Nothing
.evd.dgpd <-
function (x, loc = 0, scale = 1, shape = 0, log = FALSE)
{
if (min(scale) <= 0)
stop("invalid scale")
if (length(shape) != 1)
stop("invalid shape")
d <- (x - loc)/scale
nn <- length(d)
scale <- rep(scale, length.out = nn)
index <- (d > 0 & ((1 + shape * d) > 0)) | is.na(d)
if (shape == 0) {
d[index] <- log(1/scale[index]) - d[index]
d[!index] <- -Inf
}
else {
d[index] <- log(1/scale[index]) - (1/shape + 1) * log(1 +
shape * d[index])
d[!index] <- -Inf
}
if (!log)
d <- exp(d)
d
}
.evd.pgpd <-
function (q, loc = 0, scale = 1, shape = 0, lower.tail = TRUE)
{
if (min(scale) <= 0)
stop("invalid scale")
if (length(shape) != 1)
stop("invalid shape")
q <- pmax(q - loc, 0)/scale
if (shape == 0)
p <- 1 - exp(-q)
else {
p <- pmax(1 + shape * q, 0)
p <- 1 - p^(-1/shape)
}
if (!lower.tail)
p <- 1 - p
p
}
.evd.qgpd <-
function (p, loc = 0, scale = 1, shape = 0, lower.tail = TRUE)
{
if (min(p, na.rm = TRUE) <= 0 || max(p, na.rm = TRUE) >=
1)
stop("`p' must contain probabilities in (0,1)")
if (min(scale) < 0)
stop("invalid scale")
if (length(shape) != 1)
stop("invalid shape")
if (lower.tail)
p <- 1 - p
if (shape == 0)
return(loc - scale * log(p))
else return(loc + scale * (p^(-shape) - 1)/shape)
}
.evd.rgpd <-
function (n, loc = 0, scale = 1, shape = 0)
{
if (min(scale) < 0)
stop("invalid scale")
if (length(shape) != 1)
stop("invalid shape")
if (shape == 0)
return(loc + scale * rexp(n))
else return(loc + scale * (runif(n)^(-shape) - 1)/shape)
}
.extRemes.decluster.intervals <-
function (Z, ei)
{
if (ei >= 1) {
r <- 0
}
else {
s <- c(1:length(Z))[Z]
t <- diff(s)
temp <- rev(sort(t))
nc <- 1 + floor(ei * (sum(Z) - 1))
while ((nc > 1) && (temp[nc - 1] == temp[nc])) nc <- nc - 1
r <- temp[nc]
}
out <- .extRemes.decluster.runs(Z, r)
out$scheme <- "intervals"
out
}
.extRemes.decluster.runs <-
function (Z, r)
{
nx <- sum(Z)
s <- c(1:length(Z))[Z]
t <- diff(s)
cluster <- rep(1, nx)
if (nx > 1)
cluster[2:nx] <- 1 + cumsum(t > r)
size <- tabulate(cluster)
nc <- length(size)
inter <- rep(FALSE, nx)
inter[match(1:nc, cluster)] <- TRUE
list(scheme = "runs", par = r, nc = nc, size = size, s = s,
cluster = cluster, t = c(NA, t), inter = inter, intra = !inter,
r = r)
}
.extRemes.exi.intervals <-
function(Z)
{
if (sum(Z) <= 1) {
warning("estimator undefined: too few exceedances")
return(1)
}
else {
nz <- length(Z)
s <- c(1:nz)[Z]
t <- diff(s)
if (max(t) <= 2) {
t1 <- mean(t)
t2 <- mean(t^2)
}
else {
t1 <- mean(t - 1)
t2 <- mean((t - 1) * (t - 2))
}
}
2 * (t1^2)/t2
}
.ismev.gev.fit <-
function (xdat, ydat = NULL, mul = NULL, sigl = NULL, shl = NULL,
mulink = identity, siglink = identity, shlink = identity,
muinit = NULL, siginit = NULL, shinit = NULL, show = TRUE,
method = "Nelder-Mead", maxit = 10000, ...)
{
z <- list()
npmu <- length(mul) + 1
npsc <- length(sigl) + 1
npsh <- length(shl) + 1
z$trans <- FALSE
in2 <- sqrt(6 * var(xdat))/pi
in1 <- mean(xdat) - 0.57722 * in2
if (is.null(mul)) {
mumat <- as.matrix(rep(1, length(xdat)))
if (is.null(muinit))
muinit <- in1
}
else {
z$trans <- TRUE
mumat <- cbind(rep(1, length(xdat)), ydat[, mul])
if (is.null(muinit))
muinit <- c(in1, rep(0, length(mul)))
}
if (is.null(sigl)) {
sigmat <- as.matrix(rep(1, length(xdat)))
if (is.null(siginit))
siginit <- in2
}
else {
z$trans <- TRUE
sigmat <- cbind(rep(1, length(xdat)), ydat[, sigl])
if (is.null(siginit))
siginit <- c(in2, rep(0, length(sigl)))
}
if (is.null(shl)) {
shmat <- as.matrix(rep(1, length(xdat)))
if (is.null(shinit))
shinit <- 0.1
}
else {
z$trans <- TRUE
shmat <- cbind(rep(1, length(xdat)), ydat[, shl])
if (is.null(shinit))
shinit <- c(0.1, rep(0, length(shl)))
}
z$model <- list(mul, sigl, shl)
z$link <- deparse(substitute(c(mulink, siglink, shlink)))
init <- c(muinit, siginit, shinit)
gev.lik <- function(a) {
mu <- mulink(mumat %*% (a[1:npmu]))
sc <- siglink(sigmat %*% (a[seq(npmu + 1, length = npsc)]))
xi <- shlink(shmat %*% (a[seq(npmu + npsc + 1, length = npsh)]))
y <- (xdat - mu)/sc
y <- 1 + xi * y
if (any(y <= 0) || any(sc <= 0))
return(10^6)
sum(log(sc)) + sum(y^(-1/xi)) + sum(log(y) * (1/xi +
1))
}
x <- optim(init, gev.lik, hessian = TRUE, method = method,
control = list(maxit = maxit, ...))
z$conv <- x$convergence
mu <- mulink(mumat %*% (x$par[1:npmu]))
sc <- siglink(sigmat %*% (x$par[seq(npmu + 1, length = npsc)]))
xi <- shlink(shmat %*% (x$par[seq(npmu + npsc + 1, length = npsh)]))
z$nllh <- x$value
z$data <- xdat
if (z$trans) {
z$data <- -log(as.vector((1 + (xi * (xdat - mu))/sc)^(-1/xi)))
}
z$mle <- x$par
z$cov <- solve(x$hessian)
z$se <- sqrt(diag(z$cov))
z$vals <- cbind(mu, sc, xi)
if (show) {
if (z$trans)
print(z[c(2, 3, 4)])
else print(z[4])
if (!z$conv)
print(z[c(5, 7, 9)])
}
class(z) <- "gev.fit"
invisible(z)
}
.ismev.gpd.fit <-
function (xdat, threshold, npy = 365, ydat = NULL, sigl = NULL,
shl = NULL, siglink = identity, shlink = identity, siginit = NULL,
shinit = NULL, show = TRUE, method = "Nelder-Mead", maxit = 10000,
...)
{
z <- list()
npsc <- length(sigl) + 1
npsh <- length(shl) + 1
n <- length(xdat)
z$trans <- FALSE
if (is.function(threshold))
stop("`threshold' cannot be a function")
u <- rep(threshold, length.out = n)
if (length(unique(u)) > 1)
z$trans <- TRUE
xdatu <- xdat[xdat > u]
xind <- (1:n)[xdat > u]
u <- u[xind]
in2 <- sqrt(6 * var(xdat))/pi
in1 <- mean(xdat, na.rm = TRUE) - 0.57722 * in2
if (is.null(sigl)) {
sigmat <- as.matrix(rep(1, length(xdatu)))
if (is.null(siginit))
siginit <- in2
}
else {
z$trans <- TRUE
sigmat <- cbind(rep(1, length(xdatu)), ydat[xind, sigl])
if (is.null(siginit))
siginit <- c(in2, rep(0, length(sigl)))
}
if (is.null(shl)) {
shmat <- as.matrix(rep(1, length(xdatu)))
if (is.null(shinit))
shinit <- 0.1
}
else {
z$trans <- TRUE
shmat <- cbind(rep(1, length(xdatu)), ydat[xind, shl])
if (is.null(shinit))
shinit <- c(0.1, rep(0, length(shl)))
}
init <- c(siginit, shinit)
z$model <- list(sigl, shl)
z$link <- deparse(substitute(c(siglink, shlink)))
z$threshold <- threshold
z$nexc <- length(xdatu)
z$data <- xdatu
gpd.lik <- function(a) {
sc <- siglink(sigmat %*% (a[seq(1, length = npsc)]))
xi <- shlink(shmat %*% (a[seq(npsc + 1, length = npsh)]))
y <- (xdatu - u)/sc
y <- 1 + xi * y
if (min(sc) <= 0)
l <- 10^6
else {
if (min(y) <= 0)
l <- 10^6
else {
l <- sum(log(sc)) + sum(log(y) * (1/xi + 1))
}
}
l
} # Close gpd.lik <- function
x <- optim(init, gpd.lik, hessian = TRUE, method = method,
control = list(maxit = maxit))
sc <- siglink(sigmat %*% (x$par[seq(1, length = npsc)]))
xi <- shlink(shmat %*% (x$par[seq(npsc + 1, length = npsh)]))
z$conv <- x$convergence
z$nllh <- x$value
z$vals <- cbind(sc, xi, u)
if (z$trans) {
z$data <- -log(as.vector((1 + (xi * (xdatu - u))/sc)^(-1/xi)))
}
z$mle <- x$par
z$rate <- length(xdatu)/n
z$cov <- solve(x$hessian)
z$se <- sqrt(diag(z$cov))
z$n <- n
z$npy <- npy
z$xdata <- xdat
if (show) {
if (z$trans)
print(z[c(2, 3)])
if (length(z[[4]]) == 1)
print(z[4])
print(z[c(5, 7)])
if (!z$conv)
print(z[c(8, 10, 11, 13)])
}
class(z) <- "gpd.fit"
invisible(z)
}
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