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## Function that implements the entropy metric test for serial
## dependence described in "A Dependence Metric For Possibly Nonlinear
## Processes By C. W. Granger, E. Maasoumi and J. Racine Journal of
## Time Series Analysis (2004), Vol. 25, No. 5, 649-669.
npsdeptest <- function(data = NULL,
lag.num = 1,
method=c("integration","summation"),
bootstrap = TRUE,
boot.num = 399,
random.seed = 42) {
## Trap fatal errors
if(is.data.frame(data)) stop(" you must enter a data vector (not data frame)")
if(is.null(data)) stop(" you must enter a data vector")
if((lag.num < 1) || (lag.num > length(data))) stop(" lag.num must be a positive integer less than the number of observations")
if(ncol(data.frame(data)) != 1) stop(" data must have one dimension only")
if(boot.num < 9) stop(" number of bootstrap replications must be >= 9")
method <- match.arg(method)
## Save seed prior to setting
if(exists(".Random.seed", .GlobalEnv)) {
save.seed <- get(".Random.seed", .GlobalEnv)
exists.seed = TRUE
} else {
exists.seed = FALSE
}
set.seed(random.seed)
## If the variable is a time series convert to type numeric
if(is.ts(data)) data <- as.numeric(data)
## Omit NAs
data <- na.omit(data)
## Define the metric entropy function
Srho.bivar <- function(x.dat = NULL,
y.dat = NULL,
bw.x = NULL,
bw.y = NULL,
bw.joint = NULL,
method=c("integration","summation")) {
if(is.null(bw.x)||is.null(bw.y)||is.null(bw.joint)) stop(" you must provide numeric bandwidths for f(x), f(y) and f(x,y)")
method <- match.arg(method)
if(method=="summation") {
## Summation version:
## \sum_i(1-sqrt(f(x_i)f(y_i)/f(x_i,y_i)))^2
## We could code this by hand per below, however, there is no
## performance penalty imposed by sum() so no need.
## Issue of common support points for evaluation
f.x <- fitted(npudens(tdat=x.dat,bws=bw.x))
f.y <- fitted(npudens(tdat=y.dat,bws=bw.y))
f.xy <- fitted(npudens(tdat=cbind(x.dat,y.dat),bws=bw.joint))
summand <- f.x*f.y/f.xy
## In summation version we divide densities which can lead to
## numerical instability issues not present in the integrand
## version (which uses differences instead). We check for this
## case, remove offending points, and warn. This traps -Inf,
## Inf, and NaN.
if(!all(is.finite(summand))) {
warning(" non-finite value in summation-based statistic: integration recommended")
summand <- summand[is.finite(summand)]
}
return(0.5*mean((1-sqrt(summand))**2))
} else {
## Integration version:
## \int\int (sqrt(f(x,y))-sqrt(f(x))sqrt(f(y)))^2 dx dy
lo.default <- c(min(x.dat)-10.0*IQR(x.dat),min(y.dat)-10.0*IQR(y.dat))
up.default <- c(max(x.dat)+10.0*IQR(x.dat),max(y.dat)+10.0*IQR(y.dat))
Srho.integrand <- function(xy) {
## We code this up by hand using a second order gaussian
## kernel. The multidimensional integration routines for some
## reason crawl to almost a halt if we call the functions in the
## np package. Good to have noticed this at this juncture, bad
## to not have general code though could branch at this point?
## f.x <- fitted(npudens(tdat=x.dat,edat=xy[1],bws=bw.x))
## f.y <- fitted(npudens(tdat=y.dat,edat=xy[2],bws=bw.y))
## f.xy <- fitted(npudens(tdat=cbind(x.dat,y.dat),edat=cbind(xy[1],xy[2]),bws=bw.joint))
f.x <- mean(dnorm((xy[1]-x.dat)/bw.x))/bw.x
f.y <- mean(dnorm((xy[2]-y.dat)/bw.y))/bw.y
f.xy <- mean(dnorm((xy[1]-x.dat)/bw.joint[1])*dnorm((xy[2]-y.dat)/bw.joint[2])
/ (bw.joint[1]*bw.joint[2]))
return((sqrt(f.xy)-sqrt(f.x)*sqrt(f.y))**2)
}
return(0.5*adaptIntegrate(Srho.integrand,
lowerLimit=lo.default,
upperLimit=up.default)$integral)
}
} ## end of Srho.bivar function
## Compute the metric entropy for lags 1 through lag.num
console <- newLineConsole()
Srho.vec <- numeric()
## `Portmanteau' cumulant of all lags
Srho.cumulant.vec <- numeric()
bw.y <- numeric()
bw.y.lag <- numeric()
bw.joint.y <- numeric()
bw.joint.y.lag <- numeric()
## Save the bandwidths for resampling exercise...
for(k in 1:lag.num) {
console <- printClear(console)
console <- printPop(console)
## Create y and y.lag
tmp <- ts.intersect(as.ts(data),lag(as.ts(data),k))
y <- as.numeric(tmp[,1])
y.lag <- as.numeric(tmp[,2])
rm(tmp)
## Compute and save bandwidths (save for bootstrapping if
## requested)
bw.y[k] <- npudensbw(~y)$bw
bw.y.lag[k] <- npudensbw(~y.lag)$bw
bw.joint <- npudensbw(~y+y.lag)$bw
bw.joint.y[k] <- bw.joint[1]
bw.joint.y.lag[k] <- bw.joint[2]
console <- printClear(console)
console <- printPush(paste(sep="", "Constructing metric entropy at lag ", k, "/", lag.num, "..."), console = console)
Srho.vec[k] <- Srho.bivar(y,y.lag,bw.y[k],bw.y.lag[k],bw.joint,method=method)
}
for(k in 1:lag.num) Srho.cumulant.vec[k] <- sum(Srho.vec[1:k])
## Bootstrap if requested - null is independence so simple iid
## bootstrap (sample(x,replace=TRUE)) will work
if(bootstrap) {
Srho.vec.boot <- numeric()
## `Portmanteau' cumulant of all lags
Srho.cumulant.vec.boot <- numeric()
## Matrix for resamples
Srho.bootstrap.mat <- matrix(NA,boot.num,(lag.num))
Srho.cumulant.bootstrap.mat <- matrix(NA,boot.num,(lag.num))
for(b in 1:boot.num) {
console <- printClear(console)
console <- printPush(paste(sep="", "Bootstrap replication ",
b, "/", boot.num, "..."), console)
## Resample under the null
tmp <- as.ts(sample(data,replace=TRUE))
tmp <- ts.intersect(tmp,lag(tmp,k))
y <- as.numeric(tmp[,1])
y.lag <- as.numeric(tmp[,2])
rm(tmp)
for(k in 1:lag.num) {
Srho.vec.boot[k] <- Srho.bivar(y,y.lag,bw.y[k],bw.y.lag[k],c(bw.joint.y[k],bw.joint.y.lag[k]),method=method)
Srho.bootstrap.mat[b,k] <- Srho.vec.boot[k]
## `Portmanteau' cumulant of all lags
Srho.cumulant.vec.boot[k] <- sum(Srho.vec.boot[1:k])
Srho.cumulant.bootstrap.mat[b,k] <- Srho.cumulant.vec.boot[k]
}
}
## Compute P-values
P.vec <- numeric()
P.cumulant.vec <- numeric()
for(k in 1:lag.num) {
P.vec[k] <- mean(ifelse(Srho.bootstrap.mat[,k]>Srho.vec[k],1,0))
P.cumulant.vec[k] <- mean(ifelse(Srho.cumulant.bootstrap.mat[,k]>Srho.cumulant.vec[k],1,0))
}
}
console <- printClear(console)
console <- printPop(console)
## Restore seed
if(exists.seed) assign(".Random.seed", save.seed, .GlobalEnv)
if(bootstrap) {
sdeptest(Srho = Srho.vec,
Srho.cumulant = Srho.cumulant.vec,
Srho.bootstrap.mat = Srho.bootstrap.mat,
Srho.cumulant.bootstrap.mat = Srho.cumulant.bootstrap.mat,
P = P.vec,
P.cumulant = P.cumulant.vec,
bootstrap = bootstrap,
boot.num = boot.num,
lag.num = lag.num,
bw.y = bw.y,
bw.y.lag = bw.y.lag,
bw.joint = cbind(bw.joint.y,bw.joint.y.lag))
} else {
sdeptest(Srho = Srho.vec,
Srho.cumulant = Srho.cumulant.vec,
Srho.bootstrap.mat = NULL,
Srho.cumulant.bootstrap.mat = NULL,
P = NULL,
P.cumulant = NULL,
bootstrap = bootstrap,
boot.num = NULL,
lag.num = lag.num,
bw.y = bw.y,
bw.y.lag = bw.y.lag,
bw.joint = cbind(bw.joint.y,bw.joint.y.lag))
}
}
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