")
emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"GlobalEURO6"] <- emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
# ---------------- MFR Transports -----------------------------
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"MFR_Transports"] <- ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data3 = "MFR_Transports") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data3 = "MFR")
emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"MFR_Transports"] <- emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
# ---------------- FLE_building_transport ------------------------------
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"FLE_building_transport"] <- ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = buildingNames, data3 = "FLE_building_transport") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = buildingNames, data3 = "FLE")
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data3 = "FLE_building_transport") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data3 = "FLE")
emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"FLE_building_transport"] <- emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
# ---------------- SLCF_building_transport ------------------------------
ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SLCF_building_transport"] <- ef[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = buildingNames, data2=c("BC", "OC"), data3 = "SLCF_building_transport") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = buildingNames, data2=c("BC", "OC"), data3 = "FLE")
mselect(ef, year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data2=c("BC", "OC"), data3 = "SLCF_building_transport") = mselect(ef,year = c("y2030", "y2050", "y2100"), data1 = transportNames, data2=c("BC", "OC"), data3 = "FLE")
emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SLCF_building_transport"] <- emi[,c(2030,2050,2100),"SSP2"]
# ----- EFs for advanced coal and biomass technologies -------
map_sectors_ECLIPSE2REMIND <- read.csv(toolGetMapping(type = "sectoral",
name = "mappingECLIPSEtoREMINDsectors.csv",
returnPathOnly = TRUE),
stringsAsFactors = TRUE)
mapsec <- map_sectors_ECLIPSE2REMIND[map_sectors_ECLIPSE2REMIND$eclipse %in% getNames(ef, dim=1), c(1,3)]
ef <- toolAggregate(ef, mapsec, dim=3.1)
adv_techs = c("igcc", "igccc", "pcc", "pco", "coalgas", "bioigcc", "bioigccc", "biogas")
adv_coaltechs = c("igcc", "igccc", "pcc", "pco")
adv_specs = c("NOx", "SO2", "BC", "OC")
adv_factor = c(0.85, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6)
for (kscen in getNames(ef, dim=6)) {
for (ktech in adv_techs) {
curtech = ifelse(ktech %in% adv_coaltechs, "Power_Gen_Coal.", "Power_Gen_Bio_Trad.")
for (kspec in adv_specs)
nm = getNames(ef[,,paste0("power.",kspec)][,,ktech][,,kscen])
ef[,,paste0("power.",kspec)][,,ktech][,,kscen] <- setNames(
pmin(
mbind(lapply(getYears(ef), function(x) {setYears(ef_eclipse[,2030,paste0(curtech,kspec,".MFR")]/adv_factor[adv_specs == kspec], x)})),
ef_eclipse[,,paste0(curtech,kspec,".CLE")]),
nm)
}
}
# ----- Aggregate back to REMIND regions (to speed up processing)
emiNam <-getNames(ef,TRUE)[2:3]
newdim <- apply(
sapply(
do.call("expand.grid", emiNam),as.character),
1,paste, collapse = ".")
activities.EF <- do.call('mbind',
lapply(newdim,
function(scen) {setNames(emissions, paste(getNames(emissions), scen, sep = "."))}))
#activities.full <- time_interpolate(activities.full, interpolated_year=time, integrate=TRUE, extrapolation_type="constant")
#activities.full <- activities.full[,time,] #remove 2000
#ef_eclipseR = toolAggregate(ef_eclipse[,,dimSector_EF], map_REMINDregions[,2:3], weight=setYears(activities[,2010,dimSector_EF]))
#ef_remind = toolAggregate(ef, map_REMINDregions[,2:3], weight=setYears(activities.EF[,2010,]))
getSets(ef) <- c("region", "year", "sector.species.scenario")
getSets(activities.EF) <- c("region", "year", "sector.species.scenario")
getSets(emi) <- c("region", "year", "sector.species.scenario")
if(subtype=="emissions") {
x <- emi
w <- NULL
} else if (subtype=="emission_factors") {
x <- ef
w <- setYears(activities.EF[,2010,])
} else if (subtype=="activities") {
x <- activities.EF
w <- NULL # is this correct?
} else (stop("do not know which weight to use for acrivities"))
return(list(x = x,
weight = w,
unit = "unit",
description = "calcECLIPSE substitute"
))
}
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