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#' Bayesian Normal Linear Regression
#'
#' @param formula a symbolic representation of the model to be
#' estimated, in the form \code{y ~ x1 + x2}, where \code{y} is the
#' dependent variable and \code{x1} and \code{x2} are the explanatory
#' variables, and \code{y}, \code{x1}, and \code{x2} are contained in the
#' same dataset. (You may include more than two explanatory variables,
#' of course.) The \code{+} symbol means ``inclusion'' not
#' ``addition.'' You may also include interaction terms and main
#' effects in the form \code{x1*x2} without computing them in prior
#' steps; \code{I(x1*x2)} to include only the interaction term and
#' exclude the main effects; and quadratic terms in the form
#' \code{I(x1^2)}.
#' @param model the name of a statistical model to estimate.
#' For a list of other supported models and their documentation see:
#' \url{http://docs.zeligproject.org/articles/}.
#' @param data the name of a data frame containing the variables
#' referenced in the formula or a list of multiply imputed data frames
#' each having the same variable names and row numbers (created by
#' \code{Amelia} or \code{\link{to_zelig_mi}}).
#' @param ... additional arguments passed to \code{zelig},
#' relevant for the model to be estimated.
#' @param by a factor variable contained in \code{data}. If supplied,
#' \code{zelig} will subset
#' the data frame based on the levels in the \code{by} variable, and
#' estimate a model for each subset. This can save a considerable amount of
#' effort. You may also use \code{by} to run models using MatchIt
#' subclasses.
#' @param cite If is set to 'TRUE' (default), the model citation will be printed
#' to the console.
#'
#' @examples
#' data(macro)
#' z.out <- zelig(unem ~ gdp + capmob + trade, model = "normal.bayes", data = macro, verbose = FALSE)
#'
#' @details
#' Additional parameters avaialable to many models include:
#' \itemize{
#' \item \code{weights}: vector of weight values or a name of a variable in the dataset
#' by which to weight the model. For more information see:
#' \url{http://docs.zeligproject.org/articles/weights.html}.
#' \item \code{burnin}: number of the initial MCMC iterations to be discarded (defaults to 1,000).
#' \item \code{mcmc}: number of the MCMC iterations after burnin (defaults to 10,000).
#' \item \code{thin}: thinning interval for the Markov chain. Only every thin-th draw from the Markov chain is kept. The value of mcmc must be divisible by this value. The default value is 1.
#' \item \code{verbose}: defaults to FALSE. If TRUE, the progress of the sampler (every 10\%) is printed to the screen.
#' \item \code{seed}: seed for the random number generator. The default is \code{NA} which corresponds to a random seed of 12345.
#' \item \code{beta.start}: starting values for the Markov chain, either a scalar or vector with length equal to the number of estimated coefficients. The default is \code{NA}, such that the maximum likelihood estimates are used as the starting values.
#' }
#' Use the following parameters to specify the model's priors:
#' \itemize{
#' \item \code{b0}: prior mean for the coefficients, either a numeric vector or a scalar. If a scalar value, that value will be the prior mean for all the coefficients. The default is 0.
#' \item \code{B0}: prior precision parameter for the coefficients, either a square matrix (with the dimensions equal to the number of the coefficients) or a scalar. If a scalar value, that value times an identity matrix will be the prior precision parameter. The default is 0, which leads to an improper prior.
#' \item \code{c0}: c0/2 is the shape parameter for the Inverse Gamma prior on the variance of the disturbance terms.
#' \item \code{d0}: d0/2 is the scale parameter for the Inverse Gamma prior on the variance of the disturbance terms.
#' }
#' @return Depending on the class of model selected, \code{zelig} will return
#' an object with elements including \code{coefficients}, \code{residuals},
#' and \code{formula} which may be summarized using
#' \code{summary(z.out)} or individually extracted using, for example,
#' \code{coef(z.out)}. See
#' \url{http://docs.zeligproject.org/articles/getters.html} for a list of
#' functions to extract model components. You can also extract whole fitted
#' model objects using \code{\link{from_zelig_model}}.
#' @examples
#'
#' data(macro)
#' z.out <- zelig(unem ~ gdp + capmob + trade, model = "normal.bayes",
#' data = macro, verbose = FALSE)
#'
#' z.out$geweke.diag()
#' z.out$heidel.diag()
#' z.out$raftery.diag()
#' summary(z.out)
#'
#' x.out <- setx(z.out)
#' s.out1 <- sim(z.out, x = x.out)
#' summary(s.out1)
#'
#' x.high <- setx(z.out, trade = quantile(macro$trade, prob = 0.8))
#' x.low <- setx(z.out, trade = quantile(macro$trade, prob = 0.2))
#'
#' s.out2 <- sim(z.out, x = x.high, x1 = x.low)
#' summary(s.out2)
#'
#' @seealso Vignette: \url{http://docs.zeligproject.org/articles/zelig_normalbayes.html}
#' @import methods
#' @export Zelig-normal-bayes
#' @exportClass Zelig-normal-bayes
#'
#' @include model-zelig.R
#' @include model-bayes.R
#' @include model-normal.R
znormalbayes <- setRefClass("Zelig-normal-bayes",
contains = c("Zelig-bayes",
"Zelig-normal"))
znormalbayes$methods(
initialize = function() {
callSuper()
.self$name <- "normal-bayes" # CC: should't it be lsbayes?
.self$year <- 2013
.self$category <- "continuous"
.self$authors <- "Ben Goodrich, Ying Lu"
.self$description = "Bayesian Normal Linear Regression"
.self$fn <- quote(MCMCpack::MCMCregress)
# JSON from parent
.self$wrapper <- "normal.bayes"
}
)
znormalbayes$methods(
qi = function(simparam, mm) {
# Extract simulated parameters and get column names
coef <- simparam
cols <- colnames(coef)
# Place the simulated variances in their own vector
sigma2 <- coef[, ncol(coef)]
# Remove the "sigma2" (variance) parameter
# which should already be placed
# in the simulated parameters
cols <- cols[ ! "sigma2" == cols ]
coef <- coef[, cols]
ev <- coef %*% t(mm)
pv <- matrix(rnorm(nrow(ev), ev, sqrt(sigma2)))
return(list(ev = ev, pv = pv))
}
)
znormalbayes$methods(
mcfun = function(x, b0=0, b1=1, alpha=1, sim=TRUE){
y <- b0 + b1*x + sim * rnorm(n=length(x), sd=alpha)
return(y)
}
)
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